长江中游城市群太阳辐射长期变化特征及其与气象要素的关系研究

基于长江中游5个气象辐射站点1961年以来的每日太阳辐射成分及其他气象观测数据,应用线性回归、相关分析、Pettitt突变检验等方法,探讨了近半世纪以来长江中游城市群太阳辐射的变化特征,指明地面接收太阳辐射的突变年份,并分析了太阳辐射与相关气象要素的关系。结果表明:近53年来长江中游地面接收太阳总辐射呈现先下降("变暗")、后上升("变亮")的趋势,该区域的辐射变化与全球范围内的"变暗"及"变亮"的变化趋势是一致的。日照时数与太阳辐射呈现较为显著的正相关性,相关系数r为0.63;而降水量则与太阳辐射呈现负相关性,相关系数r为–0.41。太阳辐射的这种突变变化也直接导致了气温的变化,在"变暗"阶段,太阳辐射与最高气温、气温日较差呈现出显著的正相关性,相关系数分别达到0.61和0.82,但其与最低气温、平均气温的相关性则不显著;在"变亮"阶段,太阳辐射与最高气温、气温日较差、平均气温呈现出正相关性,相关系数分别为0.56、0.62以及0.46,但其与最低气温的相关性则不显著。     

Harvesting heat energy from asphalt pavements: development of and comparison between numerical models and experiment

The use of flowing water in embedded pipes to harvest heat energy from asphalt pavements and thereby reducing its temperature and the urban heat island effect has been proposed. A successful use of such an approach would require a complete understanding of the effect and the interaction of various mechanisms such as conduction, convection and radiation and factors such as solar radiation, diameter of pipe and rate of flow. A large-scale experiment was conducted to understand such effects, and numerical modelling was conducted for prediction of temperature. The experiment was modelled using finite element method, and a good match was obtained between predicted and experimentally obtained results. Effects of pipe diameter and flow rate were also analysed. This model could be used in future for selection of appropriate levels of critical variables and hence successful implementation of this concept to sustainable pavements.     

近50年来云贵高原太阳辐射变化特征及影响

到达地面的太阳辐射变化会对气候和生态环境产生较大影响。用云贵高原1961～2009年日射站辐射和气象观测资料,对多年来到达地面太阳总辐的年和季节变化趋势,及辐射变化对气候要素的影响进行了分析。结果表明：1961~1988年,总辐射呈明显下降趋势,之后发生逆转,1988~1994年总辐射呈显著上升趋势,1994年后其变化趋于缓和。总体呈现变暗－变亮－变缓的趋势。各季节总辐射变化的趋势为,秋季变化趋势极显著,春季变化的趋势显著,夏季变化的趋势较显著,冬季变化不明显。高原日照时数变化趋势与总辐射经历的变暗－变亮－变缓在时间上基本一致。总辐射变化对该地区的最高气温影响显著,但对蒸发量的影响不太明显。影响年辐射变化的各因子中,云量是影响高原总辐射变化的主要因素,相对湿度和能见度则影响较小     

淮北平原太阳总辐射的估算及时空特征分析

利用合肥、固始辐射站太阳总辐射资料和淮北平原境内6个气象站气象观测资料,基于ngstrm模型推算出淮北平原1959~2015年太阳总辐射。应用线性倾向率和Kriging空间插值法分析地区57 a来太阳总辐射趋势变化及空间分布特征,综合采用累计距平、Mann-Kendall检验以及滑动T检验法以准确判断太阳总辐射突变年份,同时结合Morlet小波进行太阳总辐射的周期变化分析。结果表明：全年与四季,淮北平原太阳总辐射均呈现出北部辐射强,南部弱的分布差异,年太阳总辐射变化范围为 4 600~5 020 MJ·m-2,南北间年辐射平均差值为200~400 MJ·m-2;趋势与突变呈现东西分布差异,淮北平原西部太阳总辐射57 a来的减少趋势明显,均通过0.01水平的显著性检验,夏季辐射减少幅度最大。太阳总辐射的减少突变主要集中在平原西部于1980年前后发生,且突变均至少通过0.05水平的显著性检验;平原东部辐射变化幅度较小,只有夏季辐射呈显著减少趋势,其他时间段变化不显著,东部代表区域宿州在全年和四季均无突变发生;淮北平原全区存在29 a的第一主周期以及17 a的第二主周期,西部地区以27～30 a的长周期振荡为主,东部地区以9~17 a 中长周期振荡为主,西部周期振荡强度高于东部。总体淮北平原北部地区太阳总辐射资源丰富且稳定。分析表明,日照百分率的下降是导致太阳总辐射减少的主要气象因素,日照百分率还随着风速的降低而减少。 关键词： 太阳总辐射; 趋势系数; 突变点;小波分析;淮北平原     

The rate of concentration of faecal coliforms in shellfish under different environmental conditions

As filter-feeding organisms, bivalves present a potential health hazard to consumers due to pathogens which may be present in the marine environment. The effects of temperature and concentration of faecal coliforms (FC) in seawater on the rate of concentration in mussels and oysters were studied in both field and experimental conditions. The rates of FC concentration in bivalves were high at the beginning of the experiments, when the initial concentrations of FC in bivalves were low, and decreased as the concentration in bivalves increased. At low initial concentrations of FC in bivalves, the rate of FC concentration increased with the concentration of FC in seawater and with changes of temperature toward optimum. As the concentration of FC in bivalves increased, the rate of FC concentration decreased more rapidly as the concentration of FC in seawater increased and as the temperature was closer to optimum. Maximum concentrations of FC observed in bivalves (level-off concentrations) were the highest at minimum temperature (at which rates of FC concentration were the lowest), whereas the concentration of FC in seawater had no effect on the level-off concentrations of FC in bivalves.     

Bacterial removal by anaerobic digestion

The impact of anaerobic digestion and post composting of the digested slurry on total bacterial counts, total coliform, fecal coliform, and fecal streptococci was investigated. Anaerobic digestion removed up to 99% of the bacterial parameters; however, the residual numbers present in the digested slurry were still high. The residuals ranged from 10⁵/g to 10¹³/g for total bacterial counts, 10²/g to 10⁸/g for total coliform, 10⁴/g to 10⁸/g for fecal coliform, and 10²/g to 10⁸/g for fecal streptococci. The digested slurry was mixed with soil for one week and then for two months, but the density of bacterial parameters was not reduced. There was an increase in numbers during the two composting steps.     

The environmental pollution of Kandy Lake: A case study from Sri Lanka

The water pollution levels of Kandy Lake in Sri Lanka were monitored to probe the impacts and influences of urban environment in a developing country. Although Kandy Lake is a source of drinking water for the town, it was observed that a large number of effluent channels drained in to it, carrying a continuous flow of contaminated water. The hydrogeochemistry, pH, and bacterial levels were studied using lake and drain water samples. A high coliform count and a high degree of faecal contamination was observed in all water samples obtained from the lake and drains. The Cu²⁺ and F^? concentrations were relatively low and did not reach harmful levels, but were higher than that in the background. The pH of water remained almost neutral and provided ideal conditions for bacterial growth. All laboratory and field experiments indicated eutrophic conditions in the lake and the unsuitability of water in the unpurified state for drinking purposes. The purified water had a zero coliform count, but the chlorine content added was relatively high and may also prove to be a health hazard. On the whole, the polluted water in Kandy Lake indicated the adversities of human involvements with nature and provided a good case study for human influence on water pollution in a developing country.     

Estimation of septic tank setback distances based on transport of E. coli and F-RNA phages

Setback distances between septic tank systems and the shorelines of Lake Okareka, New Zealand were determined from model simulations for a worst-case scenario, using the highest hydraulic conductivity and gradient measured in the field, removal rates of the microbial indicators (Escherichia coli and F-RNA phages) determined from a column experiment, and maximum values of the design criteria for the disposal system, and assuming an absence of an unsaturated zone, a continuous discharge of the raw effluent from a failed or non-complying treatment system (both indicators at concentrations of 1x10(7) counts/100 ml) into the groundwater and no sorption of pathogens in the aquifer. Modelling results suggest that the minimal setback distances were 16 m to satisfy the New Zealand Recreational Water Quality Guidelines for E. coli <126 per 100 ml (Ministry for the Environment, 1999) and 48 m to meet the Drinking-Water Standards for New Zealand 2000 for enteric virus <1 per 100 l (Ministry of Health, 2000). These distances may be applicable for other lakeshores in pumice sand aquifers with groundwater velocities <7 m/day. Findings of laboratory column and batch experiments provided an insight into the microbial attenuation and transport processes in pumice sand aquifers. Bacterial removal was predominately through filtration (87-88%) and partially by die-off (12-13%), while viral removal was by both die-off (45%) and filtration (55%). In addition, microbial die-off in groundwater without aquifer material (i.e., free microbes) was much lower than die-off in groundwater with aquifer material (i.e., sorbed microbes) and contributed only 2-6% to the total removal. This implies that the setback distances estimated from die-off rates for the free microbes, determined in the laboratory without considering aquifer media and other removal processes, which are often reported in the literature, could be larger than necessary.     

The Role of Fictional Film Exposure and Narrative Engagement for Personal Norms,Guilt and Intentions to Protect The Climate

ABSTRACT

Using an integration of Norm Activation Theory, Value-Belief-Norm Theory and Narrative Persuasion, this study investigates the ability of an eco-dystopian science fiction film set in a world of excessive solar radiation to support intentions for pro-environmental behavior. Specifically, the influence of narrative engagement and explicit references to human responsibility for climate change are tested. A 2 (high vs. low narrative engagement) x?3 (human responsibility frame vs. temperature frame vs. no frame) plus control group (no film) experiment was conducted (n?=?257). Results show that compared to the control condition, the film had an indirect effect on behavioral intentions by raising the personal norm (a sense of personal obligation to act). The temperature change and human responsibility frames did not show any influence, while narrative engagement had an indirect effect on intentions by increasing guilt. The results are discussed with regard to their theoretical and practical implications.     

南水北调中线工程水源区蒸散发计算方法比较及影响因素分析

以南水北调中线工程水源区为研究区域,采用1961~2007年9个气象站点气象观测数据和黄家港水文站实测径流资料,以FAO彭曼蒙特斯公式和水文模拟法为标准分别对多种潜在蒸散发计算方法和实际蒸散发计算方法进行比较研究,并分析了陆面蒸散发的影响因素。研究表明：南水北调中线工程水源区存在“蒸发悖论”现象,Priestley Taylor公式计算结果偏大,但与FAO 彭曼蒙特斯公式存在良好的相关关系,在气象资料较少时可以考虑建立相关方程进行推求。傅抱璞公式与水文模拟法计算结果较为接近,相关关系最优。潜在蒸散发与平均温度、气温日较差、实际水汽压、降雨量、风速、净太阳辐射、日照时数呈正相关,而实际蒸散发与平均温度、气温日较差、实际水汽压、降雨量、净太阳辐射、日照时数呈正相关,与风速呈负相关。净太阳辐射是影响陆面蒸散发的核心因素     

“地球工程”作为减缓气候变化手段的几个关键问题

减缓气候变化可以在大的地理尺度上以工程技术手段来实施。地球工程包括所有能源生产和消费以外的、不涉及工业生产过程管理的,在较大的地球尺度或规模上,去除大气中的CO2或直接控制太阳辐射而降温的各种人为的工程技术手段,主要包括三大类:绿色生物技术手段、碳捕获与埋存技术和太阳光辐射额度控制管理技术。这一类地球工程手段有着一系列经济、技术、环境、伦理、安全和不确定性含义。本文就近年来国际上关于地球工程作为减缓气候变化可能技术选择的几个关键问题开展了分析和讨论,涉及概念界定、技术特点、可能影响、治理构架等。作者认为,对于直接作用于碳的地球工程手段,如绿色生物技术手段和碳捕获与埋存技术,风险小、可操控;太阳光辐管理技术,通过人为排放到大气的SO2和气溶胶等的降温效应,来控制地球气温的上升,尽管使用的经济成本可能不高,具有实际操作可能,但其巨大的不确定性和可能的安全含义,需要引起足够的重视。从伦理上看,当代人是否有权来开展太阳光辐管理技术这类具有巨大科学不确定性的地球工程存在争议,在科学不确定的情况下采取任何行动,就失去了伦理学基础。从法律上看,人工干预太阳辐射,即使是科学实验或研究,由于其影响超出了国界,超出了当代人,也超出了人类社会,如果有人采取行动,也存在法律依据上的质疑。人工干预太阳辐射的研究和实施,需要一个国际治理构架。为了防止其他国家单独行动,需要"相互约束"的治理构架——"自我约束"以换取他国同意"自我约束"。鉴于气候变化和光辐管理在科学上的不确定性,目前不宜实施,短期内也不会提上议事日程。太阳光辐管理技术影响的复杂性和气候变化风险的迫切性,需要我们加大科学研究力度,为科学决策提供依据。中国作为一个新兴经济体,世界第一大CO2排放国,地域空间气候条件存在巨大差异性。从减排成本的角度,从气候影响的空间差异性,开展地球工程的科学研究,有着科学、政策和国际气候外交的积极意义。但是,相关的科学研究需要国际制度构架。由于气候变化框架公约及其谈判尚未涉及,需要开展系统科学、技术、经济、法律和国家安全等方面的相关研究,提高科学认知度,为国际谈判和政策选择提供决策依据。     

Disinfection of filtered and unfiltered secondary effluent in two ozone contactors

the objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of filtration of secondary effluent on the mass transfer and disinfection efficiencies of two ozone contactors. The two contactors used in the comparison were a multicolumn bubble diffuser and a stirred tank reactor. The approach chosen was based on a type of statistical experimental design used in a previous contactor comparison. The design made it possible to compare the ozone transfer and coliform reduction efficiencies of the two contactors with respect to applied dose, while at the same time comparing filtered and unfiltered effluent. Results indicated that better mass transfer efficiency and, consequently, better coliform reduction efficiency occurred in the bubble diffuser, and the differences between contactors increased with dose. Mass transfer in both contactors was higher in unfiltered effluent than in filtered effluent. The most significant factors affecting the fecal coliform numbers in the treated secondary effluent were total chemical oxygen demand (COD) and absorbed ozone dose. Regression equations were developed to predict final coliform numbers as a function of COD and absorbed ozone dose.     

Experimental investigation of dust pollutants and the impact of environmental parameters on PV performance: an experimental study

The accumulation of dust pollution on the photovoltaic (PV) module can have a significant effect on the productivity and efficiency of PV systems in different locations in the world. Dust which accumulated over time on the PV module and is based on weather conditions led to the reduction in the effectiveness of solar cells. The aim of this research was to experimentally investigate the effect of the natural dust and the effects of environmental parameters on PV performance. The experiments were conducted to propose a model for the current, voltage, power and efficiency and to simulate the effect of environmental parameters on PV performance. The natural dust investigated consisted of different compounds: SiO₂ (45.53 %), CaO (24.62 %), Al₂O₃ (10.83 %), Fe₂O₃ (10.46 %), MgO (6.33 %), K₂O (0.87 %), TiO₂ (0.45 %), SO₃ (0.24 %), MnO₂ (0.21), Cr₂O₃ (0.23 %), SrO (0.13 %) and NiO (0.09 %). It was found that the most accurate correlation is a polynomial from seventh degree for current, voltage, power and efficiency, fourth degree for solar radiation and temperature, cubic degree for humidity and wind velocity. The coefficients of general model are 0.6343, 0.0110, 0.0 and 0.0001 for PV module, respectively, with 0.0011 fitting factor. The proposed model has been validated using models in the literature.     

湖北省咸宁市光伏电站太阳能资源评价

为了对无太阳辐射观测的咸宁市进行并网光伏电站太阳能资源综合评价,拟采用水平面太阳辐射气候学推算方法和倾斜面辐射换算方法,即根据武汉站历史资料分月建立总辐射量和直接辐射量与日照百分率的推算方程推算出咸宁逐月太阳辐射各分量,分析其时间变化、资源丰度和稳定性,并基于Klein提出的散射辐射各向同性的假设,计算出该地不同倾斜面年总辐射量和最佳倾角。结果表明：咸宁地区近50 a（1961~2009年）水平面太阳总辐射年总量为4 0914 MJ/m2,该地区属于太阳能资源丰富区,该地辐射形式等级处于散射辐射较多(C)等级,且太阳能资源年变化稳定度较高。正南朝向斜面接受总辐射年总量最大的条件下其最佳倾角为18°,该倾角下斜面年总辐射量为4 2246 MJ/m2,比水平的值高出33%。设计容量为1 500 kWp的光伏阵列若按最佳倾角和方位角安装,每年可发电约132×106 kW·h。太阳辐射各分量的合理推算与多个评价指标的联合应用为光伏电站规划设计提供了科学依据,也为今后类似工作提供了样本。     

Thermal performance of a central annular cavity vessel with fins of a box-type solar cooker

Solar cooker is an alternate device used for reducing the problems of energy supply for cooking needs, especially in rural households. Though solar cookers have been commercialised in rural and other domestic areas, further research is still required to enhance the efficiency of the solar cooker. Previous studies have helped to ascertain that the central annular cylindrical hole in the cooking vessel reduces the length of the heat-transfer path and provides higher heat-transfer rate to the water kept in the vessel. Convective heat transfer can be further increased by providing additional surface area in the cylindrical hole. This study proposes a new cooking vessel with central annular cavity and fins attachment that will help in increasing the heat-transfer rate to the cooking vessel. Experiments are conducted with three types of vessels, i.e. conventional cooking vessel, cooking vessel with central annular cavity and cooking vessel with rectangular fins in the central annular cavity. For the annular cavity with fins vessel, a peak temperature of 98°C is observed. The maximum temperature difference of 30°C has been observed between annular cavity vessel with fins and conventional vessel. As the height of the lug is also expected to play an important role, experiments are conducted to determine the effect of lug height on the heat transfer to the cooking vessel. This study indicates that a lug height of 9 mm is optimum for maximum heat transfer to the cooking vessel.     

淡水养殖水体溶解氧含量诊断分析及浮头泛塘气象预报

通过实时监测荆州农试站养殖塘各种水质要素,结合2011~2012年养殖塘发生的25个鱼泛塘实例,探讨了养殖水体溶解氧含量与气象要素之间的联系。分析表明:养殖水体溶解氧含量与6 h变温、总辐射量、气压值正相关,与水温、空气相对湿度值负相关。从平时的调查记录来看,鱼泛塘事件主要发生在5~10月间,湿度大、气温低、气压下降、日照强度弱等都会引起溶解氧含量低,严重的会诱发鱼泛塘。根据25个鱼泛塘实例,结合气象要素的特点,提出了急剧降温降压型、寡照型、高温高热型3种鱼泛塘发生条件的概念模型,分别以实例进行了验证,并初步总结出根据气象要素观测资料进行浮头泛塘预报的方法和流程     

Microbial pollution of the blue and white Niles at Khartoum

The total coliform and fecal coliform bacterial load of the Blue and White Niles at Khartoum has been determined in the period of January–July 1984. The Blue Nile has been found to be more contaminated than the White Nile. The east bank of the White Nile was found to be more contaminated than the west bank. The microbial load of the rivers increased conspucuously as they passed through the city of Khartoum.     

Cosmic radiation dose in aircraft--a neutron track etch detector

Cosmic radiation bombards us at high altitude by ionizing particles. The radiation environment is a complex mixture of charged particles of solar and galactic origin, as well as of secondary particles produced in interaction of the galactic cosmic particles with the nuclei of atmosphere of the Earth. The radiation field at aircraft altitude consists of different types of particles, mainly photons, electrons, positrons and neutrons, with a large energy range. The non-neutron component of cosmic radiation dose aboard ATR 42 and A 320 aircrafts (flight level of 8 and 11 km, respectively) was measured with TLD-100 (LiF:Mg,Ti) detectors and the Mini 6100 semiconductor dosimeter. The estimated occupational effective dose for the aircraft crew (A 320) working 500 h per year was 1.64 mSv. Other experiments, or dose rate measurements with the neutron dosimeter, consisting of LR-115 track detector and boron foil BN-1 or 10B converter, were performed on five intercontinental flights. Comparison of the dose rates of the non-neutron component (low LET) and the neutron one (high LET) of the radiation field at the aircraft flight level showed that the neutron component carried about 50% of the total dose. The dose rate measurements on the flights from the Middle Europe to the South and Middle America, then to Korea and Japan, showed that the flights over or near the equator region carried less dose rate; this was in accordance with the known geomagnetic latitude effect.     

Effects of gamma irradiation on Holcus lanatus (Yorkshire fog grass) and associated soil microorganisms

An investigation was conducted to determine the impact of acute doses of gamma radiation on the microbial community structure of a Holcus lanatus dominated grassland soil. Mesocosms containing soil and established grass were irradiated using a sealed (137)Cs source (7.0 Gy min(-1)). Doses ranged from 5 to 160 Gy, analyses were conducted on the day of irradiation, then 7 and 30 days later. Plant growth and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungal colonisation of roots were reduced by irradiation. Gram-negative bacteria, and microbial metabolic capacity were also negatively affected by treatment. Microbial biomass measured by phospholipid fatty acid (PLFA) analysis, showed an increase at doses above 20 Gy, 7 and 30 days after treatment. Proportions of Gram-positive bacterial and fungal PLFAs fluctuated inversely to each other, in response to both sampling time and radiation dose. We hypothesise that many of the observed soil microbial responses are indirect effects mediated by the influence of ionising radiation on the plants in this system.     

Estimating biological half-lifes of radionuclides in marine compartments from environmental time-series measurements

Modelling radionuclide transfers between seawater and marine species on a short time scale basis requires being able to take into account the transfer kinetics. This means (1) to implement the effect of the biological half-lives of radionuclides together with the concentration factor in the calculation of transfers and (2), to get these kinetic parameters for each element and species. Biological half-lives are usually determined from laboratory labelling experiments with the challenge to match natural environmental conditions. The present work proposes a simple model that implements the effect of kinetic parameters in the calculation of transfers. This model is also used to derive the biological half-life and the concentration factor for 137Cs from time-series measurements of environmental concentrations in seawater and in the brown alga Fucus serratus, as an example. These transfer parameters are finally used to predict the Cs activities in Fucus serratus on the English Channel shores.