Simulating the yields of bioenergy and food crops with the crop modeling software BioSTAR: the carbon-based growth engine and the BioSTAR ET0 method

Background

With a growing production and use of agricultural substrates in biogas facilities, the competition between food and energy production, environmental issues, and sustainability goals has seen an increase in the last decade and poses a challenge to policy makers. Statistical yield data has a low spatial resolution and only covers standard crops and makes no statement in regard to yields under climate change. To support policy makers and regional planners in an improved allocation of agricultural land use, a new crop model (BioSTAR) has been developed.

Results

Simulations with weather and yield data from 7 years and four regions in Lower Saxony have rendered overall good modeling results with prediction errors (RMSE and percentage) ranging from 1.6 t and 9.8% for winter wheat to 2.1 t and 11.9% for maize. The model-generated ET₀ and ET_a values (mean of four locations) are lower than ET₀/ET_a values calculated with the Penman-Monteith method but appear more realistic when compared to field trial data from northern and eastern Germany.

Conclusions

The model has proven to be a functioning tool for modeling site-specific biomass potentials at the farm level, and because of its Access® database interface, the model can also be used for calculating biomass yields of larger areas, like administration districts or states. Out of the seven crops modeled in this study, only limited yield and test site data was available for winter barley, winter rye, sorghum, and sunflower. For further improvement of model performance and model calibration, more trial data and data testing are required for these crops.     

Dioxinähnliche polychlorierte Biphenyle (PCB) in der Umwelt

Goal and Scope

The state of the art on sources, transport and environmental fate, human exposure and toxicological risk assessment of dioxin-like polychlorinated biphenyls (PCB), and non dioxin-like PCB is described and summarized with focus on Germany and neighbouring countries.

Methods

Presentations and discussions of a two-days symposium in Germany are the primary source of information. The significance of dioxin-like PCB is evaluated in relation to polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDD) and dibenzofurans (PCDF). For that purpose, toxicity equivalent concentrations (TEQ) of both groups of contaminants in environmental matrices are compared.

Results and Conclusions

TEQ values of dioxin-like PCB are comparable to those of PCDD/PCDF in many environmental media; in food of animal origin PCB-TEQ is even higher. In most media, the non-ortho substituted PCB 126 has by far the highest contribution to the PCB-TEQ due to its high toxicity equivalency factor of 0.1. Atmospheric (long-range) transport obviously plays the major role for the diffuse PCB contamination of the environment. The transfer atmosphere-plant is apparently the key process for the entrance of dioxin-like PCB into terrestrial food chains.

Recommendation and Perspective

In spite of the decline of environmental contamination with PCB and PCDD/PCDF, a significant part of the general population in Germany and other European countries currently exceeds the tolerable intake of dioxin-like substances. However, also the results of a new toxicological risk assessment of non dioxin-like PCB implicate the need of further reduction of PCB exposure.     

Die Rolle der Globalisierung und Klimaveränderung auf die Entwicklung von Stechmücken und von ihnen übertragenen Krankheiten in Zentral-Europa

Mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases know no borders, and their spread is a consequence of globalization related to high mobility of humans and international trade as well as on climate change. Higher temperatures and precipitation favour the development of mosquitoes as well as the pathogens and parasites which are transmitted by mosquitoes. An increase of about 2?°C would shorten the time for the development of larvae and pupae of Anopheles messeae (vector of malaria) by almost three days resulting in an increase of gonotrophic cycles and number of generations. The higher numbers of breeding sites for Anopheles species such as An. plumbeus in cess pools due to the change of agricultural practises increase the contact with potential vectors of malaria as well. However, at least in Germany, malaria will not play an important role anymore. The invasion of new species such as Stegomyia albopicta (formerly Aedes albopictus) is enhanced by human migration and international trade. St. albopicta was first discovered in Germany in 2007. Nowadays, this species, originally from Southeast Asia, occurs in 13 European states. Thus, the risk for outbreaks of arboviroses is increased.     

Auswahl repräsentativer Standorte zur Modellierung der Ausbreitung von gentechnisch veränderten Pflanzen in Nord-Deutschland

Goal and Scope

The use of genetically modified plants (GMP) in agriculture is increasing rapidly. While GMP in North and South America are already established an extensive cultivation in Germany is yet to come. Risk assessment on possible effects of released GMP are mainly based on empirical studies with a small spatial extent (laboratories, small-scale field trials). The joint research project ‘Generic detection and extrapolation of genetically modified rape (GenEERA)’ aimed at estimating the dispersal and persistence of genetically modified oilseed rape (Brassica napus) by the use of individual based models. The objective of the article at hand is to give a detailed account of the spatial variability of climate in Northern Germany (German Federal States of Brandenburg, Lower Saxony and Bremen Mecklenburg Western Pomerania, Schleswig-Holstein and Hamburg). Based on this, a method was developed that includes both, the determination of representative oilseed rapefields for modelling the dispersal of GM oilseed rape at field scale, and the subsequent generalisation of the results to landscapes.

Data and Methods

The statistically founded selection of modelling sites was performed by a compilation of available indicators within a GIS environment which are supposed to be important for the dispersal and the persistence of oilseed rape. Meteorological data on precipitation (P), air temperature (T), and sunshine duration (S) collected at up to 1,200 monitoring sites from 1961–1990 were as well as data on wind conditions (W) aggregated multivariate-statistically by Ward cluster analysis. An ecoregionalisation was used for characterising Northern Germany ecologically. Phenological data on the start of the oil seed rape bloom differentiated in the monitoring periods 1961–1990 and 1991–1999, respectively, were regionalised by performing variogram analysis and kriging interpolation. These maps were used to select appropriate Landsat images to identify rape fields by remote sensing algorithms as well as to define the respective flowering periods for individual based modelling.

Results

The separately generated P-T-S-W-Cluster were aggregated to four homogenic climatic regions. In combination with agricultural clusters defining typical landuse patterns (crop rotation, cultivation management) eight model regions were derived which describe the climatic and agronomic variations in Northern Germany. For each of these regions a representative monitoring site was selected serving for individual based modelling. At last, the modelling results were extrapolated back to the model regions applying corresponding GIS queries.

Discussion

The generated climatic regions reflect the transition of marine climate at the North Sea to continental climate in Northeast Germany. The shift in flowering of oil seed rape coincides with other studies on phenological changes of agricultural crops and wild plants.

Conclusions

Due to the huge calculation efforts and the lack of adequate land registers it was not possible to simulate the potential dispersal of GM oil seed rape at farm scale. Thus, generalisations were used to describe the variations of relevant ecological drivers affecting the dispersal of GMP. It could be shown that the aggregation of those factors to homogenic climatic regions was a successful approximation.

Recommendations and Perspectives

Due to the limited empirical data base it is necessary to validate and substantiate the modelling results by a GMP monitoring. The EU Directive 2001/18/EC on the deliberate release of genetically modified organisms into the environment stipulates assessment of direct and indirect effects of GMP on humans and the environment by case-specific monitoring and general surveillance. It should be realised as soon as possible, since the release and the cultivation of GMP in Germany have been started, already. The monitoring should be complemented by the implementation of a web-based geoinformation system (WebGIS) which enables access to relevant geodata and monitoring data and assists in analysing possible GMP impacts.     

Grundwassergefährdung durch Holzschutzmittel

Goal and Background

As a consequence of the implementation of EU Directive 98/8/EC into national law in June 2002, all biocidal products will be subjected to an authorization procedure. Condition for issue of an authorization is that the product or its residues do not exert unacceptable effects on human and animal health or on surface water and groundwater. Hence, among other issues, impact of wood preservatives on groundwater is to be assessed. Focus is particularly on impregnating plants with open-air storage sites for treated wood.

Methods

Based on already in-use versions of the leaching model PELMO, an advanced version (MC-PELMO 3.0) was developed with a specific focus on estimating groundwater contamination under storage sites at wood preserving facilities in Germany. The model processes twenty-two different leaching scenarios that were derived from twelve characteristic soil profiles representing pedological regions in Germany along with recorded meteorological data from nine weather stations. These data are related to geographic distribution of industrial wood preserving activity. The model calculates statistic probabilities of concentrations of wood preservatives in seepage water beneath timber storage sites of regions to be selected by the user.

Results and Discussion

The reports provided by MC-PELMO 3.0 include mean average concentrations, 55 to 99 percentiles, and single maximum concentrations for each of the scenarios. the results can be related to the total area of Germany, its forest area or to the density of preversation activity in various regions. Beside concentrations of the parent compounds, those of degradation products may be calculated for the seepage water.

Conclusion

The described model is a particularly useful tool for comparative assertion of various wood preservative products under aspects of the exposure of groundwater resources. Comparative assertion is a new element within EU-chemicals policy, for the first time materialized in the biocidal products directive 98/8/EC. Furthermore, the results of model calculations identify vulnerable regions in Germany for which appropriate risk management measures have to be taken in order to protect groundwater from contamination.     

(Persistent) Organic pollutants in Germany: results from a pilot study within the 2015 moss survey

Background

Since 1990, every 5 years, moss sampling is conducted within the European moss monitoring programme to assess the atmospheric deposition of airborne pollutants. Besides many other countries, Germany takes regularly part at these evaluations. Within the European moss monitoring 2015, more than 400 moss samples across Germany were taken according to a harmonized methodology for the assessment heavy metal and nitrogen input. In a pilot programme, eight of these sites were chosen for additional investigations on a broad range of organic contaminants to evaluate their accumulation in moss and thereby their presence in atmospheric deposition in Germany. Target compound classes comprised polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAH), polychlorinated dibenzodioxins and –furans (PCDD/F), dioxin-like and non-dioxin-like polychlorinated biphenyls (dl-PCB, ndl-PCB), polyfluorinated alkyl substances, classical flame retardants as well as emerging chlorinated and brominated flame retardants. In total, 120 target compounds were analysed. For some analytes, comparisons of accumulation in moss and tree leave samples were possible.

Results

Except for certain flame retardants, PFAS, and ndl-PCB, substances of all other compound classes could be quantified in moss samples of all sites. Concentrations were highest for PAH (40–268 ng g^?1) followed by emerging flame retardants (0.5–7.7 ng g^?1), polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDE; 0.3–3.7 ng g^?1), hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD; 0.3–1.2 ng g^?1), dl-PCB (0.04–0.4 ng g^?1) and PCDD/F (0.008–0.06 ng g^?1).

Conclusions

Results show the widespread atmospheric distribution and deposition of organic contaminants across Germany as well as the suitability of moss as bioaccumulation monitor for most of these compound classes. Compared to nearby tree leaf samples, accumulation potential of moss appeared to be higher for pollutants of high octanol–air partition coefficient (K_OA) and octanol–water partition coefficient (K_OW).

     

Regionaler Klimawandel Sachsen

Goal and Background

Since consequences of global climate change include even contradicting directions and trends in different regions and seasons, regional studies are a necessity to understand regional problems and risks. Extreme precipitation is a highly variable climate element in time and space with serious economic and ecological impacts. The analysis of changes in the Saxonian precipitation characteristics is one constituent in our understanding of global climate change and regional climate-related risk assessment.

Methods

Changes of regional precipitation patterns and their extremes were analysed based upon data from 21 stations in Saxony from 1934 to 2000. Eighteen stations delivered 50-year data sets (1951–2000) and three stations (Altmörbitz, Chemnitz, Neuhausen) delivered daily precipitation data over 67 years (1934–2000). Differentiated by season and half-year periods, trends were calculated for the relevant parameters by linear regression. The trend significance was determined by the non-parametric Mann-Kendall-trend test.

Results and Conclusion

In the summer half of the year, distinctively more dry conditions developed. Over the same period, the winter half of the year became more wet. Regarding trends of extreme precipitation, a strong dependency to the size of the choosen treshold value exists. During the summer, size and excess frequency of the 90^th and 95^th percentiles have increased, whereas they decreased in the winter. On the other hand, the half year trends of the 99^th percentile are predominantly positive. Particularly the trend towards more dry conditions in summer is of substantial relevance for the economy and water management.

Recommendations and Perspective

The additional analysis of further precipitation data sets, provided by the Saxonion Climate database, will advance the regional accuracy of the presented findings. In addition work on the adjustment of an extreme distribution to daily and monthly precipitation sums is needed, and an effect-related definition of dry periods needs to be developed.     

DEHP (Di(2-ethylhexyl)phthalat)

Background, Goal and Scope

The plasticiser DEHP is suspected to affect the human reproductive system as an endocrine disruptor (Latini et al. 2004). A meta-analysis was performed to compare annual production amounts and daily uptake of DEHP.

Methods

For this purpose, production data were used from annual publications of the Federal Statistical German Agency (Statistiches Bundesamt) and daily uptake values on the basis of urinary secretion of DEHP metabolites from Wittassek et al. (2007a).

Results

It is shown that the daily uptake of DEHP by German university students is strictly and almost perfectly correlated with the industrial production of DEHP in Germany (correlation coefficient >0.9).

Discussion

The annual production amounts are reflected by the daily uptake values. When the production amount is high, the uptake increases; when the production amount is low, the uptake decreases.

Conclusions

This strict correlation allows the extrapolation of daily DEHP uptake for the 1970s years. On this basis it can be assumed that, at least for a part of the German population, the TDI of 50 μg/kg BW/day was exceeded. Because of their higher susceptibility and, therefore, higher uptake rate (Becker et al. 2004), a considerable exposure for infants might have occurred in these years.     

Pharmazeutisch aktive Substanzen in kleinen Fließgewässern

Background

Current hydrological research is increasingly focusing on pharmaceutically active compounds (PhACs). Concerning the issue of quality of drinking water, this problem has also become the focus of public interest. However, in spire of the fact that the fate of chemicals in surface waters has been assessed in great detail, the influence of groundwater-exchange is yet only little known.

Goal

This study gives emphasis to the question of how transport and degradation of PhACs interact with the exchange of surface water with groundwater. Special interest is given to alternating groundwater regimes.

Methods

Based on a small stream system in the north of Berlin, Germany, a one-dimensional compartment-model was established using differential mass-balance. The stream which, at its mouth, discharges 0.3 m³ s^?1 is already well investigated and thus provides a good empirical data basis. The processes taken into account by the model were ‘exchange of surface-water with groundwater’, ‘decomposition’ as well as ‘transport’ of PhACs. Calculations were performed using the commonly used analgesic Diclofenac as an example and defining 81 scenarios by different groundwater regimes. Hasse Diagramm Technique was used to compare the scenarios.

Results

All scenarios show a big influence of groundwater-exchange to the fate and concentration of PhACs in surface waters. In the case of the modelled stream system, dilution by groundwater was more responsible for a decrease in concentration than degradation was. Furthermore, on the background of a standard scenario, the loss due to groundwater by 5.4 percent was in the same magnitude as the loss due to decomposition (9.7 percent). A crucial difference between punctual versus linear afflux of groundwater has not been observed.

Discussion

The alteration of discharge resulted in a big influence of the case differentiation between ‘constant velocity’ and ‘constant cross-section’. Furthermore, the model was based on the assumption that groundwater was unloaded with PhACs or diluted very well in comparison to the stream. In contrast, regarding measurements in the catchment, groundwater could even be a diffuse source of the contamination of the stream.

Conclusions

The fate of PhACs in our model is crucially driven by interactions with groundwater. Therefore, assessing the risk emanating from substances like Diclofenac, it is very important to regard their accessibility to decomposition as well as the morphology of the stream-system and its interactions with the groundwater.

Perspectives

In this model, the process of transport from the surface to groundwater back to the surface was dealt with insufficiently; in order to be able to observe fully developed interaction in a further step of modelling, a groundwater-transportmodel should be coupled completely with a surface-water-model.     

Korrelation meteorologischer und pflanzenphänologischer Indikatoren des Klimawandels

Goal and Scope

While the rise of the air temperature as part of the global climatic change seems to be widely assured, questions about the effects of this phenomenon in ecological systems get more and more interesting. In this sense this article shows by the example of monitoring sites in Baden-Württemberg the correlation of air temperature measurements with data on the phenology of selected plants.

Methods

To this end the data on air remperature and plant phenology which are gathered from spatial dislocated measurement sites were correlated by prior application of Kriging interpolation. In addition, geostatistics are ssed to analyze and cartographically depict the spatial structure of the phenology in spring and in summer.

Results and Conclusion

The statistical analysis reveals a significant relationship between the rising air temperature and the early beginning phenological phases like blooming or fruit maturation. From 1991 to 1999 spring time as indicated by phenological phases begins up to 14 days earlier than from 1961 to 1990. As proved by geostatistics, this holds true for the whole territory of Baden-Württemberg.

Recommendation and Perspective

The effects of the rise of air temperature should be examined not only by monitoring of biological individuals as for example plants, but on ecosystem level, too. The German ecosystem research and the environmental monitoring should be supplemented by the study of the effects of the climatic change in ecosystems. Because air temperature and humidity have a great influence on the temporal and spatial distribution of pathogen carriers (vectors) and pathogens mapping of the determinants of vector and pathogen distribution in space and time should be done in order to identify hot spots for risk assessment and further detailed epidemiological studies.     

Influence of environmental factors on biodegradation of quinalphos by <Emphasis Type="Italic">Bacillus thuringiensis</Emphasis>

Background

The extensive and intensive uses of organophosphorus insecticide—quinalphos in agriculture, pose a health hazard to animals, humans, and environment because of its persistence in the soil and crops. However, there is no much information available on the biodegradation of quinalphos by the soil micro-organisms, which play a significant role in detoxifying pesticides in the environment; so research is initiated in biodegradation of quinalphos.

Results

A soil bacterium strain, capable of utilizing quinalphos as its sole source of carbon and energy, was isolated from soil via the enrichment method on minimal salts medium (MSM). On the basis of morphological, biochemical and 16S rRNA gene sequence analysis, the bacterium was identified as to be Bacillus thuringiensis. Bacillus thuringiensis grew on quinalphos with a generation time of 28.38 min or 0.473 h in logarithmic phase. Maximum degradation of quinalphos was observed with an inoculum of 1.0 OD, an optimum pH (6.5–7.5), and an optimum temperature of 35–37 °C. Among the additional carbon and nitrogen sources, the carbon source—sodium acetate and nitrogen source—a yeast extract marginally improved the rate of degradation of quinalphos.

Conclusions

Display of degradation of quinalphos by B. thuringiensis in liquid culture in the present study indicates the potential of the culture for decontamination of quinalphos in polluted environment sites.

     

Entscheidungsanalytische Simulation formalisierter Umweltmediationsabläufe

Goal and Scope

During the last 10 years environmental mediation has become a popular instrument in Germany to solve environmental conflicts. Environmental mediation is a voluntary negotiation process that is supported by a neutral third person and in which those involved in a conflict jointly search for solutions that are acceptable to all. The simulation of mediation processes can be used to determine the main factors that influence the progression of the conflict and to assess the potential and limits of environmental mediation.

Methods

In this article a decision-theoretical, dynamic model is discussed which is used to simulate a formalized mediation process. It covers, over and above the standard assumptions, the role of emotions. They are the missing link between a state of conflict, and rational, utility maximizing behavior as it is postulated in standard economics.

Results and Conclusions

With this model, the effects of several different parameter sets have been tested. Here, the willingness of the parties to negotiate and to agree to a compromise solution is discussed as well as the role of the integrated emotions which are envy and anger.

Outlook

Due to the large amount of data produced by the model, the evaluation has so far mainly focused on the results of the mediation process. For future research, a more detailed analysis of the simulation runs as well as experiments can help to make the model more realistic.     

Schwermetallbelastung von Dreissena polymorpha in Donau und Drau und ihre Bedeutung als Bioindikator

Goal and Scope

This study was undertaken to investigate the differences in heavy metal burden between the organisms and environmental compartments and to evaluate the role of Dreissena polymorpha as a bioindicator organism.

Methods

The concentrations of zinc, copper, cadmium and lead in whole soft body and selected tissues of D. polymorpha at two river habitats in Austria were examined using atomic absorption spectroscopy (AAS). Concentrations in organisms were compared to those in sediment and water.

Results and Conclusion

Zebra mussels of the river Drau showed generally higher heavy metal concentrations as compared to mussels of the river Danube and contained elevated zinc and cadmium levels as compared to metal concentrations found in soft tissues of zebra mussels from uncontaminated sites in Germany and The Netherlands. The essential metals zinc and copper were mainly accumulated in gills, foot and byssal gland tissue of the mussel, in contrast to the non-essential metals cadmium and lead which were found predominantly in the midgut gland. The heavy metal concentrations in both, sediments and mussel tissue, were higher than in water samples. There was no correlation between the concentrations in water and in the organisms except for zinc. In contrast, correlations were found between concentrations in sediments and mussel soft tissue.

Recommendation and Perspective

Further investigations should include the examination of sediments and consider the mechanism of food uptake to assess the role of D. polymorpha as a bioindicator organism.     

Ökotoxikologische Charakterisierung von Nonylphenol Isomeren

Background, Aim and Scope

Acute toxicity and estrogenic potency of six nonylphenol isomers, with nearly the same chemical structure and the same physico-chemical properties, were investigated in this study. Thes datasets give some insight into how far structure activity relationships can be used for these modes of action.

Methods

The toxicity of the isomers was investigated by the daphnia immobilisation test as well as the duckweed growth inhibition test. The estrogenic potency of the p-NP isomers was analyzed by MVLN-Reportergen-Assay.

Results

No differences between the isomers were found for baseline toxicity, neither in the daphnia immobilisation test nor in the duckweed growth inhibition test. Estrogenic potency of the isomers in the MVLN reportergen assay was markedly different for the tested isomers. The highest estrogenic potency was found for p353-NP, whereas p262-NP and p22-NP exhibited no estrogenic, but partial antagonistic potency in this assay.

Discussion

The results from this study clearly indicate how far simplification and structure activity relationships can be used in risk analysis. For bioconcentration and baseline toxicity structure activity relationships are possible and will allow simplification of the risk analysis. For special modes of action simple structure activity relationships are per se impossible. This was shown especially for the estrogen receptor interactions, where only small structural differences can lead to different modes of action.

Conclusions

It seems possible to reduce the effort for risk analysis, using combinations of measured data and predictive models. At the moment it seems unlikely that predictive models alone will and can be used for risk analysis.     

Wassergefährdungspotenzial nativer Öle und Fette: Berücksichtigung physikalischer Effekte

Aim and Background

Varying interpretations of the hazard potential of native oils and fats for aquatic ecosystems have led to conflicting international and national regulations. Background is the different consideration of physical effects. This study aimed at compiling published data on behaviour and effects of native oils and fats in water, hereby providing a basis for discussion on adequate classification of these substances.

Results

According to scientific data, physical effects may significantly contribute to the hazard potential of native oils and fats. This is especially important in risk assessment of spills, e.g. in the case of accidents. Basically, these effects are the same in marine and freshwater environments; the latter may even be regarded as worst-case situations with respect to physical effects.

Recommendations

Based on these facts, the German classification of native oils and their derivates as ‘not hazardous to waters’ according e.g. to § 19g of the Water Resources Act and § 4 of the Ordinance of Hazardous Substances should be revised. New criteria need to be incorporated into the evaluation procedure to allow an adequate assessment of these substances regarding physical effects.     

Die Kosten des Dieselbooms

Background

In many European states the number of cars equipped with diesel engines has dramatically increased since around ten years. This situation is quantified for Germany. Driven by the political motivation to reduce CO₂-emissions, increase of diesel cars has been stimulated by governmental measures of European as well as state bodies in co-operation with the industry.

Results

Reduction of CO₂-emissions with the help of diesel cars remained relatively small. On contrast, diesel cars are emitting much more of nitric oxides and fine particles compared with gasoline driven cars. Excess emissions by the ‘diesel boom’ are quantified. Health costs and impact on agricultural crops as well as on forestry are estimated with respect to the order of magnitude. Health costs caused by the inhalation of diesel combustion particles emitted by only the excess diesel cars in Germany are in the order of 200 Mio Euro per year. Knowledge gaps of the impact of ultra fine particles as well as of the action of particle traps are demonstrated.

Conclusion and Recommendation

In the public, particle numbers need to be discussed instead of particle emission loads (g km^?1) which have an insufficient correlation to health effects. Much more data are needed as to the toxicologically relevant particle size of <20 nm. Effectiveness and sustainability of a CO₂-reduction strategy by diesel cars are generally questioned.     

Predicting the aquatic toxicity of commercial pesticide mixtures

Background

Previous studies reported on a large (> 80%) compliance between the observed toxicity of pesticide mixtures and their toxicity as predicted by the concept of concentration addition (CA). The present study extents these findings to commercially sold and frequently applied pesticide mixtures by investigating whether the aquatic toxicity of 66 herbicidal and 53 fungicidal combination products, i.e., authorized plant protection products that contain two or more active substances, can reliably be predicted by CA.

Results

In more than 50% of cases, the predicted and observed mixture toxicity deviated by less than factor 2. An indication for a synergistic interaction was only detected with regard to algal growth inhibition for mixtures of fungicides that inhibit different enzymes of ergosterol biosynthesis. The greatest degree of compliance between prediction and observation was found for the acute toxicity of fungicidal products towards Daphnia and fish, while the greatest degree of underestimation of product toxicity occurred for the acute toxicity of herbicidal products towards Daphnia and fish. Using the lowest available toxicity measures within taxonomic groups as the most conservative approach resulted in a bias towards overestimation of product toxicity, but did not eliminate cases of considerable underestimation of product toxicity.

Conclusions

The results suggest that the CA concept can be applied to predict the aquatic toxicity of commercial pesticide mixtures using the heterogeneous data typically available in a risk assessment context for a number of clearly identified combinations of test species and pesticide types with reasonably small uncertainty.     

Der einfluß einer Vorbehandlung mit konstanten und wechselnden Temperaturen auf die Hitzeresistenz von Gammarus salinus und Idotea balthica

The crustaceans Gammarus salinus Spooner and Idotea balthica Pallas live in brackish waters and are capable of tolerating a variety of temperature and salinity conditions. Thus far, the capacity for non-genetic adaptation of such euryplastic animals has only been tested at different levels of constant temperatures. If exposed to both constant (8°, 14° or 20°C) and fluctuating (daily fluctuation: 8°?20°C) temperatures, the tested individuals reveal significant differences in heat resistance which become apparent within 12 h. G. salinus and I. balthica exhibit reasonable (meaningful) heat resistance, i.e., a positive correlation between the degree of heat resistance and the level of adaptation temperature (AT). Following a shift in AT (8° → 20°C or 20° → 8°C) the degree of resistance changes rather fast. This leads, under fluctuating temperature conditions, to diurnal changes in the degree of heat resistance. I. balthica also shows an endogenous diurnal periodicity of its heat resistance. In G. salinus, long-term exposure (2 to 4 weeks) to fluctuating temperatures [duration of temperature change: 2 h (Δ/2 h)] produces, during the day, a mean resistance value which coincides with the value obtained for AT 14°C-controls. This fact results from temperature-independent adaptation speeds (same after decrease and increase of AT). However, fast temperature change (ΔT/1 h) during exposure to fluctuating temperatures leads to a significant augmentation of heat resistance, presumably due to additional stress; such fast temperature changes are less well tolerated than slow fluctuations (ΔT/2 h). In I. balthica, low ATs are less efficient in terms of heat resistance than high ATs (great difference between AT=14° and 20 °C; small difference between AT=8° and 14 °C). In males, lowering of AT from 20° to 8 °C results, within the first 12 h, to faster loss of heat resistance than is the case for gain in heat resistance after AT increase from 8° to 20 °C. However, after prolonged exposure to the new ATs, completion of readaptation is temperature-independent. Under conditions of fluctuating temperatures (ΔT/2 h) resistance increases beyond the mean value (AT=14 °C). Further increase in resistance can be obtained through fast temperature changes (ΔT/1 h). In G. salinus, which occupies habitats with more extensive temperature fluctuations, the responses studied are less pronounced than in I. balthica.     

A new approach to investigate the interactions between sediment transport and ecotoxicological processes during flood events

Purpose

The 'step-by step' principle was introduced into the European Union legislation on genetically modified organisms as a means to cope with uncertainty about environmental risks from the release of genetically modified organisms into the environment. The approval process is orientated along the stepwise reduction of containment which reflects a precautionary approach towards the risks of genetically modified organism release. Thus, the gradual reduction of containment should keep pace with the gradual generation of risk-related knowledge. This paper strives to clarify the meaning, legal status and practical importance of the principle. It also looks at whether non-European Union countries have adopted the principle as well, and how they practice it.

Methods

The article is based on research of the relevant legal texts, court cases and legal literature. In addition, a number of dossiers of applications for the European Union authorisation of release and placing on the market of genetically modified seed were analysed.

Results and conclusions

Although 'step-by-step' is not a precise legal rule it does have legal meaning as a principle guiding the risk assessment and management of genetically modified organism introduction into the environment. Assuming a process of gradual reduction of containment and scaling up of release ranging from closed systems via experimental release to cultivation the 'step-by-step principle' requires that the knowledge on environmental risks of genetically modified organisms should be generated on stages previous to the ones where the risk can result in damage. The analysis of the legislation of China, the United States of America and Brazil showed a differentiated approach towards the step-by-step principle.