Linear least squares method for time series analysis with an application to a methane time series

A simple method of time series analysis, based upon linear least squares curve fitting, is developed. The method's advantages and disadvantages are discussed, and an example is presented using the Vostok Core methane record.     

Genetic amniocentesis following multifetal pregnancy reduction to twins: Assessing the risk

Fifty-three patients who elected to reduce their pregnancies to a twin gestation in our centre are known to have subsequently undergone genetic amniocentesis. Five of these patients lost their entire pregnancy following the genetic amniocentesis procedure. This is equivalent to a 9·4 per cent pregnancy loss rate for reduced twin gestations in comparison with an expected loss rate of 2 per cent for non-reduced twin gestations.     

BASIN SCALE WATER MANAGEMENT AND FORECASTING USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS1

ABSTRACT: Water scarcity in the Sevier River Basin in south‐central Utah has led water managers to seek advanced techniques for identifying optimal forecasting and management measures. To more efficiently use the limited quantity of water in the basin, better methods for control and forecasting are imperative. Basin scale management requires advanced forecasts of the availability of water. Information about long term water availability is important for decision making in terms of how much land to plant and what crops to grow; advanced daily predictions of streamflows and hydraulic characteristics of irrigation canals are of importance for managing water delivery and reservoir releases; and hourly forecasts of flows in tributary streams to account for diurnal fluctuations are vital to more precisely meet the day‐to‐day expectations of downstream farmers. A priori streamflow information and exogenous climate data have been used to predict future streamflows and required reservoir releases at different timescales. Data on snow water equivalent, sea surface temperatures, temperature, total solar radiation, and precipitation are fused by applying artificial neural networks to enhance long term and real time basin scale water management information. This approach has not previously been used in water resources management at the basin‐scale and could be valuable to water users in semi‐arid areas to more efficiently utilize and manage scarce water resources.     

美术课堂优化与个性化培养方法

当今美术教育提倡学生个性的发展,而个性化发展是在美术教育中的一个突出特点。创设愉悦的教学氛围,优化课堂设计、培养学习兴趣,是在美术教学中促进学生个性化发展的基本路径。巧妙运用评价语言去鼓励学生、根据学生实际情况因材施教、完善教学评价体系,彰显学生个性才能更好地提高美术教学的教学效率和教学质量,使学生的个性得到更好发展。     

Small towns in the united states: a perspective

Small towns are an important part of the rural settlement fabric in the United States, but there is very little substantive research into their capacity to survive or their intrinsic importance. However, recently there has been increasing interest shown by social scientists in these problems. This paper looks at features of this research from the point of view of the population and economic structure of small towns. It concludes by arguing that the problems of small towns are not indigenous to the towns, and calls for a comprehensive national urban policy.     

Dissipation of phosalone and diazinon in fresh and dried alfalfa

The objectives of this study were to determine the persistence of phosalone (S-6-chloro-2,3-dihydro-2-oxobenzoxazol-3-ylmethyl O, O-diethyl phosphorodithioate) and diazinon (O,O-diethyl O-2-isopropyl-6-methylpyrimidin-4-yl phosphorothioate) residues in fresh and baled alfalfa under field conditions. Plots of alfalfa were sprayed with each insecticide. Fresh alfalfa was sampled up to 20 days after treatment, and dried alfalfa was sampled up to 25 weeks after baling. Samples were analyzed for residues using high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) equipped with a UV detector. The half-lives of diazinon and phosalone in fresh alfalfa were 1.8 and 3.3 days, respectively. In baled alfalfa the half-life of diazinon and phosalone were 2.8 and 16.7 weeks, respectively. No diazinon residues were detected in baled alfalfa, sampled after week 9, although the concentration of phosalone found at week 25 was 5.51 mg/kg.