Prediction of the Vertical Profile of Ozone Based on Ground-Level Ozone Observations and Cloud Cover

Abstract

A number of statistical techniques have been used to develop models to predict high-elevation ozone (O₃) concentrations for each discrete hour of day as a function of elevation based on ground-level O₃ observations. The analyses evaluated the effect of exclusion/inclusion of cloud cover as a variable. It was found that a simple model, using the current maximum ground-level O₃ concentration and no effect of cloud cover provided a reasonable prediction of the vertical profile of O₃, based on data analyzed from O₃ sites located in North Carolina and Tennessee. The simple model provided an approach that estimates the concentration of O₃ as a function of elevation (up to 1800 m) based on the statistical results with a ±13.5 ppb prediction error, an R² of 0.56, and an index of agreement, d ₁, of 0.66. The inclusion of cloud cover resulted in a slight improvement in the model over the simple regression model. The developed models, which consist of two matrices of 24 equations (one for each hour of day for clear to partly cloudy conditions and one for cloudy conditions), can be used to estimate the vertical O₃ profile based on the inputs of the current day’s 1-hr maximum ground-level O₃ concentration and the level of cloud cover.     

Trends and Variability of Ground-Level O3 in Connecticut over the Period 1981–1997

Abstract

The temporal and spatial characteristics of ground-level (tropospheric) O₃ measured at 10 monitoring stations in Connecticut were studied from 1981 to 1997. To detect the O₃ trend caused by changes in precursor emissions, moving average filters and a linear least-squared regression model were used to eliminate the short-term variation and effects of temperature from raw time-series O₃ data. The results showed a significant decrease in the number of days exceeding the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and a small change in total O₃ concentration. The analysis indicated that the variation of daily maximum O₃, caused by changes in emissions, explained more than 10% of the total O₃ variation in Bridgeport and East Hartford during the past 17 years. Meanwhile, a strong weekly cycle was also found in O₃ time-series data, resulting in lower O₃ concentration in urban areas than in nonur-ban areas, implying that land use and land cover have impacts on the spatial distribution of ground-level O₃ in Connecticut.     

Infrared Measurement of Fluorocarbons,Carbon Tetrachloride,Carbonyl Sulfide,And Other Atmospheric Trace Gases

A cryogenic procedure for concentrating trace gases in the atmosphere has been developed and applied to the ambient air at Research Triangle Park, NC, Atlantic Beach, NC, and New York City. The concentrated gases have been analyzed by long path infrared absorption spectroscopy, with a detectability down to partial pressures of 10^?11 atmospheres. Carbonyl sulfide has been detected at partial pressures in the range 1 × 10^?10 atm. to 3 × 10^?10 atm. Carbon tetrachloride was always detected with a rather narrow partial pressure range of 0.7 × 10^?10 atm. to 1.1 × 10^?10 atm. Fluorocarbon-11 values ranged from about 1.3 × 10^?10 atm. at Research Triangle Park to 8 × 10^?10 atm. at New York City. Fluo-rocarbon-12 covered the range 1.8 × 10^?10 atm. to 1.0 × 10^?9 atm. Hydrocarbon pollutants varied widely in concentration, but were always detected, even in the clean rural air.     

Closing the Incentive Gap: The Role of Public and Private Actors in Governing Indonesia's Tuna Fisheries

Indonesia is one of the world's largest tuna producing countries, yet regulatory oversight remains weak and management is poor. Incentive-based approaches are a way to improve state-based resource management, but they often require strong government regulation. In this paper, we use principal–agent theory and the notion of the ‘incentive gap’ to explore how incentives could be brought to bear in Indonesia through a combination of private and public actors. With a shared fish stock like tuna, we argue that a double principal–agent problem emerges, where information, asymmetries between various players complicate management. We focus on the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard in three different tuna fisheries in Indonesia to identify the nature of the incentive gap, and comment on the mix of public and private actors currently engaged in tuna fishery governance towards reducing the gap. The double principal–agent problem is a useful yet underutilized framework to understand the dynamics of shared stocks management. In this first application to a developing country fishery, we conclude that information asymmetries cannot be overcome without the involvement of private actors, who are increasingly becoming important in aligning regional and global objectives with those of fishers themselves.     

Algae Biomass Based Media for Poly(3-hydroxybutyrate) (PHB) Production by Escherichia coli

In addition to biodiesel production from algae, the production of other valuable bioproducts facilitates the development of an algae-based biorefinery platform. The goal of this study was to utilize the aqueous fraction from a novel algal wet lipid extraction procedure as the medium for the production of a bio product, poly(3-hydroxybutyrate) (PHB), via the growth of recombinant Escherichia coli. PHB yield was measured at 34 % of the E. coli dry cell mass, and was increased to 51 % when the algae aqueous medium was supplemented with glucose. While the addition of inorganic nutrients to the aqueous phase did not increase PHB production or growth of E. coli, growth of E. coli was observed to increase with the supplementation of carbon substrate (glucose). The addition of carbon rich waste to the aqueous fraction of wastewater-derived algae may in the future provide a sustainable alternative. Future research will be directed at evaluating this concept to develop a sustainable process for the production of bioplastics through an algae-based biorefinery platform.     

Effect of low-density polyethylene on smoke emissions from burning of simulated debris piles

Low-density polyethylene (LDPE) plastic is used to keep piled debris from silvicultural activities—activities associated with development and care of forests—dry to enable efficient disposal by burning. The effects of inclusion of LDPE in this manner on smoke emissions are not well known. In a combustion laboratory experiment, 2-kg mixtures of LDPE and manzanita (Arctostaphylos sp.) wood containing 0, 0.25, and 2.5% LDPE by mass were burned. Gaseous and particulate emissions were sampled in real time during the entire flaming, mixed combustion phase—when the flaming and smoldering phases are present at the same time—and during a portion of the smoldering phase. Analysis of variance was used to test significance of modified combustion efficiency (MCE)—the ratio of concentrations of fire-integrated excess CO₂ to CO₂ plus CO—and LDPE content on measured individual compounds. MCE ranged between 0.983 and 0.993, indicating that combustion was primarily flaming; MCE was seldom significant as a covariate. Of the 195 compounds identified in the smoke emissions, only the emission factor (EF) of 3M-octane showed an increase with increasing LDPE content. Inclusion of LDPE had an effect on EFs of pyrene and fluoranthene, but no statistical evidence of a linear trend was found. Particulate emission factors showed a marginally significant linear relationship with MCE (0.05 < P-value < 0.10). Based on the results of the current and previous studies and literature reviews, the inclusion of small mass proportions of LDPE in piled silvicultural debris does not appear to change the emissions produced when low-moisture-content wood is burned. In general, combustion of wet piles results in lower MCEs and consequently higher levels of emissions.

Implications:Current air quality regulations permit the use of burning to dispose of silvicultural piles; however, inclusion of low-density polyethyelene (LDPE) plastic in silvicultural piles can result in a designation of the pile as waste. Waste burning is not permitted in many areas, and there is also concern that inclusion of LDPE leads to toxic air emissions.     

Temporal and spatial trends of PCBs,DDTs, HCHs,and HCB in Swedish marine biota 1969–2012

In the 1960s, the Baltic Sea was severely polluted by organic contaminants such as PCBs, HCHs, HCB, and DDTs. Elevated concentrations caused severe adverse effects in Baltic biota. Since then, these substances have been monitored temporally and spatially in Baltic biota, primarily in herring (Clupea harengus) and in guillemot (Uria aalge) egg, but also in cod (Gadus morhua), perch (Perca fluviatilis), eelpout (Zoarces viviparous), and blue mussel (Mytilus edulis). These chemicals were banned in Sweden in the late 1970s/early 1980s. Since the start of monitoring, overall significant decreases of about 70–90 % have been observed. However, concentrations are still higher in the Baltic Sea than in, for example, the North Sea. CB-118 and DDE exceed the suggested target concentrations (24 µg kg^?1 lipid weight and 5 µg kg^?1 wet weight, respectively) at certain sites in some of the monitored species, showing that concentrations may still be too high to protect the most sensitive organisms.