The art of measuring nothing: The paradox of measuring safety in a changing civil aviation industry using traditional safety metrics

Measuring safety as an outcome variable within the ultra-safe civil aviation industry during periods of deliberate organizational change is a difficult, and often fruitless, task. Anticipating eroding safety processes, based on measuring nothing happening over time, does not adequately capture the true state of an evolving safe system, and this is particularly relevant for leaders and managers in a civil aviation industry responsible for maintaining and improving ultra-safe performance while simultaneously managing demanding strategic business goals.In this paper, I will look at the difficulties of measuring safety as an outcome measure in high reliability organizations (HROs) using the traditional measures of incident and accident reporting during periods of deliberate organizational change inspired by the results from a 3 year longitudinal case study of the Norwegian Air Navigation Services provider – Avinor. I will first review the current safety literature relating to safety management systems (SMSs) used in the civil aviation industry. I will then propose a more holistic model that shifts the focus from the traditional safety monitoring mechanisms of risk analysis and trial and error learning, to the natural interactivity within socio-technical systems as found in high reliability organizations. And finally, I will present a summary of the empirical results of an alternate methodology for measuring perceived changes in safety at the operational level as leading indicators of evolving safety at the organizational level.     

高校师德建设浅析

师德建设是高校精神文明建设的重要组成部分。本文针对当前高校师资队伍建设中的不足,论述了师德建设的重要性,阐明了高校教师应具备的思想道德素质。     

北部湾卡盾藻(Chattonella spp.)种类鉴定

2018年9月在北部湾海域分离得到3株卡盾藻,采用光学显微镜对其进行形态学初步鉴定,并通过核糖体大亚基LSU rDNA和ITS基因进行系统进化分析。结果表明,卡盾藻北部湾株符合海洋卡盾藻形态学典型特征:藻体黄褐色,细胞呈纺锤形,无黏液泡,尾部具尖端,细胞平均长（57.8±9.1）μm。系统发育树上北部湾卡盾藻分别以96%（LSU rDNA）和99%（ITS）的自展支持率与不同来源的海洋卡盾藻、古老卡盾藻、卵圆卡盾藻、小型卡盾藻聚在同一大分支上。通过遗传距离分析发现,北部湾3株卡盾藻与不同来源的海洋卡盾藻、古老卡盾藻、卵圆卡盾藻、小型卡盾藻亲缘关系较近,LSU和ITS遗传距离分别为0.0000~0.0016和0.0000~0.0235;而与盐生卡盾藻亲缘关系较远,遗传距离分别为0.0415~0.0490和0.0733~0.0750。因此,综合形态学和分子生物学结果可以确定北部湾3株卡盾藻为海洋卡盾藻/海洋卡盾藻的变种。研究结果可为我国卡盾藻藻华藻种库的构建和卡盾藻北部湾株生理生态学的研究提供基础数据。     

北京市工业园区VOCs污染特征及健康风险评估案例：高新技术产业的环境影响

随着国家产业结构的不断调整和工业企业入驻园区刚性要求的不断强化,以高新技术为支柱产业的高新技术产业园区不断增加,为分析涉VOCs高新技术产业对园区环境质量的影响,选取北京市典型高新技术产业园区作为研究案例,采用BCT-7800A PLUS挥发性有机物在线监测系统对园区环境VOCs(共计115种)进行了监测,分析了园区环境VOCs污染水平和臭氧生成潜势,并计算毒性VOCs的危害指数(HI)和终生癌症风险(Risk).利用气相色谱-质谱/氢离子火焰检测器联用(GC-MS/FID)和高效液相色谱(HPLC)的方法检测了园区不同点位的环境VOCs,并对不同点位的环境VOCs污染特征进行了分析.结果表明：(1)连续监测期间高新技术产业园区φ(TVOCs)为(72.71±52.51)×10^-9,VOCs主要贡献组分为烷烃和OVOCs,占比分别为38.3%和21.8%,主要受燃料燃烧源影响,园区OFP均值为404.13μg·m^-3.(2)健康风险评价表明,连续监测期间园区毒性VOCs造成的非致癌风险(HI)均低于1,处于可接受水平;1,2-二氯乙烷平均致癌...     

Detecting pattern in biological stressor response relationships using model based cluster analysis

Environmental monitoring of aquatic systems is needed to estimate the quality of the systems, to evaluate standards and to study stressor–response relationships. Monitoring programs often focus on the collection of biological, chemical and physical measures of the system. An important concern is the effect of chemical and physical stressors on the biological community. Evaluation of relationships may be difficult as the extent of the relationship is not known. From a management perspective, interest is on what factors affect the biological community and where these factors have an influence. The focus of this paper is on the use of regression based cluster analysis as a tool for finding relationships between a single biological response and a suite of environmental stressors. The approach to cluster analysis uses a penalized regression classification likelihood and Markov Chain Model Composition Monte Carlo. This approach allows for simultaneous development of regression models and clustering of the regression models. The method is applied to the analysis of a data set describing stressors/response relationship in Ohio.     

Sterol production and phytosterol bioconversion in two species of heterotrophic protists, Oxyrrhis marina and Gyrodinium dominans

The kinetics and efficiency of sterol production and bioconversion of phytosterols in two heterotrophic protists Oxyrrhis marina and Gyrodinium dominans were examined by feeding them two different algal species (Rhodomonas salina and Dunaliella tertiolecta) differing in sterol profiles. R. salina contains predominantly brassicasterol (?99%) and <2% cholesterol. The major sterols in D. tertiolecta are ergosterol (45–49%), 7-dehydroporiferasterol (29–31%) and fungisterol (21–26%). O. marina fed R. salina metabolized dietary brassicasterol to produce 22-dehydrocholesterol and cholesterol. O. marina fed D. tertiolecta metabolized dietary sterols to produce cholesterol, 22-dehydrocholesterol, brassicasterol and stigmasterol. G. dominans fed either R. salina or D. tertiolecta metabolized dietary sterols to make cholesterol, brassicasterol and a series of unknown sterols. When protists were fed R. salina, which contains cholesterol, the levels of cholesterol were increased to a magnitude of nearly 5- to 30-fold at the phytoplankton-heterotrophic protist interface, equivalent to a production of 172.5 ± 16.2 and 987.7 ± 377.7 ng cholesterol per mg R. salina carbon consumed by O. marina and G. dominans, respectively. When protists were fed D. tertiolecta, which contains no cholesterol, a net production of cholesterol by the protists ranged from 123.2 ± 30.6 to 871.8 ± 130.8 ng per mg algal C consumed. Cholesterol is not only the dominant sterol, but a critical precursor for many physiologically functional biochemicals in higher animal. As intermediates, these heterotrophic protists increase the amount of cholesterol at the phytoplankton–zooplankton interface available to higher trophic levels relative to zooplankton feeding on algae directly.     

Spatial selection and inheritance: applying evolutionary concepts to population dynamics in heterogeneous space

Organisms in highly suitable sites generally produce more offspring, and offspring can inherit this suitability by not dispersing far. This combination of spatial selection and spatial inheritance acts to bias the distribution of organisms toward suitable sites and thereby increase mean fitness (i.e., per capita population increase). Thus, population growth rates in heterogeneous space change over time by a process conceptually analogous to evolution by natural selection, opening avenues for theoretical cross-pollination between evolutionary biology and ecology. We operationally define spatial inheritance and spatial selective differential and then combine these two factors in a modification of the breeder's equation, derived from simple models of population growth in heterogeneous space. The modified breeder's equation yields a conservative criterion for persistence in hostile environments estimable from field measurements. We apply this framework for understanding gypsy moth population persistence amidst abundant predators and find that the predictions of the modified breeder's equation match initial changes in population growth rate in independent simulation output. The analogy between spatial dynamics and natural selection conceptually links ecology and evolution, provides a spatially implicit framework for modeling spatial population dynamics, and represents an important null model for studying habitat selection.     

Decomposition of diverse litter mixtures in streams

In view of growing interest in understanding how biodiversity affects ecosystem functioning, we investigated effects of riparian plant diversity on litter decomposition in forest streams. Leaf litter from 10 deciduous tree species was collected during natural leaf fall at two locations (Massif Central in France and Carpathians in Romania) and exposed in the field in litter bags. There were 35 species combinations, with species richness ranging 1-10. Nonadditive effects on the decomposition of mixed-species litter were minor, although a small synergistic effect was observed in the Massif Central stream where observed litter mass remaining was significantly lower overall than expected from data on single-species litter. In addition, variability in litter mass remaining decreased with litter diversity at both locations. Mean nitrogen concentration of single- and mixed-species litters (0.68-4.47% of litter ash-free dry mass) accounted for a large part of the variation in litter mass loss across species combinations. For a given species or mixture, litter mass loss was also consistently faster in the Massif Central than in the Carpathians, and the similarity in general stream characteristics, other than temperature, suggests that this effect was largely due to differences in thermal regimes. These results support the notion that decomposition of litter mixtures is primarily driven by litter quality and environmental factors, rather than by species richness per se. However, the observed consistent decrease in variability of decomposition rate with increasing plant species richness indicates that conservation of riparian tree diversity is important even when decomposition rates are not greatly influenced by litter mixing.     

Detection and assessment of dust mite allergens in an indoor environment in Anhui,China

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Dust in the home environment is thought to be a potential trigger for increasing allergic diseases, such as allergic rash, rhinitis, asthma, and other...