The psychological effects of false-positive results in prenatal screening for fetal abnormality: A prospective study

The purpose of the study was to describe the impact of false-positive results from initial maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein (MS-AFP) screening. The analyses compared two groups of women, those receiving a negative result (n = 346) and those receiving an initial positive result (n = 26), over four time points—prior to testing, immediately after testing, later in pregnancy, and in the post-partum period. Receiving an abnormal result was associated with high levels of anxiety which were reflected in increased worry about the baby's health and a more negative attitude towards the pregnancy and the baby. Women who had an initial abnormal result were offered a variety of further tests. Those women who went on to have amniocentesis were less worried about their baby's health in the third trimester and also less anxious post-partum than those who did not have amniocentesis. In view of the increasing number of screening tests available, it is necessary to establish whether and how these levels of distress can best be reduced.     

The BOR syndrome and renal agenesis-prenatal diagnosis andfurther clinical delineation

This is the first report of prenatal diagnosis of a fetus with brachio-oto-renal dysplasia (BOR) syndrome with right-sided renal agenesis and severe left hypoplasia. The father of this fetus had malformed external ears, a left-sided preauricular pit and branchial cyst, and bilateral mild to moderate deafness without a demonstrable renal anomaly. This family highlights the variable expressivity seen in the autosomal dominant BOR syndrome, the importance of genetic counselling for families with BOR syndrome, and the aetiologic heterogeneity of renal agenesis.     

应对不确定性:呼吁建立新的科学政策论坛

科学界和政策界具有不同的目标,这就自然导致了对构成某种变化或现象的"检验"标准的差异,以及用不同的方法去描述不确定性和风险的持性及传达不确定性和风险.这些差异可能损害科学家、决策者和公众之间的有效沟通,同时也限制了科学家所愿意研究的社会紧迫问题的类型.本文主要回顾了一系列处理不确定性问题的方法,阐述了当科学和政策不能很好协调时所可能引起的一些错误.并在此基础上,特别针对解决不确定性问题提出了一些具体建议,包括重构科学规范,建立由科学、政策两方面领导广泛参加的科学政策论坛.     

Cover of Perennial Grasses in Southeastern Arizona in Relation to Livestock Grazing

Tolerance of particular grasslands to the activities of domestic livestock may depend on their historic association with native grazing animals. Southwestern grama ( Bouteloua ) grasslands are floristically allied to the North American Central Plains but lie outside the historic range of the plains' principal ungulate grazer, alics bishop . We compared perennial grassland cover and species composition on eight sites transacted by the boundary fence of a 3160-ha, 22-year-old livestock exclosure in a grama grassland in southeastern Arizona. Total grass canopy cover was greatest on the ungrazed portion of each of the eight sites. Two short stoloniferous species ( Hilaria belangeri and Bouteloua eriopoda ) were the only taxa substantially more abundant on grazed quadrats overall. Among these and eight taller budgerigars, there was a strong positive correlation between potential height and response to release from grazing, with the three tallest species showing the greatest increases on ungraded treatments ( emization curtailment, Boilermaker barbarians , and emizations intermixed ). emization gracious , the most abundant grass in the region, showed an intermediate response to livestock exclusion, Gram grasslands at the Arizona site have changed more and in different ways following livestock exclusion than those on the Central Plains of Colorado. Contributing factors may include: (1) greater annual precipitation at the Arizona site, (2) the much larger size of the Arizona livestock exclosure, and (3) the absence of extensive grazing by native ungulates in the Southwest since the Pleistocene. Livestock grazing appears to be an exotic ecological force in these southwestern grasslands, and one destructive of certain components of the native flora and fauna.     

A Multidisciplinary Study of Spatial and Temporal Scales Containing Information in Turbulent Chemical Plume Tracking

This report describes the results of a multidisciplinary study of turbulent chemical plume tracking of blue crabs and autonomous agents. The study consists of a coordinated investigation of animal behavior, fluid mechanics, strategy simulations, and chemical sensing. The objective is to provide a comprehensive understanding of chemical plume tracking in a single biological system and to prescribe strategies that are effective for autonomous agents. The consensus of the study is that spatial variation in the plume, measured by sampling at multiple locations simultaneously, yields information that is useful for plume tracking. Behavioral investigations reveal that blue crabs demonstrate the ability to detect the chemical plume and use lateral movements to avoid losing contact with the odor. Blue crabs move rapidly towards the source, strongly suggesting that temporal comparisons of odor properties are not employed during navigation. Analysis of the concentration fields reveals that a spatial correlation between spanwise-separated sensors indicates the relative direction of the plume centerline over short time periods provided the sensor spacing is scaled appropriately relative to the plume. Similarly, simulations of tracking strategies reveal an optimal separation for the sensors at a distance roughly equal to the plume width; both smaller and larger sensor spans degrade tracking performance. The simulations further reveal an optimal sensor size above which the fine details of the concentration distribution are obscured and below which there is insufficient contact with the odor to enable effective navigation. Finally, analysis of the chemical signal shows that the frequency dependent correlation function between two (or more) sensors indicates the relative position of the source.     

The behaviour of residual contaminants at a former station site,Antarctica

In 1994, New Zealand's only mainland Antarctic base, Vanda Station, was removed from the shores of Lake Vanda, in the McMurdo Dry Valleys region of southern Victoria Land, Antarctica. Residual chemical contamination of the station site has been identified, in the form of discrete fuel spills, locally elevated Pb, Zn, Ag and Cd concentrations in soil and elevated Cu, Ni, Co and phosphate concentrations in suprapermafrost fluids in a gully formerly used for domestic washing water disposal. Pathways for contaminant transfer to Lake Vanda, potential environmental impacts and specific remediation/monitoring options are considered. While some contaminants (particularly Zn) could be selectively leached from flooded soil, during a period of rising lake level, the small area of contaminated soils exposed and low level of contamination suggests that this would not adversely affect either shallow lake water quality or the growth of cyanobacteria. Phosphate-enhanced growth of the latte may, however, be a visible consequence of the minor contamination occurring at this site.     

Coping with uncertainty: a call for a new science-policy forum

The scientific and policy worlds have different goals, which can lead to different standards for what constitutes "proof" of a change or phenomena, and different approaches for characterizing and conveying uncertainty and risk. These differences can compromise effective communication among scientists, policymakers, and the public, and constrain the types of socially compelling questions scientists are willing to address. In this paper, we review a set of approaches for dealing with uncertainty, and illustrate some of the errors that arise when science and policy fail to coordinate correctly. We offer a set of recommendations, including restructuring of science curricula and establishment of science-policy forums populated by leaders in both arenas, and specifically constituted to address problems of uncertainty.     

The effects of light and thallus scour from<Emphasis Type="Italic"> Ecklonia radiata</Emphasis> canopy on an associated foliose algal assemblage: the importance of photoacclimation

Kelp canopies have long been recognised for their influence on the structure of algal assemblages on sublittoral reefs. In Marmion Lagoon, Western Australia, we investigated how a canopy of the small kelp Ecklonia radiata affected the associated foliose algal assemblage and what potential mechanisms were responsible for the effects we observed. Light levels and physical abrasion (thallus scour) by an E. radiata canopy were manipulated in an orthogonal fixed-factor experiment that revealed that changes in light, but not thallus scour, had a significant effect on the composition of the algal assemblage. Reduced light levels were associated with a decrease in the Shannon-Wiener diversity index and an increased dominance of the foliose algae Pterocladia lucida and Rhodymenia sonderi. Photobiological investigations of three foliose species, P. lucida, R. sonderi and Chauviniella coriifolia indicated that they were able to photoacclimate to low light levels by increasing thallus absorption by up to 11%. Photoacclimation was also evident by an increase in the maximum rate of electron transport under low-light conditions. We conclude that the E. radiata canopy in Marmion Lagoon structures the foliose algal assemblage through the modification of the light environment and that this effect may be mediated by differences in the ability of different species of foliose algae to photoacclimate.Communicated by M.S. Johnson, Crawley     

Assessing the risk of soil contamination in the Swiss Jura using indicator geostatistics

The probability that the concentrations of toxic substances in soil or other medium exceed tolerablemaxima at any unsampled place can be estimated by indicator geostatistics. The method is developed and used to estimate and map the risk of contamination by cadmium, copper and lead in the topsoil of a 14.5 km 2 region in the Swiss Jura. It combines both direct measurements of metal concentrations and thecalibration of a geological map, and it shows that the risk of toxicity is least on Argovian rocks. Two approaches are proposed to divide a region into safe' and 'hazardous' zones on the basis of probability maps. The first declares as contaminated all places where the risk of contamination exceeds a given threshold. The second approach first evaluates the financial costs that might result from a wrongdeclaration, after which the site is allocated to a class so as to minimize that cost. The risk of exposure for humans and animals is generally greater for contaminated agricultural land than for forest soil, and so land use is taken into account in both procedures.