TEMPORAL CHANGES IN THE YADKIN RIVER FLOW VERSUS SUSPENDED SEDIMENT CONCENTRATION RELATIONSHIP1

ABSTRACT: Dynamic linear models (DLM) and seasonal trend decomposition (STL) using local regression, or LOESS, were used to analyze the 50‐year time series of suspended sediment concentrations for the Yadkin River, measured at the U.S. Geological Survey station at Yadkin College, North Carolina. A DLM with constant trend, seasonality, and a log₁₀ streamflow regressor provided the best model to predict monthly mean log₁₀ suspended sediment concentrations, based on the forecast log likelihood. Using DLM, there was evidence (odds approximately 69:1) that the log₁₀ streamflow versus log₁₀ suspended sediment concentration relationship has changed, with an approximate 20 percent increase in the log₁₀ streamflow coefficient over the period 1981 to 1996. However, sediment concentrations in the Yadkin River have decreased during the decade of the 1990s, which has been accompanied by a concomitant increase in streamflow variability. Although STL has been shown to be a versatile trend analysis technique, DLM is shown to be more suitable for discovery and inference of structural changes (trends) in the model coefficient describing the relationship between flow and sediment concentration.     

基于可接受安全间距的单车道交通流模拟模型

交通流微观模拟是采用计算机对交通流进行描述及分析的方法。尤其对于复杂的交通流而言,微观模拟具有明显的优势,然而模拟的准确与否,关键在于模型的建立。笔者即是在研究我国单车道交通流特点的基础上,借鉴车道变换理论,基于驾驶员可接受的交通安全间距,分析安全变换车道的各间距之间的关系,阐述了有超车的单车道交通流模拟模型的建立方法     

地震应急的影响因素分析

本文在理论分析、国内外历史震例和救灾案例研究的基础上,同时参照我国的相关政策和法律法规文件,对影响地震应急(包括震前准备和震后应急行动)的因素进行了初步分类,并系统讨论了这些因素影响地震应急的方式、途径和程度.以期为地震应急的理论研究和地震应急的实际工作提供部分补充和指导.     

冬小麦霜冻害研究现状与展望

我国冬小麦主产区霜冻害的发生频率近年来有加剧的趋势,在前人研究的基础上,结合目前国内外研究动向,就我国冬小麦霜冻害研究现状、综合防霜技术和未来小麦霜冻害研究的趋势进行了探讨.     

县域经济所有制结构的调整

县域经济的所有制结构所表现出来的经济实体形式包括县属地方国有经济、多种形式的集体经济和民营经济,探讨了县域经济所有制结构的形式及其在市场经济中的作用.     

操作条件对UF&RO工艺制取纯水效率的影响

采用UF＆RO膜组合工艺制取纯水,考察各项操作条件对系统效率的影响.结果表明,自来水经UF＆RO膜组合工艺装置的出水满足试验纯水水质要求.对于UF系统,冲洗频率、过滤方式和操作压力均影响系统的制水效率.冲洗频率越大,制水效率越高;各种过滤方式中,死端过滤效率最高;在一定范围内,操作压力升高,制水效率反而下降.对于RO系统,应根据出水水质要求,选择合适的回收率和操作压力.     

流化床O2/CO2燃烧技术和化学链燃烧技术

O2／CO2燃烧技术不仅能使分离收集CO2和处理SO2容易进行，还能减少NOx排放，是一种能够综合控制燃煤污染物排放的新型洁净燃烧技术。流化床O2／CO2燃烧技术将流化床和O2／CO2燃烧技术的优点结合起来，有可能取得更好的效果。化学链燃烧技术打破了自古以来的火焰燃烧概念，开拓了根除燃料型NOx生成、控制热力型NOx产生与回收CO2的新途径，是解决能源与环境问题的创新性突破口。介绍了流化床O2／CO2燃烧技术和流化床化学链燃烧技术的原理和研究现状，比较了它们之间的差别，展望了发展前景。     

Spatial correlation and influencing factors of industrial agglomeration and pollution discharges: a case study of 284 cities in China

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Exploring the spatial correlation characteristics and influencing factors of industrial agglomeration and pollution discharge, which is of great...     

Optimization of bio-drying of kitchen waste: inoculation,initial moisture content and bulking agents

Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management - Bio-drying has been proved to be a promising method for treatment of MSW (municipal solid waste) and sewage sludge due to its high energy...