Evaluation of discrete host–parasitoid models for diamondback moth and Diadegma semiclausum field time population density series

The performance of discrete mathematical models to describe the population dynamics of diamondback moth (DBM) (Plutella xylostella L.) and its parasitoid Diadegma semiclausum was investigated. The parameter values for several well-known models (Nicholson–Bailey, Hassell and Varley, Beddington, Free and Lawton, May, Holling type 2, 3 and Getz and Mills functional responses) were estimated. The models were tested on 20 consecutive sets of time series data collected at 14 days interval for pest and parasitoid populations obtained from a highland cabbage growing area in eastern Kenya. Model parameters were estimated from minimized squared difference between the numerical solution of the model equations and the empirical data using Powell's method. Maximum calculated DBM growth rates varied between 0.02 and 0.07. The carrying capacity determined at 16.5 DBM/plant by the Beddington et al. model was within the range of field data. However, all the estimated parameter values relating to the parasitoid, including the instantaneous searching rate (0.07–0.28), per capita searching efficiency (0.20–0.27), search time (5.20–5.33), handling time (0.77–0.90), and parasitism aggregation index (0.33), were well outside the range encountered empirically. All models evaluated for DBM under Durbin–Watson criteria, except the May model, were not autocorrelated with respect to residuals. In contrast, the criteria applied to the parasitoid residuals showed strong autocorrelations. Thus, these models failed to estimate parasitoid dynamics. We conclude that the interactions of the DBM with its parasitoid cannot be explained by any of the models tested. Two factors may be associated with this failure. First, the parasitoid in this integrated biological control system may not be playing a major role in regulating DBM population. Second, and perhaps more likely, poor correlations reflect gross inadequacies in the theoretical assumptions that underlie the existing models.     

Soil amendments and cultivar selection can improve rice yield in salt-influenced (tsunami-affected) paddy fields in Sri Lanka

The tsunami disaster in the Indian Ocean in December 2004 caused devastation of agricultural soils by salt water over wide areas. Many rice fields located close to the coast were affected by the flood of seawater. Electric conductivity (EC) of soils in tsunami-affected rice fields was found to be higher compared to unaffected fields 2 years after the tsunami. Four soil amendments (gypsum, dolomite, cinnamon ash and rice-husk-charcoal) were tested for their influence on improving the yield parameters of rice grown in a tsunami-affected and a non-affected area. Yield parameters were compared with an untreated control of the same cultivar (AT362) and with a salt resistant rice variety (AT354). The salt resistant variety had the highest grain yield. The two amendments gypsum and rice-husk-charcoal led to an increase in grain yield compared to the untreated control, whereas dolomite and cinnamon ash had no significant effect on grain yield.     

Großräumige Regionalisierung der Kohlenstoffbindung in Wäldern Nordrhein-Westfalens

Background, aim and scope The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change understands carbon fixation in forests as an important contribution for the reduction of atmospheric pollution in terms of greenhouse gases. According to the German forest inventory on carbon in biomass an amount of 191?t C/ha was roughly estimated, without any spatial differentiation. Therefore, the aim of this investigation was to statistically identify factors that are significant for the carbon fixation and to map the spatial patterns of C sequestration in the federal state North Rhine-Westphalia. Materials and methods Together with information on climate, elevation, vegetation, and deposition, data from two forest monitoring networks were analysed statistically. Geostatistics and the decision tree algorithms Classification and Regression Trees (CART) and Chi-Square Automatic Interaction Detection (CHAID) were applied to calculate surface maps from punctual data on C in vegetation, in dead wood and in soil. Whereas spatial autocorrelation could be detected for the C loads in the humus layers, no surface maps could be calculated for the C contents of the mineral soils and for the forest trees/dead wood. Here, CART and CHAID were used to derive decision trees that were applied on available surface data to predict C loads for the entire study area. Results About 19?t C/ha could be predicted for the humus layer, 67?t C/ha for forest trees/dead wood and 90.7?t C/ha for the soil. An overall mean of 177?t C/ha was calculated for North Rhine-Westphalia lying 14?t C/ha below the German wide mean. Discussion Compared to the calculated results in another investigation a total of 68?mio. t C for the above ground dendromass was estimated. This is 11?mio. t C/ha higher than the amount calculated in this study and may be due to the fact that this value includes the C-pools in both, the brushwood and herbaceous layer in their estimations. The average C concentration in the humus layer all over Germany was found to amount for 20.7?t C/ha which is slightly above the C storage calculated for North Rhine-Westphalia. In the same study a Germany wide C average of 87.9?t C/ha was calculated which is very close to the 90.7?t C/ha calculated in this study. Conclusions The surface estimations of the C-pools in the above-ground biomass, the humus layer and the mineral soil enable to map the efficiency of the C-bounding capacity regarding the fixation of the greenhouse gas CO₂. The mean values derived in this study are in good accordance with estimations based on other techniques. Recommendations and perspectives The approach presented should be verified by application to Germany wide inventory data and by means of Regression Kriging. Furthermore, the C-fixation under climate change should be calculated by combining statistical methods and the dynamic modelling tool WASMOD.     

On the use of manned hydrogen-gas ballooning in boundary layer studies

Measurements of nitrogen dioxide, ozone and, for the first time, on-line, nonmethane hydrocarbons with a quasicontinuous gaschromatographic/flame ionization technique were performed on a manned hydrogen-gas balloon platform. A cycle time of 10 min allowed the determination of nonmethane hydrocarbons in the carbon number range of C₄-C₁₀ with a detection limit of 10 pptv. In addition, meteorological parameters (atmospheric pressure, temperature, humidity) along with GPS-data (global positioning system) was accomplished during the balloon flights. Balloon measurements of trace compounds provide valuable information about photochemical processes in the boundary layer since gas ballooning offers the only technique that stays in the same air parcel along Langrangian trajectories. In addition, gas ballooning represents a unique tool to elucidate micrometeorological observations such as atmospheric stability oscillations and local wind fields.     

Quantitative approaches to the analysis of stable isotope food web data

Ecologists use stable isotopes (delta13C, delta15N) to better understand food webs and explore trophic interactions in ecosystems. Traditionally, delta13C vs. delta15N bi-plots have been used to describe food web structure for a single time period or ecosystem. Comparisons of food webs across time and space are increasing, but development of statistical approaches for testing hypotheses regarding food web change has lagged behind. Here we present statistical methodologies for quantitatively comparing stable isotope food web data. We demonstrate the utility of circular statistics and hypothesis tests for quantifying directional food web differences using two case studies: an arthropod salt marsh community across a habitat gradient and a freshwater fish community from Lake Tahoe, USA, over a 120-year time period. We calculated magnitude and mean angle of change (theta) for each species in food web space using mean delta13C and delta15N of each species as the x, y coordinates. In the coastal salt marsh, arthropod consumers exhibited a significant shift toward dependence on Spartina, progressing from a habitat invaded by Phragmites to a restored Spartina habitat. In Lake Tahoe, we found that all species from the freshwater fish community shifted in the same direction in food web space toward more pelagic-based production with the introduction of nonnative Mysis relicta and onset of cultural eutrophication. Using circular statistics to quantitatively analyze stable isotope food web data, we were able to gain significant insight into patterns and changes in food web structure that were not evident from qualitative comparisons. As more ecologists incorporate a food web perspective into ecosystem analysis, these statistical tools can provide a basis for quantifying directional food web differences from standard isotope data.