长江中游城市群综合发展水平时空分异研究

区域可持续发展理念已被社会各界所接收,并逐步深入到社会发展计划及区域政策制定中。以区域差异分析为基础的区域格局优化是促进区域发展的核心内容。从经济发展、资源利用、环境保护、人口与公共服务和科技创新等5个方面选取23个指标,构建其监测评估指标体系综合分析长江中游城市群综合发展水平时空格局演变,有助于认清长江中游城市群综合发展格局形成的过程,出现的问题及产生的原因,从而制定相应的区域调控政策,这对于促进长江中游城市群内部区域之间协调发展及推进中部崛起战略具有重要的现实意义。基于2005年和2011年长江中游城市群37个地级市的统计数据,借助SPSS、GIS软件,采用全局主成分分析法评价分析其综合发展水平及时空分异,并对其成因进行分析。结果表明：区域综合发展分值有所提升,但增长潜力仍然很大;发展水平差异显著,且两极分化趋势明显;整体呈现出以武汉和长沙为中心,以南昌、合肥为副中心发展格局,但中心城市带动作用较弱,制约各城市群发展的因素各异。因此,未来长江中游城市群应努力提升区域经济发展总量的同时,转变经济产业结构,加强企业创新能力,寻求新的经济增长点。与此同时,应加大基础设施尤其是道路交通的投资强度;充分利用已有的地理区位及资源、科技人才优势发展第二、三产业,提高经济发展中资源的利用效率,降低能耗,保护环境;除此之外,还应加强区域宏观调控,注重城乡统筹发展,协调、平衡区域内部均衡发展,缩小区域之间及内部差异,促进技术转移和优势互补     

鄱阳湖夏候鸟小白鹭对环境样品中重金属的富集研究

通过采集鄱阳湖区北、中、南段小白鹭栖息区域（都昌县多宝乡洞子李村、鄱阳县珠湖乡瓢里山、进贤县前坊镇西湖李家）的环境样品（水样、土壤以及小白鹭食物）与小白鹭羽毛和蛋壳样本,分析其中Pb、Cu、Zn、Cd、V、Cr、Ni和As 8种重金属元素含量,判定鄱阳湖湿地环境中重金属污染状况及生物富集特征。研究表明,环境样品中土壤样品中的重金属含量符合国家Ⅱ类土壤标准,鄱阳湖水样重金属含量在Ⅰ类地表水标准范围之内,仅小白鹭食物（小鱼虾：小河虾、小鲫鱼、小八须鱼等）中的重金属含量高于国家食品标准。小白鹭对环境中重金属污染物的富集表现为：除3个采样点小白鹭羽毛中Cr元素,瓢里山与青岚湖采样点小白鹭蛋壳中Cu元素对其食物的富集系数>1,构成富集外,其他重金属元素均不构成富集,但小白鹭羽毛和蛋壳中的各重金属元素对水样的富集系数为14628～8 00610,富集程度较高。而水体样品中的各重金属在小白鹭食物样品中均存在富集,系数高达51716～14 21937     

特尔斐—模糊综合比较法评价生态环境质量变化

根据生态系统的组成,利用特尔斐测定法选定影响环境的因子,确定其权重,现场监测调查实际资料,判定各因子的作用分值,采用模糊综合法计算出生态环境变化前后的综合分值,以判定生态环境质量变化前后的好坏。     

天津市空气污染预报方法

文章论述了空气污染预报几种理论和方法,特别详细介绍了天津市空气质量预报方法及其应用效果。     

Contributions of deposited particles to pine needle polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons

The contributions of deposited particles (P) to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) levels in pine (Cedrus deodar) needles sampled from the Dalian region were evaluated by washing off the particles from pine needle surfaces. P values ranged from 4.4 +/- 2.2% for fluorene to 69.9 +/- 4.0% for indeno(1,2,3-cd)pyrene, and positively correlated with the logarithm of octanol-air partition coefficients (log K OA) of each PAH significantly. P and the total levels of 14 PAHs under study ( summation PAHs), that ranged from 490 to 3241 ng g(-1) dw (dry weight) with median value of 1521 ng g(-1) dw, were high for traffic areas, and low for residential or park areas, implying the significant contributions of PAHs in both gas and particle phases emitted by vehicles. However, PAH profiles in pine needles were not significantly altered by the washing, due to the low fractions (2-5%) of the 5- and 6-ring PAHs in summation PAHs. The high wind speed and frequently alternating wind directions in the Dalian spring could quicken the depuration processes of pine needle PAHs. Thus, the local meteorological conditions and source variations should be taken into account when using pine needles to implicate seasonal variations of atmospheric semi-volatile organic compounds.     

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in urban soils of Hangzhou: status,distribution, sources,and potential risk

Concentration, composition profile, spatial distribution, sources, and health risk of 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) were analyzed in 69 surface soil samples collected from Hangzhou urban districts. ∑PAHs ranged from 180.77 to 1,981.45 μg kg^?1 with a mean of 611.28 μg kg^?1. Among different functional areas, a higher level of PAHs was found in the roadsides, followed by commercial districts, residential areas, parks, and greenbelts. The composition of PAHs was characterized by high molecular weight PAHs (4?~?6 rings). Principal component analysis (PCA) and PAH isomeric ratios indicated that PAHs mainly originated from combustion, especially vehicle exhaust. The incremental lifetime cancer risks (ILCRs) associated with exposures to PAHs in soil were calculated separately for children and adults under normal and extreme conditions. The results showed that ILCRs for urban soil of Hangzhou were acceptable. However, attentions should be attracted on the sites of high PAH concentrations because the ILCRs were closed to 10^?4 under extreme conditions, especially for children.     

Multi-model ensemble simulation and projection in the climate change in the Mekong River Basin. Part I: temperature

This paper evaluates the performance of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) in simulating annual and decadal temperature in the Mekong River Basin from 1950 to 2005. By use of Bayesian multi-model averaging method, the future projection of temperature variation under different scenarios are also analyzed. The results show, the performances of climate model are more accurate in space than time, the model can catch the warming characteristics in the Mekong river Basin, but the accuracy of simulation is not good enough. Bayesian multi-model averaging method can improve the annual and decadal temperature simulation when compared to a single result. The projected temperature in Mekong River will increase by 0.88 °C/100 year, 2.15 °C/100 year and 4.96 °C/100 year for the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, over the twenty-first century. The findings will be beneficial for local people and policy-maker to formulate regional strategies against the potential menaces of warming scenarios.     

Phytoremediation of phenol using Polygonum orientale,including optimized conditions

Removing phenol from wastewater has become a major challenge of international concern. Phytoremediation is a novel and eco-friendly method and is attracting an increasing amount of attention for treating phenol in wastewater. We studied the ability of Polygonum orientale, which is frequently present around water bodies and in wetlands in China, to phytoremediate phenol. We determined the inhibition concentration for phenol on P. orientale using emergency toxicology experiments and morphological observations. Isothermal and kinetic models were created to assess the adsorption process involved in phenol removal. Comparison tests in sterile conditions demonstrated that metabolic removal was the main way in which the phenol concentrations were decreased, and removal by adsorption played a smaller role. An orthogonal test was performed to determine the optimum conditions under which P. orientale will remove phenol, and these were found to be an initial phenol concentration of 5 mg L^?1, 100 % natural light, and a 13-day treatment time. These results provide a theoretical basis for increasing our understanding of the mechanisms involved in the removal of phenol by P. orientale and will help in developing its application in the greening of urban areas to provide both phytoremediation and esthetic landscaping.     

A Superiority-Inferiority-Based Inexact Fuzzy Stochastic Programming Approach for Solid Waste Management Under Uncertainty

A superiority–inferiority-based inexact fuzzy stochastic programming (SI-IFSP) model was developed for planning municipal solid waste management systems under uncertainty. The SI-IFSP approach represents a new attempt to tackle multiple uncertainties in objective function coefficients which are beyond the capabilities of existing inexact programming methods. Through introducing the concept of fuzzy random boundary interval, SI-IFSP is capable of reflecting multiple uncertainties (i.e., interval values, fuzzy sets, probability distributions, and their combinations) in both the objective function and constraints, leading to enhanced system robustness. The developed SI-IFSP method was applied to a case study of long-term municipal solid waste management. Useful solutions were generated. A number of decision alternatives could be generated based on projected applicable conditions, reflecting the compromise between system optimality and reliability as well as the tradeoffs between economic and environmental objectives. Moreover, the consequences of system violations could be quantified through introducing a set of economic penalties, reflecting the relationships between system costs and constraint violation risks. The results suggest that the proposed SI-IFSP method can explicitly address complexities in municipal solid waste management systems and is applicable to practical waste management problems.     

Spatial and seasonal variations of pesticide contamination in agricultural soils and crops sample from an intensive horticulture area of Hohhot, North-West China

The spatial variability and temporal trend in concentrations of the organochlorine pesticides (OCPs), hexachlorocyclohexane (HCH) and dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane (DDT), in soils and agricultural corps were investigated on an intensive horticulture area in Hohhot, North-West China, from 2008 to 2011. The most frequently found and abundant pesticides were the metabolites of DDT (p,p′-DDE, p,p′-DDT, o,p′-DDT and p,p′-DDD). Total DDT concentrations ranged from ND (not detectable) to 507.41 ng/g and were higher than the concentration of total HCHs measured for the range of 4.84–281.44 ng/g. There were significantly positive correlations between the ∑DDT and ∑HCH concentrations (r ²>0.74) in soils, but no significant correlation was found between the concentrations of OCPs in soils and clay content while a relatively strong correlation was found between total OCP concentrations and total organic carbon (TOC). β-HCH was the main isomer of HCHs, and was detected in all samples; the maximum proportion of β-HCH compared to ∑HCHs (mean value 54%) was found, suggesting its persistence. The α/γ-HCH ratio was between 0.89 and 5.39, which signified the combined influence of technical HCHs and lindane. Low p,p′-DDE/p,p′-DDT in N1, N3 and N9 were found, reflecting the fresh input of DDTs, while the relatively high o,p′-DDT/p,p′-DDT ratios indicated the agricultural application of dicofol. Ratios of DDT/(DDE+DDD) in soils do not indicate recent inputs of DDT into Hohhot farmland soil environment. Seasonal variations of OCPs featured higher concentrations in autumn and lower concentrations in spring. This was likely associated with their temperature-driven re-volatilization and application of dicofol in late spring.