Glacier protection laws: Potential conflicts in managing glacial hazards and adapting to climate change

The environmental, socioeconomic and cultural significance of glaciers has motivated several countries to regulate activities on glaciers and glacierized surroundings. However, laws written to specifically protect mountain glaciers have only recently been considered within national political agendas. Glacier Protection Laws (GPLs) originate in countries where mining has damaged glaciers and have been adopted with the aim of protecting the cryosphere from harmful activities. Here, we analyze GPLs in Argentina (approved) and Chile (under discussion) to identify potential environmental conflicts arising from law restrictions and omissions. We conclude that GPLs overlook the dynamics of glaciers and could prevent or delay actions needed to mitigate glacial hazards (e.g. artificial drainage of glacial lakes) thus placing populations at risk. Furthermore, GPL restrictions could hinder strategies (e.g. use of glacial lakes as reservoirs) to mitigate adverse impacts of climate change. Arguably, more flexible GPLs are needed to protect us from the changing cryosphere.     

Response of Elk to Habitat Modification Near Natural Gas Development

Elk (Cervus elaphus) are known to shift habitat use in response to environmental modifications, including those associated with various forms of energy development. The specific behavioral responses underlying these trends, however, have not been effectively studied. To investigate such effects, we examined elk response to habitat alteration near natural gas wells in Las Animas County, Colorado, USA in 2008–2010. We created 10 1-ha openings in forests adjacent to 10 operating natural gas wells by removing standing timber in 2008, with concomitant establishment of 10 1-ha control sites adjacent to the same wells. On each site, we estimated elk use, indexed by pellet density, before and after timber removal. Concurrently, we measured plant production and cover, nutritional quality, species composition and biomass removed by elk and other large herbivores. Species richness and diversity, graminoid and forb cover, and graminoid and forb biomass increased on cut sites following tree removal. Differences were greater in 2010 than in 2009, and elk and deer removed more plant biomass in 2010 than 2009. Elk use of cut sites was 37?% lower than control sites in 2009, but 46?% higher in 2010. The initially lower use of cut sites may be attributable to lack of winter forage on these sites caused by timber removal and associated surface modification. The increased use of cut sites in 2010 suggested that elk possessed the behavioral capacity, over time, to exploit enhanced forage resources in the proximity of habitat modifications and human activity associated with maintenance of operating natural gas wells.     

Precipitation or evapotranspiration? Bayesian analysis of potential error sources in the simulation of sub-basin discharges in the Czech Elbe River basin

A global change assessment required detailed simulation of water availability in the Elbe River basin in Central Europe (148,268?km2). Using the spatially semi-distributed, eco-hydrological model SWIM, spatial calibration was applied. For 225 sub-areas covering the model domain (134,890?km2), evapotranspiration and groundwater dynamics were individually adjusted. The calibration aimed at good correspondences with long-term run-off contributions and the hydrographs for two extreme years. Measured run-off was revised from water management effects to produce quasi-natural discharges for calibration. At some gauges, there were large volume differences between these reference data and the simulations of the spatially uncalibrated model. Most affected were some sub-basins in the Czech part of the basin where the density of available climate stations was much lower than the German part. Thus, both erroneous precipitation data and systematic flaws in the evapotranspiration module of SWIM could have caused the differences. In order to identify the major error source and to validate the choice of spatial calibration parameters (evapotranspiration and groundwater dynamic corrections), MCMC analyses were made for three Czech areas. Optional precipitation correction had been considered by a third calibration parameter in the MCMC assessment. In two of the three cases, it can be shown that evapotranspiration corrections are preferable as precipitation errors are negligible. In the third case, where the analyses indicate a substantial error in precipitation data, an interpolation problem of the climate data at the edge of the model domain could be found. Hence, the applied method shows its potential to identify specific sources of uncertainty in hydrological modelling.     

Soiling of Building Materials

Six building materials were exposed at five sites in Birmingham, Alabama, to determine the rates of soiling by different levels of suspended particulate. The exposed materials were (1) painted cedar siding, (2) concrete block, (3) brick, (4) limestone, (5) asphalt shingles, and (6) window glass. Suspended particulate levels ranged from an annual geometric mean of 60 μg/m³ at the clean site to 250 μg/m³ at the most polluted site.

Degrees of soiling were determined by measuring reflectance from the opaque surfaces and haze through the glass. Excellent dose-response relationships were obtained for the white surfaces— painted cedar siding and asphalt shingles. The degree of soiling of the paints was directly proportional to the square root of the suspended particulate dose. The shingle soiling was directly proportional to the dose. These regression equations can account for from 74 to 92% of the variability in reflectance measurements.

Similar regressions for brick can account for from 34 to 50 % of the variability. Poor correlations were obtained for concrete, limestone, and window glass.     

Weekday/Weekend Differences in OH Reactivity with VOCs and CO in Baltimore,Maryland

ABSTRACT

This study compared the first-order frequencies for OH associated with volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and CO (hereafter called OH reactivity with VOCs or CO), the product of the VOC or CO concentration, and their respective k_OH value, on an average weekday with that on an average weekend day at a core urban site in Baltimore, MD. The average daytime concentrations were calculated for each of the 55 available Photochemical Assessment Monitoring Station (PAMS) VOCs using data from the Baltimore site. The data were sorted in descending order to highlight the important species based on concentration. The OH reactivity with VOCs was sorted in descending order to identify the important species based on the magnitude of the OH reactivity. A similar process was followed for the OH reactivity with CO. The contribution of the significant species to the weekday/weekend difference in OH reactivity was examined.

The OH reactivity with C₅H₈ was the largest among the OH reactivity with the PAMS' VOCs and was the same on the weekday and weekend. The weekday/weekend difference in OH reactivity with VOCs was entirely due to differences in concentrations of the anthropogenic VOCs. The OH reactivity with VOCs was 11% larger on the weekday. When OH reactivity with CO was included, the OH reactivity was 13% larger on the weekday.     

Comparison of Fine Particles and the Relationship between Particle Variations and Meteorology at an Urban Site and a Remote Site in the Eastern United States

Abstract

This study compared the variations in the mass of certain particles at an urban site, Washington, DC, and at a remote site, Shenandoah National Park, VA, in the eastern United States. Seven years (1991-1997) of Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), PM₁₀, coarse fraction, SO₄ ^2?, and total sulfur data were used for this study together with available meteorology/climatology data. Various statistical modeling and analysis procedures, including time series analysis, factor analysis, and regression modeling, were employed. Time series of the constituents were divided into four terms: the long-term mean, the intra-annual perturbation, the interannual perturbation, and the synoptic perturbation. PM_2.5 at the two sites made up ~72% of the total mass for PM₁₀, and the coarse fraction made up the remaining 28%, on average. Thirty-one percent of the PM_2.5 at the DC site and 42% at the Shenandoah site was SO₄ ^2?, based on average data for the entire period. At the DC site, the two main contributors to the constituent mass were the long-term mean and the synoptic perturbation terms, and at the Shenandoah site, they were the long-term mean and the intra-annual perturbation terms. This suggested that the constituent mass at the two sites was affected by very different processes. The terms that provided the principal contribution to the constituent mass at the two sites were studied in detail.

At the DC site, dew point trends, a climate variable, were the primary driver of the 7-year trends for PM_2.5, PM₁₀, the coarse fraction, and total sulfur, and SO₂ emission trends were the primary driver of the trends for SO₄ ^2?. SO₂ emission trends influenced the trends for PM_2.5 and total sulfur, appearing as the second term in the model, but only parameters dealing with climate trends had significant effects on the trends for PM₁₀ and the coarse fraction. At the Shenandoah site, only parameters dealing with climate trends affected long-term particle trends.