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961.
962.
Globalization of human infectious disease 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Globalization has facilitated the spread of numerous infectious agents to all corners of the planet. Analysis of the Global Infectious Disease and Epidemiology Network (GIDEON) database quantitatively illustrates that the globalization of human infectious agents depends significantly on the range of hosts used. Infectious agents specific to humans are broadly and uniformly distributed, whereas zoonotic infectious agents are far more localized in their geographical distribution. Moreover, these patterns vary depending on transmission mode and infectious agent taxonomy. This dichotomy is unlikely to persist if certain aspects of globalization (for example, exotic species introductions) continue unabated. This raises a serious concern for public health and leaves nations with the task of determining the infectious agents that have the greatest potential to establish within their borders. At the advent of a century characterized by an apparent increase in emerging infectious diseases, these results have critical implications for public-health policy and future research pathways of infectious disease ecology. 相似文献
963.
Fabrice Vinatier Philippe Tixier Christophe Le Page Pierre-François Duyck Françoise Lescourret 《Ecological modelling》2009
A stochastic individual-based model called COSMOS was developed to simulate the epidemiology of banana weevil Cosmopolites sordidus, a major pest of banana fields. The model is based on simple rules of local movement of adults, egg laying of females, development and mortality, and infestation of larvae inside the banana plants. The biological parameters were estimated from the literature, and the model was validated at the small-plot scale. Simulated and observed distributions of attacks were similar except for five plots out of 18, using a Kolmogorov–Smirnov test. These exceptions may be explained by variation in predation of eggs and measurement error. An exhaustive sensitivity analysis using the Morris method showed that predation rate of eggs, demographic parameters of adults and mortality rate of larvae were the most influential parameters. COSMOS was therefore used to test different spatial arrangements of banana plants on the epidemiology of C. sordidus. Planting bananas in groups increased the time required to colonise plots but also the percentage of banana plants with severe attacks. Spatial heterogeneity of banana stages had no effect on time required to colonise plots but increased the mean level of attacks. Our model helps explain key factors of population dynamics and the epidemiology of this tropical pest. 相似文献
964.
The determination of reproductive status and the reconstruction of individual reproductive histories are central to many ecological
studies. In cetaceans, it has been assumed that ovarian scars accumulate with age and provide a lifetime record of female
reproductive history. If ovarian scars persist, the number of scars should increase with age after puberty. To test this,
we examined age, reproductive status and ovarian scars from 187 short-beaked common dolphins (Delphinus delphis) from the eastern North Atlantic. The number of Corpus Albicans (CA) present in ovaries did not increase with age after age
at sexual maturity (ASM), suggesting that ovarian scars are not persistent and that their number at any one time would be
a function of rates of ovulation and healing, the latter being defined here as the resorption or disintegration of CA tissue.
Since female mammals stop ovulating when pregnant, inferences about healing rates could be made by using pregnant females.
Pregnant females had ca. 40% fewer scars than non-pregnant females. This suggests that most CAs would heal quickly, with a
half-life of less than 1 year, although larger scars may persist longer. Therefore, counting CAs would have limited potential
for reconstructing individual reproductive lifetime histories in the common dolphin. A reassessment of the use of ovarian
scars to reconstruct individual life reproductive histories in cetaceans is suggested. 相似文献
965.
Pereira R Pereira ML Ribeiro R Gonçalves F 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2006,139(3):561-575
Data gathered in this study suggested the exposure of rats and Algerian mice, living in an abandoned mining area, to a mixture of heavy metals. Although similar histopathological features were recorded in the liver and spleen of both species, the Algerian mouse has proved to be the strongest bioaccumulator species. Hair was considered to be a good biological material to monitor environmental contamination of Cr in rats. Significant positive associations were found between the levels of this element in hair/kidney (r=0.826, n=9, p<0.01) and hair/liver (r=0.697, n=9, p=0.037). Although no association was found between the levels of As recorded in the hair and in the organs, the levels of this element recorded in the hair, of both species, were significantly higher in animals captured in the mining area, which met the data from the organs analysed. Nevertheless, more studies will be needed to reduce uncertainty about cause-effect relationships. 相似文献
966.
The textile industry is confronted with serious environmental problems associated with its immense wastewater discharge, substantial pollution load, extremely high salinity, and alkaline, heavily coloured effluent. Particular sources of recalcitrance and toxicity in dyehouse effluent are two frequently used textile auxiliaries; i.e. dye carriers and biocidal finishing agents. The present experimental work reports the observation of scientific and practical significance related with the effect of two commercially important textile dye carriers and two biocidal finishing agents on biological activated sludge treatment at a textile preparation, dyeing and finishing plant in Istanbul. Respirometric measurements of the dyehouse effluent spiked with the selected textile chemicals were carried out for the assessment of the "readily biodegradable COD fraction" of the wastewater. The respirometric data obtained to visualize the effect of the selected textile auxiliaries on biomass activity was evaluated by an adopted activated sludge model. Results have indicated that the tested biocides did not exert any significant inhibitory effect on the treatment performance of the activated sludge reactor at the concentrations usually encountered in the final, total dyehouse effluent. The situation with the dye carriers was inherently different; one dye carrier appeared to be highly toxic and caused serious inhibition of the microbial respirometric activity, whereas the other dye carrier, also known as the more ecological alternative, i.e. the "Eco-Carrier", appeared to be biodegradable. Finally, the respirometric profile obtained for the Eco-Carrier was described by a simplified respirometric model. 相似文献
967.
The toxicity of the polyaromatic hydrocarbon pyrene to Mytilus edulis and Mytilus galloprovincialis was investigated in experiments conducted in the United Kingdom for M. edulis and in Turkey for M. galloprovincialis. Experimental conditions of temperature and salinity were chosen to be appropriate to the ambient conditions in which the mussels typically live. The effect of different feeding regimes on pyrene bioaccumulation and toxicity was also investigated. Feeding rate and neutral red retention biomarker techniques were used for toxicity assessment. An experiment with M. edulis demonstrated that mussels exposed to pyrene accumulated increasing amounts of this compound throughout a 15-day exposure period and that accumulation increased in relation to exposure concentration and with increasing concentration of unicellular algal food material. However, in these experiments, which were protected from UV light, there was no clear relationship between pyrene concentration in tissues and feeding rate. A clear concentration-response relationship was observed between tissue concentration and neutral red retention for days 1 and 7 of the experiment, but this relationship was lost by day 15, with evidence of the cells recovering. A similar experiment was conducted with M. galloprovincialis at a single (high) pyrene concentration in darkness. The feeding rate of the exposed mussels was always lower than the feeding rate of the control mussels, although the difference was insignificant at 7-day exposure. A decreasing trend in health status of the mussels was indicated by the neutral red retention assay results after 7 and 15 days of exposure to pyrene. In a third experiment (with M. galloprovincialis), an illuminated algal chemostat system containing pyrene was inserted in the exposure system as the food source for the mussels. Both biomarker results showed conclusively that toxic effects correlated with pyrene bioaccumulation, though there was no clear evidence for light-enhanced toxicity. These experiments showed that experimental conditions such as salinity, temperature and feeding regime and perhaps the species of mussel used may influence whether pyrene is perceived as being a toxic molecule. 相似文献
968.
The sorption of Cd and Pb by extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) extracted from activated sludges originated from wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) or Lab-scale bioreactors was investigated as a function of pH. The study was carried out using a polarographic method in the SMDE (stripping mercury dropping electrode) mode which is suited to determine labile metals in solution containing soluble ligands such as EPS. The results obtained provide evidence of the presence of a pH-sorption/desorption edge for Cd and Pb by EPS. The use of Kurbatov’s model gives information on the mechanisms involved through the determination of “relative complexation constants” (operationally defined) and the number of protons exchanged. The use of this model demonstrates that proton exchange with metals is not the only mechanism involved in metal biosorption by EPS. Other mechanisms such as cation exchange with Ca or Mg, global electric field surrounding the ligand or micro-precipitation of metals could be involved in metal sorption by EPS. The position of the pH-sorption edge curves and the “relative complexation constants” show that Pb displays a greater affinity for EPS than Cd. The studied EPS have large differences regarding binding strength of Cd and Pb. These differences are not correlated with the organic parameters measured to characterize the EPS, however the mineral fraction of the EPS could be involved to a large extent in the sorption of metal. 相似文献
969.
André L. F. Cançado Cibele Q. da-Silva Michel F. da Silva 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2014,21(4):627-650
The scan statistic is widely used in spatial cluster detection applications of inhomogeneous Poisson processes. However, real data may present substantial departure from the underlying Poisson process. One of the possible departures has to do with zero excess. Some studies point out that when applied to data with excess zeros, the spatial scan statistic may produce biased inferences. In this work, we develop a closed-form scan statistic for cluster detection of spatial zero-inflated count data. We apply our methodology to simulated and real data. Our simulations revealed that the Scan-Poisson statistic steadily deteriorates as the number of zeros increases, producing biased inferences. On the other hand, our proposed Scan-ZIP and Scan-ZIP+EM statistics are, most of the time, either superior or comparable to the Scan-Poisson statistic. 相似文献
970.
Muhammet Boran Hikmet Karaçam M. Salih Çelikkale Sevim Köse Muzaffer Feyzioglu Sebahattin Kutlu 《毒物与环境化学》2013,95(1-2):67-73
This paper presents data on the concentrations of 5 metals, copper (Cu), cadmium (Cd), iron (Fe), zinc (Zn) and lead (Pb) in Blue Whiting sampled from the Eastern Black Sea coast of Turkey. The highest metal concentrations of Cu, Cd, Fe, Zn and Pb were recorded in Blue Whiting with the values of 2.71, 0.601, 14.137, 15.322 and 1.078 μg g‐1 dry weight, respectively. On average the metal concentrations in Blue Whiting followed the order of Zn > Fe > Cu > Pb > Cd. Temporal differences of concentrations of these metals were significant (p < 0.05). Spatial fluctuations of Cu, Cd, Fe, Zn and Pb concentrations in Blue Whiting were also significant (p < 0.01). It was found that the concentrations of Cu, Cd, Fe, Zn and Pb in the muscle in Blue Whiting were below the limit of Public Health Regulation in Turkey. 相似文献