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21.
We present a framework of a scenario-based model that simulates the development of the municipality of Davos (Swiss Alps).
We illustrate our method with the calculation of the scenario for 2050 “Decrease in subsidies for mountain agriculture and liberalization of markets.” The main objective was to link submodels of land-use allocation (regression-based approach), material and energy flows submodels
(Material and Energy Flux Analysis), and economic submodels (Input–Output Analysis). Letting qualitative and quantitative
information flow from one submodel to the next, following the storyline describing a scenario, has proven to be suitable for
linking submodels. The succession of the submodels is then strongly dependent on the scenario. Qualitative information flows
are simulated with microsimulations of actor choices. Links between the submodels show different degrees of robustness: although
the links involving microsimulations are the weakest, the uncertainty introduced by the land-use allocation model is actually
advantageous because it allows one possible change in the landscape in the future to be simulated. The modeling results for
the scenario here presented show that the disappearance of agriculture only marginally affects the region’s factor income,
but that the consequences for the self-sufficiency rate, for various landscape-related indicators and ecosystem services,
and for the economy in the long term may be considerable. These benefits compensate for agriculture’s modest direct economic
value. The framework presented can potentially be applied to any region and scenario. This framework provides a basis for
a learning package that allows potential detrimental consequences of regional development to be anticipated at an early stage. 相似文献
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Sorption of sulfadiazine on Brazilian soils 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Antimicrobials, among them sulfonamides are widely used in veterinary medicine and can contaminate the environment. The degree to which antimicrobials adsorb onto soil particles varies widely, as does the mobility of these drugs. Sulfadiazine (SDZ) was used to study the adsorption–desorption in Brazilian soil–water systems, using batch equilibrium experiments. Sorption of SDZ was carried out using four types of soils. Adsorption and desorption data were well fitted with Freundlich isotherms in log form (r > 0.999) and (0.984 < r < 0.999), respectively. An adsorption–desorption hysteresis phenomenon was apparent in all soils ranging from 0.517 to 0.827. The experimental results indicate that the Freundlich sorption coefficient (KF) values for SDZ ranged from 0.45 to 2.6 μg1?1/n (cm3)1/n g?1. 相似文献
24.
Conclusions The European Seminar on the Integration of Environmental Concepts in University Teaching was a meeting characterised by rich discussion, innovative ideas, hard work and interesting personal contacts. Its goals will only be fulfilled if its results and conclusions will lead to innovative action and better protection of the earth's resources. The output of this conference must be a starting point for further discussion and research. This short paper cannot reflect all thoughts and conclusions that emerged in Brussels. The proceedings will be published in December 1989 and will be available from the Department for Human Ecology, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussel, Belgium. 相似文献
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Henner Hollert Susanne Heise Steffen Keiter Peter Heininger Ulrich F?rstner 《Umweltwissenschaften und Schadstoff-Forschung》2006,18(2):148
Tagungsankündigungen
Sedimenttoxizit?t — ein inhaltlicher Schwerpunkt beim SETAC Europe 16th Annual Meeting World Forum Convention Center in Den Haag, Niederlangden, 7–11 Mai 2006 相似文献29.
30.
The control of water collection in honey bee colonies 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
A honey bee (Apis mellifera) colony adaptively controls the collection of water by its foragers, increasing it when high temperatures necesssitate evaporative cooling inside the hive and decreasing it when the danger of overheating passes. This study analyzes the mechanisms controlling water collection once it has begun, that is, how a colony's water collectors know whether to continue or stop their activity. M. Lindauer suggested that water collectors acquire information about their colony's need for more water by noting how easily they can unload their water to bees inside the hive. In support of this hypothesis, we found that a water collector's ease of unloading does indeed change when her colony's need for water changes. How does a water collector sense the ease of unloading? Multiple variables of the unloading experience change in relation to a colony's water need. Three time-based variables – initial search time, total search time, and delivery time – all change quite strongly. But what changes most strongly is the number of unloading rejections (refusals by receiver bees to take the water), suggesting that this is the primary index of ease of unloading. Why does a water collector's ease of unloading change when her colony's need for water changes? Evidently, what links these two variables is change in the number of water receivers. These are middle-aged bees that receive water just inside the hive entrance, then transport it deeper inside the hive, and finally smear it on the walls of cells or give it to other bees, or both. A colony increases the number of water receivers when its water need increases by having bees engaged in nectar reception and other tasks (and possibly also bees that are not working) switch to the task of water reception. Evidently the activation of additional water receivers does not strongly reduce the number of nectar receivers in a colony, since a colony can increase greatly its water collection without simultaneously decreasing its collection of rich nectar. This study provides a clear example of the way that the members of a social insect colony can use indirect indicators of their colony's labor needs to adaptively control the work that they perform. 相似文献