中国财产保险业巨灾损失赔付能力实证分析

商业保险是社会化巨灾风险分散机制的重要组成部分,要在中国现阶段巨灾事件频发的复杂环境中构建合理的损失分摊机制,不能不考虑以损失补偿为主要功能的财产保险业应对巨灾损失的能力。在Cummins、Doherty和Anita的保险赔付能力度量模型框架及改进后的损失对数正态分布假设下,引入1998～2008年中国财产保险业经营数据,对2009年初时点上在中国大陆经营财产保险业务的39家财产保险公司及全行业巨灾损失赔付能力进行了实证分析。结果显示,由于全行业资本与盈余的低水平以及再保险市场发展的严重滞后,在1 200亿到2 000亿元的损失区间内,中国财产保险业的赔付能力缺口在26.8亿到815.6亿元之间,且缺口增长速度大于损失增长速度。通过与2008年初的赔付能力实证分析结果对比发现,灾害频发的2008年客观上显著降低了中国财产保险行业应对极端损失的能力。度量结果从实证基础上昭示了政府大力扶持和参与巨灾保险体系建设的必要性和紧迫性。     

牛粪自然好氧发酵微生物变化规律

以新鲜牛粪进行好氧堆肥,每间隔3d取样,以牛肉蛋白胨、高氏一号、PDA、豆芽汁为培养基,以稀释法,进行发酵微生物分离、培养、计数和鉴定.结果表明,新鲜牛粪中微生物主要为细菌;发酵过程中,细菌数量大于放线菌、霉菌约104～ 105倍,细菌是发酵过程中的优势微生物;中温性细菌是升温阶段主要作用菌群;嗜热放线菌及嗜热细菌是高温阶段优势菌群;霉菌是降温阶段优势菌群.进一步鉴定表明,细菌类群中的芽孢杆菌、纤维单胞菌,放线菌类群中的小多孢菌、小单孢菌、高温放线菌,霉菌类群中的木霉、曲霉、青霉等为发酵过程中的优势种类.酵母菌未参与发酵过程.     

核桃果皮炭粉对3种重金属离子吸附的影响

采用均匀设计的实验方法,研究了2种核桃果皮炭粉(提取水溶性混合物和未提取水溶性混合物的核桃皮炭粉)对Cr、Cu和Cd等重金属离子的吸附最优条件以及对3种离子吸附的影响因素。结果表明,核桃皮炭粉对Cr(Ⅵ)、Cd2+和Cu2+的吸附最优条件为:pH=4,温度为60℃,浓度为150μg/mL,吸附剂用量为2.4 g,时间为120 min;pH=4.5,温度为30℃,浓度为180μg/mL,吸附剂用量为5.4 g,时间为60 min;pH=5,温度为80℃,浓度为210μg/mL,吸附剂用量为0.4 g,时间为100 min;pH和Cr(Ⅵ)浓度增大,不利于2种吸附剂对Cr(Ⅵ)的吸附;pH和温度增大,不利于2种吸附剂对Cu2+的吸附;温度和吸附剂用量增加,有利于2种吸附剂对Cd2+的吸附。未提取水溶性混合物比提取水溶性混合物的核桃果皮炭粉对3种金属的吸附显著。2种吸附剂的吸附率均表现为Cr>Cd>Cu。     

降解SO_2功能菌的16S rRAN基因测序及降解特性

用低浓度SO2诱导驯化方法获得高效脱硫菌群,并用分离培养与16S rRNA基因测序技术相结合的方法鉴定菌群种属,分析驯化过程中种群结构的动态变化,同时研究分离纯菌种的脱硫性能。结果表明,从诱导驯化7 d和14 d菌液中分别分离出23株菌和22株菌,16S rRNA序列分析发现这些菌归属于13个种,其中有6个种（Rhodococcus erythropolis、Pseudomonas putida、Microbacterium oxydans、Sphingomonas koreensis、Acinetobacter junii、Acinetobacter johnsonii）对SO2-3有较强的降解能力,并在持续驯化过程中稳定的生长传代,降解产物以硫酸根为主,还有极少量的单质硫。与含混合菌的驯化菌液降解SO2-3的能力相比,单一脱硫菌的脱硫性能较弱。脱硫功能菌株及其基本特性的研究为微生物处理SO2烟气提供了丰富的菌源信息和理论基础。     

孔道结构对柴油机微粒捕集器工作特性的影响

针对柴油机微粒捕集器中灰烬颗粒的沉积特征,设计了一种非对称孔道微粒捕集器,基于非对称孔道微粒捕集器对微粒捕集器再生模型进行修正,分析了非对称孔道对微粒捕集器再生特性的影响。研究结果表明,增大过滤体进出口截面比能减少微粒捕集器的压力损失,降低碳烟再生时过滤壁面的最大温度,且非对称孔道能减少灰烬沉积对再生时壁面最大温度的影响,因此根据过滤体壁面厚度适当增大进出口孔道截面比可以有效提升过滤体的碳烟承载量,延长微粒捕集器的车载使用寿命。     

Spatial pattern and heterogeneity of soil organic carbon and nitrogen in sand dunes related to vegetation change and geomorphic position in Horqin Sandy Land, Northern China

To assesses the effect of geomorphology, topography, and vegetation changes on spatial pattern of soil organic carbon (C) and total nitrogen (N) in sand dunes, we used the quantitative methods to examine the spatial heterogeneity of vegetation cover, soil organic C, and total N in an 11-year naturally restored mobile dune (RMD11) and a 20-year naturally restored mobile dune (RMD20) that had been fenced to exclude grazing in Horqin Sandy Land, northern China. Our results showed that the vegetation cover, plant density, species number and diversity, soil organic C, and total N increased from RMD11 to RMD20 and increased from the 50 × 50-m plot (crest) to the 100 × 100-m plot (slope) in each dune. Geostatistical analysis showed that the spatial structural variance accounted for the largest proportion of the total sample variance in vegetation cover, soil organic C, and total N in each dune plot. Calculated spatial autocorrelation ranges of vegetation cover, soil organic C, and total N increased from RMD11 to RMD20, indicating that longer time since vegetation restoration results in a more homogeneous distribution of vegetation cover, soil organic C, and total N in sand dunes. In addition, the spatial continuity of vegetation cover, soil organic C, and total N decreased from the 50 × 50-m plot (crest) to the 100 × 100-m plot (slope) in each dune. These results suggest that the spatial distribution of soil organic C and total N in sand dunes is associated closely with geomorphic position related to the dune crest and slope, relative elevation of sampling site, and vegetation cover. Understanding the principles of this relationship between them may guide strategies for the conservation and management of semiarid dune ecosystems.     

Influence of changes in hydrodynamic conditions on cadmium transport in tidal river network of the Pearl River Delta, China

With rapid economic development, the Pearl River Delta (PRD) of China has experienced a series of serious heavy metal pollution events. Considering complex hydrodynamic and pollutants transport process, one-dimensional hydrodynamic model and heavy metal transport model were developed for tidal river network of the PRD. Then, several pollution emergency scenarios were designed by combining with the upper inflow, water quality and the lower tide level boundary conditions. Using this set of models, the temporal and spatial change process of cadmium (Cd) concentration was simulated. The influence of change in hydrodynamic conditions on Cd transport in tidal river network was assessed, and its transport laws were summarized. The result showed the following: Flow changes in the tidal river network were influenced remarkably by tidal backwater action, which further influenced the transport process of heavy metals; Cd concentrations in most sections while encountering high tide were far greater than those while encountering middle or low tides; and increased inflows from upper reaches could intensify water pollution in the West River (while encountering high tide) or the North River (while encountering middle or low tides).     

给水管网建设工程对环境的影响与污染防治措施研究

管网工程对环境的影响主要表现为施工期。施工过程将对声环境、环境空气、生态环境、社会环境等产生不同程度的影响。供热管网施工过程中,由于管网铺设、开挖将可能破坏地表植被。同时,施工产生的临时弃土,若处理不当,将可能产生水土流失;同时工程拆迁及施工期各类污染物的排放影响居民生活质量,以及管线敷设管沟填埋前将对居民出行产生一定影响。结合给水管网建设工程的特点,从施工期分析给水管网建设项目对环境的影响及需采取的污染防治措施。     

果汁生产废水处理工程实践

根据果汁生产废水的特点,采用混凝沉淀＋厌氧＋二级好氧处理的工艺,该工艺运行一段时间,处理效果稳定,BOD5的去除率大于95％,COD的去除率大于95％,出水水质达到污水综合排放一级标准。