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191.
Ecosystem services and hydroelectricity in Central America: modelling service flows with fuzzy logic and expert knowledge 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Bruno Locatelli Pablo Imbach Raffaele Vignola Marc J. Metzger Efraín José Leguía Hidalgo 《Regional Environmental Change》2011,11(2):393-404
Because ecosystem services are generally not produced and used in the same place, their assessment should consider the flows
of services from ecosystems to users. These flows depend on the characteristics and spatial distribution of ecosystems and
users, the spatial relationships between them, and the presence of filters or barriers between ecosystems and users. The objective
of this paper is to map the ecosystem services provided to the Costa Rican and Nicaraguan hydroelectric sectors, which are
crucial sectors for national sustainable development and depend directly on hydrological ecosystem services. The paper presents
an approach for modelling the flows of multiple services from diverse ecosystems to diverse users through different kinds
of filters in a landscape. The approach uses expert knowledge and fuzzy numbers to handle uncertainties. The analyses for
Costa Rica and Nicaragua show how the approach helps identify priority areas for the conservation and restoration of forests
for the services they provide to the hydroelectric sector. As such, it is a useful tool for defining spatially targeted policies
for the conservation of ecosystem services and for involving the users of ecosystem services in ecosystem management. 相似文献
192.
Luís Costa Kirsten Thonicke Benjamin Poulter Franz-W. Badeck 《Regional Environmental Change》2011,11(3):543-551
Within the changing fire regimes of Portugal, the relative importance of humans and climatic variability for regional fire
statistics remains poorly understood. This work investigates the statistical relationship between temporal dynamics of fire
events in Portugal and a set of socioeconomic, landscape, and climatic variables for the time periods of 1980–1990, 1991–2000,
and extreme fires years. For 10 of 15 districts, it was possible to observe moderate shifts in the significance of fire drivers
for the first two decadal periods. For others, pronounced changes of the significance of fire drivers were found across time.
Results point toward a dynamic (perhaps highly non-linear) behavior of socioeconomic and landscape fire drivers, especially
during the occurrence of extreme fire years of 2003 and 2005. At country level, population density alone explained 42% of
the inter-annual and inter-district deviance in number of fires. At the same temporal and spatial scale, the explanatory power
of temperature anomalies proved to explain 43% of area burnt. We highlight the necessity of including a broad set of socioeconomic
and landscape fire drivers in order to account for potential significance shifts. In addition, although climate does trigger
broad favorable fire conditions across Portugal mainland, socioeconomic and landscape factors proved to determine much of
the complex fire patterns at a subnational scale. 相似文献
193.
Marc Gracia Nacima Meghelli Lluís Comas Javier Retana 《Regional Environmental Change》2011,11(2):349-358
The current state of Mediterranean mountain areas has been driven by two main factors: intense traditional human activity
and the dynamics of the ecosystem itself. In this study, we examine land-cover changes in a National Park in the Pyrenees
mountains (NE Iberian Peninsula), which was designated a protected area 55 years ago. First, we have analyzed spatio-temporal
changes in land-cover pattern and forest dynamics from 1957 to 2005. During this period, land-cover dynamics consisted of
two main processes: (i) expansion of the forest area and (ii) increasing cover of forests already present in 1957. To analyze
the role of the conservation level of the park, we have also compared the results obtained within the park with those of unprotected,
peripheral areas. In the two areas with different protection level, dense forests increased throughout the period because
of the reduction in forestry activities. The peripheral area showed a higher rate of forest-cover change from 1957 to 2005
compared to the National Park. This higher increase in forest cover in the peripheral area could be related to a higher proportion
in the National Park of screes and rocky areas and to the decline and transformation of forest activities in these peripheral,
lower elevation areas. 相似文献
194.
There is the need to integrate existing toxicity data in a coherent framework for extending their domain of applicability as well as their extrapolation potential. This integration would also reduce time and cost-consuming aspects of these tests and reduce animal usage. In this work, based on data extracted from literature, we have assessed the advantages that a dynamic biology-toxicant fate coupled model for Daphnia magna could provide when assessing toxicity data, in particular, the possibility to obtain from short-term (acute) toxicity test long-term (chronic) toxicity values taking into account the inherent variability of D. magna populations and the multiple sources of data. The results show that this approach overcomes some of the limitations of existing toxicity tests and that the prediction errors are considerably reduced when compared with the factor from 2 to 5 obtained using acute-to-chronic ratios. 相似文献
195.
A new sample treatment method for the determination of four common booster biocides (Diuron, TCMTB, Irgarol 1051 and Dichlofluanid) in harbour sediment samples has been developed that uses liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) after microwave-assisted extraction, followed by clean-up and a solid phase extraction preconcentration step (MAE-SPE). The effects of different variables on MAE-SPE were studied. The recoveries obtained were greater than 75%, and the relative standard deviation was less than 7%. The detection limits ranged between 0.1 and 0.3 ng g−1. The developed methodology was successfully applied to the evaluation of the presence of booster biocides in sediment samples from different harbours and marinas of Gran Canaria Island (Canary Islands, Spain). 相似文献
196.
This paper reports data on the relative ability of CaO, CaCl2, MgO, MgCl2, TiO2, and hectorite (SHCa-1) to induce oxidative stress (as determined by lipid peroxidation, LP) in biological matrices. The effectiveness of structural (oxide form) versus soluble Ca and Mg to induce LP is compared. An assessment on cytotoxicity as affected by soluble and structural Ca, Mg, TiO2 and SHCa-1 is also addressed. LP was screened and monitored using the Thiobarbituric Acid Reactive Substances (TBARS). The extent of TBARS production was found to vary with the type and initial concentration of the soluble or structural cation, Ca or Mg respectively. Obtained results showed higher magnitude values for the latter set of experiments. In the presence of TiO2 no significant TBARS production was detected pointing out a negligible effect of TiO2 on LP. At solid concentrations ca. 100 ppm, CaO appears to be more effective than SHCa-1 to induce LP. By contrast at ca. 25 ppm, MgO appears to be more effective than the clay mineral. The SHCa-1 LP-inducing activity has been proven to closely relate to structural Ca. The prevalence of mechanisms that may induce LP but not cytotoxicity (as determined by cell growth inhibition) was also addressed. Results on cell growth inhibition as affected by soluble and structural Ca, Mg, TiO2 and hectorite provide evidence to support that structural Ca or Mg brings about significantly higher variations than soluble Ca. 相似文献
197.
A study has been made of the effect a reactive barrier made of pine (softwood) or oak (hardwood) wood intercalated in a sandy soil column has on the retention of linuron, alachlor and metalaxyl (pesticides with contrasting physicochemical characteristics). The leaching of pesticides has been carried out under a saturated flow regime and breakthrough curves (BTCs) have been obtained at flow rates of 1 mL min−1 (all pesticides) and 3 mL min−1 (linuron). The cumulative curves in the unmodified soil indicate a leaching of pesticides >80% of the total amount of compound added. After barrier intercalation, linuron leaching decreases significantly and a modification of the leaching kinetics of alachlor and metalaxyl has been observed. The theoretical R factors increased ∼2.6-3.3, 1.2-1.6-fold, and 1.4-1.7-fold and the concentration of the maximum peak decreased ∼6-12-fold, 2-4-fold and 1.2-2-fold for linuron, alachlor and metalaxyl, respectively. When considering the three pesticides, significant correlations have been found between the theoretical retardation factor (R) and the pore volume corresponding to the maximum peaks of the BTCs (r = 0.77; p < 0.05) or the total volume leached (r = −0.78; p < 0.05). The results reveal the efficacy of reactive wood barriers to decrease the leaching of pesticides from point sources of pollution depends on the type of wood, the hydrophobicity of the pesticide and the adopted water flow rate. Pine was more effective than oak in decreasing the leaching of hydrophobic pesticide linuron or in decreasing the maximum peak concentration of the less hydrophobic pesticides in soils. Efficacy of these wood barriers was limited for the least hydrophobic pesticide metalaxyl. 相似文献
198.
The study of extreme values and prediction of ozone data is an important topic of research when dealing with environmental problems. Classical extreme value theory is usually used in air-pollution studies. It consists in fitting a parametric generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution to a data set of extreme values, and using the estimated distribution to compute return levels and other quantities of interest. Here, we propose to estimate these values using nonparametric functional data methods. Functional data analysis is a relatively new statistical methodology that generally deals with data consisting of curves or multi-dimensional variables. In this paper, we use this technique, jointly with nonparametric curve estimation, to provide alternatives to the usual parametric statistical tools. The nonparametric estimators are applied to real samples of maximum ozone values obtained from several monitoring stations belonging to the Automatic Urban and Rural Network (AURN) in the UK. The results show that nonparametric estimators work satisfactorily, outperforming the behaviour of classical parametric estimators. Functional data analysis is also used to predict stratospheric ozone concentrations. We show an application, using the data set of mean monthly ozone concentrations in Arosa, Switzerland, and the results are compared with those obtained by classical time series (ARIMA) analysis. 相似文献
199.
Viana M Postigo C Querol X Alastuey A López de Alda MJ Barceló D Artíñano B López-Mahia P García Gacio D Cots N 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2011,159(5):1241-1247
Levels of cocaine and other psychoactive substances in atmospheric particulate matter (PM) were determined in urban environments representing distinct social behaviours with regard to drug abuse: night-life, university and residential areas. Three cities (with population >1 million and <0.3 million inhabitants) were selected. Mean daily levels of drugs in PM were 11-336 pg/m3 for cocaine, 23-34 pg/m3 for cannabinoids, and 5-90 pg/m3 for heroin. The highest levels were recorded on weekends, with factors with respect to weekdays of 1-3 for cocaine, 1-2 for cannabinoids and 1.1-1.7 for heroin. Higher levels were detected in the night-life areas, pointing towards consumption and trafficking as major emission sources, and possibly ruling out drug manufacture. The similarities in temporal trends at all sites suggested a city-scale transport of psychoactive substances. Correlations were detected between cocaine and amphetamine consumption (r2 = 0.98), and between heroin and cannabinoids (r2>0.82). 相似文献
200.
Otones V Álvarez-Ayuso E García-Sánchez A Santa Regina I Murciego A 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2011,159(10):2637-2647
A mining area affected by the abandoned exploitation of an arsenical tungsten deposit was studied in order to assess its arsenic pollution level and the feasibility of native plants for being used in phytoremediation approaches. Soil and plant samples were collected at different distances from the polluting sources and analysed for their As content and distribution. Critical soil total concentrations of As were found, with values in the range 70-5330 mg kg−1 in the uppermost layer. The plant community develops As tolerance by exclusion strategies. Of the plant species growing in the most polluted site, the shrubs Salix atrocinerea Brot. and Genista scorpius (L.) DC. exhibit the lowest bioaccumulation factor (BF) values for their aerial parts, suggesting their suitability to be used with revegetation purposes. The species Scirpus holoschoenus L. highlights for its important potential to stabilise As at root level, accumulating As contents up to 3164 mg kg−1. 相似文献