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141.
Many populations of animals are fluid in both space and time, making estimation of numbers difficult. Much attention has been devoted to estimation of bias in detection of animals that are present at the time of survey. However, an equally important problem is estimation of population size when all animals are not present on all survey occasions. Here, we showcase use of the superpopulation approach to capture-recapture modeling for estimating populations where group membership is asynchronous, and where considerable overlap in group membership among sampling occasions may occur. We estimate total population size of long-legged wading bird (Great Egret and White Ibis) breeding colonies from aerial observations of individually identifiable nests at various times in the nesting season. Initiation and termination of nests were analogous to entry and departure from a population. Estimates using the superpopulation approach were 47-382% larger than peak aerial counts of the same colonies. Our results indicate that the use of the superpopulation approach to model nesting asynchrony provides a considerably less biased and more efficient estimate of nesting activity than traditional methods. We suggest that this approach may also be used to derive population estimates in a variety of situations where group membership is fluid. 相似文献
142.
Becky L. Williams Vanessa Lovenburg Christine L. Huffard Roy L. Caldwell 《Chemoecology》2011,21(3):131-141
Some pelagic marine larvae possess anti-predator chemical defenses. Occasionally, toxic adults imbue their young with their
own defensive cocktails. We examined paralarvae of the greater blue-ringed octopus (Hapalochlaena lunulata) for the deadly neurotoxin tetrodotoxin (TTX), and if present, whether TTX conferred protection to individual paralarvae.
Paralarvae of H. lunulata possessed 150 ± 17 ng TTX each. These paralarvae appeared distasteful to a variety of fish and stomatopod predators, yet
food items spiked with 200 ng TTX were readily consumed by predators. We conclude that TTX alone does not confer individual
protection to paralarvae of H. lunulata, and that they possess an alternative defense. In larger doses, tetrodotoxin is a deterrent to the predatory stomatopod Haptosquilla trispinosa (mean dose = 3.97 μg/g). This corresponds to 12–13 paralarvae per predator based on the TTX levels of the clutch we examined.
Thus, the basic assumption that individual paralarvae of H. lunulata are defended by TTX alone was disproved. Instead, functionality of TTX levels in paralarvae may arise through alternative
selective pathways, such as deterrence to parasites, through kin selection, or against predator species not tested here. 相似文献
143.
Williams AF 《Traffic injury prevention》2011,12(3):207-209
The widespread application of graduated driver licensing (GDL), starting in the mid-1990s, has greatly reduced young driver crashes. Substantial further reductions are possible by raising the licensing age to 17. This can be done indirectly, through extension of GDL policies (minimum learner age of 16, one-year holding period), or by legislation directly establishing 17 as the licensing age. Other approaches are likely to have limited impact. 相似文献
144.
145.
Abayomi A Nimmo M Williams C Olayinka KO Osuntogun B Alo B Worsfold PJ 《Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM》2011,13(7):1884-1889
Roadside soils were sampled from the Lagos Lagoon catchment during the wet and dry seasons over the period 2005-2009. Lagoon sediment samples were also collected within the same period. All samples were digested with aqua regia to determine total phosphorus and extracted with 0.5 M sodium bicarbonate to determine the bioavailable fraction (Olsen-P). A segmented flow analyser method was used for analysis and good accuracy was demonstrated for two reference soils (SO-2 from CCMET and SRM 2711 from NIST). The Lagos Lagoon is a hypereutrophic water body (1270 ± 1170 μg P L(-1)), with significant areas of anoxia and water hyacinth growth. The total phosphorus concentrations in roadside soils (16 sites; mean ± 2 S.D.) were 285 ± 279 mg kg(-1) in the wet season and 424 ± 629 mg kg(-1) in the dry season, indicating that rainwater leaching is a major source of phosphorus in the lagoon. The bioavailable fractions were 5.17 ± 3.47 mg kg(-1) (2.1 ± 1.5% of the total) in the wet season and 13.0 ± 8.7 mg kg(-1) (4.3 ± 4.5% of the total) in the dry season. 相似文献
146.
Masahiro Nakaoka Masatoshi Matsumasa Tetsuhiko Toyohara Susan L. Williams 《Marine Biology》2008,153(4):589-598
Eelgrass, Zostera marina, produces two types of shoots: morphologically simple vegetative shoots and highly branched flowering (reproductive) shoots,
the latter found only in summer months. We examined whether the abundance and diversity of mobile epifaunal assemblage are
affected by the presence of flowering shoots in an eelgrass meadow of Otsuchi Bay, northeastern Japan. Comparisons of epifauna
in natural vegetation revealed that density and species richness did not differ significantly between sites consisting of
both flowering and vegetative shoots, and those only of vegetative shoots. A transplant experiment, conducted to examine the
colonization rates of epifauna to defaunated eelgrass planted with different combination of vegetative and flowering shoots,
showed no obvious variation in abundance and species richness. At species level, the density of some species such as a tanaid
Zeuxo sp. and a polychaete Platynereis sp. was higher at sites and/or treatments with flowering shoots, whereas that of some gastropods, such as Lirularia iridescens and Siphonacmea oblongata was higher at sites without flowering shoots. The species-specific response led to dissimilarity of epifaunal assemblage
between sites and among treatments with different densities of vegetative and flowering shoots. Similar patterns observed
for natural vegetation and the transplant experiment suggest that the variation in assemblage structure is caused by habitat
selection of each species, for example, the utilization of flowering shoots as feeding ground and nursery by Zeuxo sp. 相似文献
147.
Christopher J. Williams Patricia J. Heglund 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(4):495-513
Habitat association models are commonly developed for individual animal species using generalized linear modeling methods
such as logistic regression. We considered the issue of grouping species based on their habitat use so that management decisions
can be based on sets of species rather than individual species. This research was motivated by a study of western landbirds
in northern Idaho forests. The method we examined was to separately fit models to each species and to use a generalized Mahalanobis
distance between coefficient vectors to create a distance matrix among species. Clustering methods were used to group species
from the distance matrix, and multidimensional scaling methods were used to visualize the relations among species groups.
Methods were also discussed for evaluating the sensitivity of the conclusions because of outliers or influential data points.
We illustrate these methods with data from the landbird study conducted in northern Idaho. Simulation results are presented
to compare the success of this method to alternative methods using Euclidean distance between coefficient vectors and to methods
that do not use habitat association models. These simulations demonstrate that our Mahalanobis-distance-based method was nearly
always better than Euclidean-distance-based methods or methods not based on habitat association models. The methods used to
develop candidate species groups are easily explained to other scientists and resource managers since they mainly rely on
classical multivariate statistical methods. 相似文献
148.
L. Richard Little André E. Punt Bruce D. Mapstone Gavin A. Begg Barry Goldman Ashley J. Williams 《Ecological modelling》2009
Individual transferable quotas (ITQs) are increasingly seen as a way to make fisheries more profitable and halt over-capitalisation. ITQs allocate to users of a resource a share of a total allowable catch (TAC) which they are free to use, lease, or sell. We outline an approach to modelling the effect of an ITQ system in a multi-species, multi-sector fishery and apply it to the Coral Reef Fin Fish Fishery (CRFFF) in Queensland, Australia. An ITQ model, based on the assumption that operators seek to maximize profits, simulates the use of tradeable quota units by operators in the fishery, taking account of the initial quota allocation to operators, seasonal fish prices and individual operator variable costs, their fishing efficiency and experience, and constraints on vessel movements. Rationalization of the fishery is predicted to occur under an ITQ system for the CRFFF, which will lead to reductions in effort, increases in profits, and changes over time in quota prices. The ecological consequences of transferable quota in the multi-species fishery are seen in the catch and discard levels of the less profitable species, even though a TAC was set. This had flow-on effects on biomass. For example, simulations showed that the TAC for the primary target species, coral trout, was used more fully than that for a less valuable target species, red throat emperor, and that this was achieved through increased discarding of red throat emperor. Catches of both coral trout and red throat emperor that were derived from the model were higher than those recently observed in the fishery. The effort predicted by the model, however, closely approximated the actual effort observed in the fishery following implementation of ITQ management. 相似文献
149.
150.
Steven J Phillips Paul Williams Guy Midgley Aaron Archer 《Ecological applications》2008,18(5):1200-1211
We introduce a new way of measuring and optimizing connectivity in conservation landscapes through time, accounting for both the biological needs of multiple species and the social and financial constraint of minimizing land area requiring additional protection. Our method is based on the concept of network flow; we demonstrate its use by optimizing protected areas in the Western Cape of South Africa to facilitate autogenic species shifts in geographic range under climate change for a family of endemic plants, the Cape Proteaceae. In 2005, P. Williams and colleagues introduced a novel framework for this protected area design task. To ensure population viability, they assumed each species should have a range size of at least 100 km2 of predicted suitable conditions contained in protected areas at all times between 2000 and 2050. The goal was to design multiple dispersal corridors for each species, connecting suitable conditions between time periods, subject to each species' limited dispersal ability, and minimizing the total area requiring additional protection. We show that both minimum range size and limited dispersal abilities can be naturally modeled using the concept of network flow. This allows us to apply well-established tools from operations research and computer science for solving network flow problems. Using the same data and this novel modeling approach, we reduce the area requiring additional protection by a third compared to previous methods, from 4593 km2 to 3062 km , while still achieving the same conservation planning goals. We prove that this is the best solution mathematically possible: the given planning goals cannot be achieved with a smaller area, given our modeling assumptions and data. Our method allows for flexibility and refinement of the underlying climate-change, species-habitat-suitability, and dispersal models. In particular, we propose an alternate formalization of a minimum range size moving through time and use network flow to achieve the revised goals, again with the smallest possible newly protected area (2850 km2). We show how to relate total dispersal distance to probability of successful dispersal, and compute a trade-off curve between this quantity and the total amount of extra land that must be protected. 相似文献