MAP沉淀法目标产物最优形成条件及分析方法

为了确定鸟粪石(MAP：MgNH₄PO₄·6H₂O)形成的最优条件,引入化学剖析法,利用酸溶液将鸟粪石沉淀法中所得沉淀物溶解后进行相应的元素分析;提出一种根据沉淀物中的NH⁺₄-N含量间接计算确定鸟粪石含量(即纯度)的分析方法.根据这种计算分析方法,分别得出了不同pH条件下以自来水(主要为地下水)和超纯水作为溶剂所合成的鸟粪石纯度,并对pH和Ca²⁺在鸟粪石形成过程中的影响进行了评估.结果表明,该计算分析方法能够有效实现对MAP沉淀法目标产物的定量分析,弥补了国内外目前普遍依靠XRD技术定性判断所得沉淀物中鸟粪石是否存在的缺陷.以超纯水作为溶剂时,使鸟粪石纯度>90%的最佳pH范围在7.5～9.0,而以自来水为溶剂时,获得相同鸟粪石纯度最佳pH范围则是7.0～7.5.实际污水中常常含有相当数量的Ca²⁺,实施碱性条件(pH>8.0)的MAP沉淀势必大幅降低鸟粪石的纯度.因此,对实际污水回收磷而言,MAP沉淀法的最优pH条件应控制在中性范围(<8.0)以内.     

Future risk of flooding: an analysis of changes in potential loss of life in South Holland (The Netherlands)

Potential loss of life is considered an important indicator of flood risk. We examine the future development of potential loss of life due to flooding for a major flood prone area in The Netherlands. The analysis is based on projections and spatial distribution of population under a high economic growth scenario and a loss of life model. Results show that the projected population growth in flood prone areas is higher than average in the Netherlands between 2000 and 2040. Due to this effect the potential number of fatalities is projected to increase by 68% on average for 10 different flood scenarios, not including impacts from climate change and sea level rise. Just sea level rise of 0.30 m leads to an average 20% increase in the number of fatalities. The combined impact of sea level rise and population growth leads to an estimated doubling in the potential number of fatalities. Taking into account increasing probability of flooding due to sea level rise and extreme river discharges, the expected number of fatalities could quadruple by 2040. The presented results give a conservative and upper bound estimate of the increase of the risk level when no preventive measures are undertaken. It is found that the consideration of the exact spatial distribution of population growth is essential for arriving at reliable estimates of future risk of flooding.     

Estimating carbon in savanna ecosystems: rational distribution of effort

Minimising the cost of repeatedly estimating C (C) stocks is crucial to the financial viability of projects that seek to sell C credits. Depending on the price of C, this may imply less or more sampling effort than would be applied for science objectives. In systems with heterogeneous C pools, such as savannas, this translates into a variable-effort sampling strategy that maximises the marginal additional C that can be claimed per incremental unit of effort expended. Analysis of a savanna in north-eastern South Africa indicates relatively modest returns per hectare due to the small C quantities and low sequestration rates. Under these conditions, areas in excess of 1,000 ha and infrequent sampling frequencies of 5–10 years are required to make such projects financially viable. For such projects the sample variance, number of samples, cost per sample and establishment costs have negligible impacts on financial viability. It was also found that the soil-C pool contributes up to three times the net returns of the aboveground C pool and provides a strong argument to monitor soil C for certification and market trading. The financial viability estimates, however, do not include the management or opportunity costs incurred in changing the land use. The economies of scale identified in this study combined with the massive area covered by savannas indicate that these additional costs can be covered. Further research is recommended to quantify these costs and interrogate the feasibility of large scale (in excess of 10,000 ha) C-sink projects in savanna systems.