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Kurt Hess 《Die Naturwissenschaften》1926,14(10):183-188
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Making index insurance attractive to farmers 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Anthony Patt Nicole Peterson Michael Carter Maria Velez Ulrich Hess Pablo Suarez 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2009,14(8):737-753
There are several factors that influence whether people will want to participate in index insurance programs. A number of
these influence their attractiveness on economic grounds, including both the size and timing of the premium and potential
payouts, and the degree of risk aversion of the potential customers. Other factors make programs attractive for reasons that
are not economic, but no less valid. These have to do with the trust that people have in the insurance product and the organizations
involved in selling and managing it. Indeed, data from India, Africa, and South America show that these factors may be more
important than the economic ones in influencing demand. Index insurance pilot projects, in order to estimate demand for alternative
products, have typically involved a great deal of interaction with potential customers. It is important to recognize that
such interaction is crucial not just as a research tool, but also as a means to build understanding and trust in the products.
When scaling up from isolated pilots to operational programs, it is vital to recognize this trust building function by replicating
participation efforts in every community. In this paper, we examine the role of field games in establishing and building trust
in three important aspects of these projects for participants: trust in the insurance product, trust in the participating
organizations, and trust in their own ability to make good decisions. While games have previously been used as a way to gauge
interest in the product and to identify design features, we argue that these games are also valuable tools for constructing
these kinds of trust. 相似文献
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The sensitivity of an integrated model to assess the potential for wind-borne spread of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) to variations
in key parameters controlling different physical and biological processes was evaluated. The estimated number of farms at
risk is sensitive to the virus strain used and the accompanying effective contact rate. The C Noville strain increased the
estimated number of exposed farms ranked as high and medium risk of being infected by a factor of 5, compared to the baseline,
based on the O UKG 2001 strain. The inclusion of a model for biological ageing of the virus can also have a significant effect
on the concentration patterns arising from transport and dispersion of the virus. Its inclusion has the practical advantage
of markedly reducing the time required for the calculations. The estimated number of farms affected by exposure to high and
medium virus concentrations is not grossly sensitive to attenuation caused by temperature or relative humidity effects. Changes
in susceptibility to infection, as determined by the parameter θ in the exposure-risk model, does not change the configuration of the virus plumes, but it does change the distribution of
farms at risk by risk category. These findings suggest that a good understanding of characteristics (excretion rates from
infected animals, susceptibility of different species to infection, virus survival, etc.) of the virus strain involved in
an FMD outbreak is necessary to provide a reliable assessment of the risk of wind-borne spread. In the event of an incursion
of FMD, provision for laboratory studies on the virus will be an essential component of the disease response and should be
factored into contingency plans.
相似文献
X. YangEmail: |
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