在役化工装置安全评价指标体系构建方法的探讨

分析当前在役化工装置安全评价指标体系建立中存在的问题,提出"从风险分析到措施"的建立安全现状评价指标体系的新思路。探讨综合应用事故树分析法、层次分析法等方法并建立安全评价指标体系及确定指标权重的具体方法,使评价指标的建立及指标权重的确定更具有科学性。通过具体的化工装置安全评价指标建立及其权重确定的过程,介绍该方法的具体应用,不仅适用于在役化工装置的安全评价,也适用于其他系统的安全现状评价。该评价指标体系既能查找出装置中存在的具体安全隐患,也能给出装置总体安全性评价结论。     

Monitoring bioaccumulation and toxic e ects of hexachlorobenzene using the polyurethane foam unit method in the microbial communities of the Fuhe River,Wuhan

Hexachlorobenzene （HCB） is a chlorinated aromatic hydrocarbon that was widely used for seed dressing in prevention of fungal growth on crops, and also as a component of fireworks, ammunition, and synthetic rubbers. Because of its resistance to degradation and mobility, HCB is widely distributed throughout the environment and is accumulated through food chains in different ecosystems. In this study, a preliminary investigation was carried out on the bioaccumulation and the toxic effects of HCB in the microbial （protozoan in particular） communities in the Fuhe River, Wuhan, a water body receiving industrial wastewaters containing HCB and other pollutants, using the standardized polyurethane foam units （PFU） method. Field samples were taken from eight stations established along the Fuhe River in January and August 2006. The concentration ratios of HCB in microbial communities and in water were 9.66-18.64, and the microbial communities accumulated 13.29-56.88 μg/L of HCB in January and 0.82-10.25 μg/L HCB in August. Correlation analysis showed a negative correlation between the HCB contents in the microbial assemblage, and the number of species and the diversity index of the protozoan communities. This study demonstrated the applicability of the PFU method in monitoring the effects of HCB on the level of microbial communities.     

基于Hydrus-1D模型的太湖流域农田系统水分渗漏和氮磷淋失特征分析

在土壤水分长期定位观测基础上,应用Hydrus-1D模型对太湖流域典型稻麦轮作农田土壤水分渗漏进行动态模拟,并结合深层土壤溶液取样及氮磷浓度测定,分析了当前耕作方式下农田水分渗漏和氮磷淋失特征。结果表明,土壤水渗漏与降雨、灌溉及前期土壤含水率有关;麦季深层渗漏量小但持续时间长,而稻季单次渗漏量大却持续时间短。模拟时段内铵态氮和可溶解性总磷的淋失主要发生在稻季,淋失量分别为2.62、0.49 kg/hm²,分别占稻麦轮作期总淋失量的96.0%、96.0%,而硝态氮淋失主要发生在麦季,淋失量为57.97 kg/hm²,占总淋失量的80.2%;无机氮淋失的主要形态为硝态氮,其淋失量占总淋失量的96.4%。综合看来,硝态氮应作为主要阻控对象,以减少农田面源污染对地下水及太湖水体的污染风险。此外,氮磷淋失在6、7月份即休耕期和水稻生长早期容易达到峰值,应得到重视。     

一次持续性暴雨过程的湿位涡诊断分析

利用绝热、无摩擦大气湿位涡守恒理论和常规的地面观测资料、NCEP再分析资料(水平分辨率1°×1°),对山东省西北部2012年7月30日-8月1日的一次持续性暴雨过程的湿位涡场进行了诊断和分析。结果表明,这是一次副高边缘低涡切变类暴雨天气过程,500 hPa副热带高压和地面倒槽的稳定为鲁西北地区产生持续性暴雨提供了必要的环流条件;暴雨产生在θe线陡立密集区附近,θe线陡立密集区附近对流稳定度较小,有利于倾斜涡度发展;暴雨的发生发展与湿位涡的时空演变有很好的对应关系,湿位涡"正负区叠加"的配置是低涡暴雨发展的有利形势,暴雨区位于850 hPa上MPV1和MPV2的正负值过渡的零值区附近。     

Characterizing nitric oxide emissions from two typical alpine ecosystems

portion of alpine meadows has been and will continue to be cultivated due to the concurrent increasing demands for animal-and crop-oriented foods and global warming.However, it remains unclear how these long-term changes in land use will affect nitric oxide(NO) emission. At a field site with a calcareous soil on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau,the authors measured the year-round NO fluxes and related variables in a typically wintergrazed natural alpine meadow(NAM) and its adjacent forage oat field(FOF). The results showed that long-term plow tillage, fertilization and growing forage oats significantly yielded ca. 2.7 times more(p 0.01) NO emissions from the FOF than the NAM(conservatively 208 vs. 56 g N/(ha·year) on average). The spring freeze–thaw period and non-growing season accounted for 17%-35% of the annual emissions, respectively. The Q10 of surface soil temperature(Ts) was 8.9 in the NAM(vs. 3.8 in the FOF), indicating increases of 24%–93% in NO emissions per 1–3 °C increase. However, the warming-induced increases could be smaller than those due to land use change and management practices. The Tsand concentrations of ammonium, nitrate and water-extractable organic carbon jointly explained 69% of the variance in daily NO fluxes from both fields during the annual period(p 0.001). This result indicates that temporally and/or spatially distributed NO fluxes from landscapes with calcareous soils across native alpine meadows and/or fields cultivated with forage oats can be predicted by simultaneous observations of these four soil variables.     

对硝基苯酚在阴-阳离子有机膨润土/水间的界面行为研究

用阴、阳离子表面活性剂改性制得一系列阴-阳离子有机膨润土,表征了有机膨润土的结构特征,研究了对硝基苯酚在阴-阳离子有机膨润土/水间的界面行为,并探讨了其吸附机理.结果表明:阴-阳离子有机膨润土的层间距和有机碳含量与改性时阴、阳离子表面活性剂的组成和配比有关;阴-阳离子表面活性剂在有机膨润土中形成了增溶(分配)作用较强的有机相,在一定配比下对水中有机污染物产生协同效应.     

基于均生函数的最优子集回归方法在江西雨季降水预测中的应用

通过基于均生函数的最优子集回归方法在江西雨季 (4～ 6月 )降水预测中的应用 ,发现预报步长为 1 a时 ,预报效果较为理想。其中 4月份的预报能力最强 ,5、 6月份的预报能力次之     

农业生产对土壤盐渍化影响的经济分析

研究农业生产活动对土壤盐渍化的负面影响,有利于合理安排农业公共投资,促进生产与环境协调发展。在介绍我国土壤盐渍化概况的基础上,利用相关文献分析影响土壤盐渍化的不同因素,同时利用省级Panel数据和计量模型进一步探索农业生产活动对土壤盐渍化的影响。结果表明,灌溉程度、单位钾肥投入会对土壤盐渍化产生显著影响。单位耕地上灌溉面积越多,耕地发生盐渍化的概率也越高;同时单位面积上钾肥使用量越高,耕地发生盐渍化的概率也越高。此外,还在统计意义上发现排灌对抑制土壤盐渍化具有明显作用。因此,针对农业生产活动对农业生态环境可能造成的负面影响,进一步提出应该在增加农业公共投资的背景下,加强农业基础设施的建设,引导农户采用合理的农业生产方式,以协调我国农业生产与农业生态环境的和谐发展。     

Growing season methane budget of an Inner Mongolian steppe

We present a methane (CH₄) budget for the area of the Baiyinxile Livestock Farm, which comprises approximately 1/3 of the Xilin river catchment in central Inner Mongolia, P.R. China. The budget calculations comprise the contributions of natural sources and sinks as well as sources related to the main land-use in this region (non-nomadic pastoralism) during the growing season (May–September). We identified as important CH₄ sources floodplains (mean 1.55 ± 0.97 mg CH₄–C m^?2 h^?1) and domestic ruminants, which are mainly sheep in this area. Within the floodplain significant differences between investigated positions were detected, whereby only positions close-by the river or bayous emitted large amounts of CH₄ (mean up to 6.21 ± 1.83 mg CH₄–C m^?2 h^?1). Further CH₄ sources were sheepfolds (0.08–0.91 mg CH₄–C m^?2 h^?1) and pasture faeces (1.34 ± 0.22 mg CH₄–C g^?1 faeces dry weight), but they did not play a significant role for the CH₄ budget. In contrast, dung heaps were not a net source of CH₄ (0.0 ± 0.2 for an old and 0.0 ± 0.3 μg CH₄–C kg^?1 h^?1 for a new dung heap). Trace gas measurements along two landscape transects (volcano, hill slope) revealed expectedly a mean CH₄ uptake (volcano: 76.5 ± 4.3; hill: 28.3 ± 5.3 μg CH₄–C m^?2 h^?1), which is typical for the aerobic soils in this and other steppe ecosystems. The observed fluxes were rarely influenced by topography.The CH₄ emissions from the floodplain and the sheep were not compensated by the CH₄ oxidation of aerobic steppe soils and thus, this managed semi-arid grassland did not serve as a terrestrial sink, but as a source for this globally important greenhouse gas. The source strength amounted to 1.5–3.6 kg CH₄–C ha^?1 during the growing season, corresponding to 3.5–8.7 kg C ha^?1 yr^?1.     

贫营养生物膜系统脱氮效果及影响因素实验研究

为了有效解决饮用水源氮源污染问题,采用贫营养生物菌剂对新型悬浮填料进行人工强化挂膜,在无需外加碳源及模拟原位条件下考察贫营养生物膜系统对微污染原水的脱氮效果及其影响因素。研究表明:在水温为25℃左右,溶解氧浓度为4 mg/L左右,水源水质为NH4+-N0.140 mg/L,NO2--N0.005 mg/L,NO3--N1.096 mg/L,TN1.450 mg/L,CODMn4.810 mg/L的条件下,该系统运行22 d后对原水硝氮及总氮具有较明显的去除效果,去除率范围分别为43%～75%和49%～76%,运行期间氨氮浓度基本保持在0.1 mg/L以下,系统稳定运行时的脱氮效果可满足地表水环境Ⅲ类水体的质量标准要求。另外,通过考察水温、填料填充率、C/N比等因素对贫营养生物膜系统脱氮效果的影响作用,说明在不同时期和不同环境条件下该系统对微污染水体的脱氮效果具有一定差异。