秘鲁亚马孙地区与毁林相联系的国家农业政策:Tambopata的案例研究,1986～1997

亚马孙流域的毁林速度随地区不同而异,其涨落由宏观经济政策和当地的社会因素而定.我们运用遥感和野外调查,研究了1986～1991年(当时有农村信贷和担保市场)和1991～1997年(其间施加了结构调整措施)秘鲁一边疆地区的毁林格局和原因.1986～1991年间,最高的毁林速度(总的比率1.5%)出现于道路两旁,1991～1997年,路旁的毁林速度下降(总的比率0.7%),同时,大面积的再生使森林覆被得以净增长(0.5%).河旁毁林速度相对稳定.直至今日,河旁农场还保留着更多的农田和森林,而路旁的农场则以牧场和演替生长为主.老住户要比新来者在农场保留更多的森林,但是对城市市场的邻近度是森林覆被最强的预测因子.未来的信贷计划必须反映出经济发展的空间格局和生态脆弱性,同时要有利于休耕地和次生林的恢复.     

Using a probabilistic approach in an ecological risk assessment simulation tool: test case for depleted uranium (DU)

A probabilistic approach was applied in an ecological risk assessment (ERA) to characterize risk and address uncertainty employing Monte Carlo simulations for assessing parameter and risk probabilistic distributions. This simulation tool (ERA) includes a Window's based interface, an interactive and modifiable database management system (DBMS) that addresses a food web at trophic levels, and a comprehensive evaluation of exposure pathways. To illustrate this model, ecological risks from depleted uranium (DU) exposure at the US Army Yuma Proving Ground (YPG) and Aberdeen Proving Ground (APG) were assessed and characterized. Probabilistic distributions showed that at YPG, a reduction in plant root weight is considered likely to occur (98% likelihood) from exposure to DU; for most terrestrial animals, likelihood for adverse reproduction effects ranges from 0.1% to 44%. However, for the lesser long-nosed bat, the effects are expected to occur (>99% likelihood) through the reduction in size and weight of offspring. Based on available DU data for the firing range at APG, DU uptake will not likely affect survival of aquatic plants and animals (<0.1% likelihood). Based on field and laboratory studies conducted at APG and YPG on pocket mice, kangaroo rat, white-throated woodrat, deer, and milfoil, body burden concentrations observed fall into the distributions simulated at both sites.     

Seasonal,diel, and tidal movements of green jobfish (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Aprion virescens</Emphasis>, Lutjanidae) at remote Hawaiian atolls: implications for marine protected area design

Empirical data quantifying the long-term movement patterns of coral reef top predators are needed in order to design marine protected areas (MPAs) that will provide these fishes with effective, long-term protection. Acoustic telemetry was used to quantify the movements of a large coral reef top predator (Aprion virescens, Lutjanidae; Hawaiian name ‘uku’) at five atolls in the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands Marine National Monument (NWHIMNM) from May 2005 to September 2006. The study atolls were located between 23.8°N, 166.2°W and 28.5°N, 178.3°W, and were separated from their nearest receiver-equipped neighbor by distances ranging from 100 to 478 km. No inter-atoll movements by uku were detected but individuals were seasonally site-attached to core activity areas of up to 12 km in length, and ranged up to 19 km across atolls. Within their core areas, tagged uku exhibited diel and tidal habitat shifts, with the latter resulting in round trips of up to 24 km in 24 h. Seasonal uku migrations resulted in extended winter (October–April) absences from summer (May–September) core activity areas and may be linked to summer spawning. Large MPAs (i.e., entire islands, atolls or banks) would probably be required for full protection of resident populations of adult uku, but such ‘island-scale’ MPAs will not benefit fisheries unless there is significant larval supply from MPAs to neighboring fished areas, or adult emigration over time scales exceeding the 16-month monitoring period of this study. A mixed management strategy of combining smaller MPAs with conventional measures (e.g., minimum size limits, catch, and effort restrictions) may be the best approach for sustaining uku fisheries. However, this would still require relatively large MPAs (12 km in length) to contain uku short-term (diel and tidal) movements, and seasonal migrations would still take uku beyond the boundaries of MPAs of this size. These fluxes across MPA boundaries could supply fish to fisheries but, if high exploitation rates exist, fishing could eliminate key MPA benefits such as increased numbers of large, highly fecund individuals. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.