Recent advances in econometric estimation of materials substitution

Interest in substituting reproducible inputs such as capital and labour for non-renewable materials is principally motivated by two factors — the short-run concern about supply disruptions on the part of producing countries and the long-run concern about the exhaustion of depletable natural resources. In this paper, techniques for estimating elasticities of substitution between inputs (ie between different materials or between material aggregates and other input aggregates) from production and cost functions are discussed, and the recent literature that makes use of these techniques is reviewed.     

The valuation of forest carbon services by Mexican citizens: the case of Guadalajara city and La Primavera biosphere reserve

Adequate demand for, and recognition of, forest carbon services is critical to success of market mechanisms for forestry-based conservation and climate change mitigation. National and voluntary carbon-offsetting schemes are emerging as alternatives to international compliance markets. We developed a choice experiment to explore determinants of local forest carbon-offset valuation. A total of 963 citizens from Guadalajara in Mexico were asked to consider a purchase of voluntary offsets from the neighbouring Biosphere Reserve of La Primavera and from two alternative more distant locations: La Michilía in the state of Durango and El Cielo in Tamaulipas. Surveys were applied in market stall sessions and online using two different sampling methods: the snowball technique and via a market research company. The local La Primavera site attracted higher participation and valuation than the more distant sites. However, groups particularly interested in climate change mitigation or cost may accept cost-efficient options in the distant sites. Mean implicit carbon prices obtained ranged from $6.79 to $15.67/tCO_2eq depending on the surveying methodology and profile of respondents. Survey application mode can significantly affect outcome of the experiment. Values from the market stall sessions were higher than those from the snowball and market research samples obtained online; this may be linked to greater cooperation associated with personal interaction and collective action. In agreement with the literature, we found that valuation of forest carbon offsets is associated with cognitive, ethical, behavioural, geographical and economic factors.     

Scottish peat bog records of atmospheric vanadium deposition over the past 150 years: comparison with other records and emission trends

Cores from four Scottish ombrotrophic peat bogs were used to reconstruct the historical record of atmospheric vanadium (V) deposition in Scotland over the last 150 years. The general similarity of V and Pb concentration profile trends in (210)Pb-dated cores from each of the sites strongly suggested that V, like Pb, is essentially immobile in ombrotrophic peat. After allowance via use of the conservative element Ti for the contribution of soil dust V, the deposition of anthropogenic V was found to be greatest (～ 1.3 to 2.0 mg m(-2) y(-1)) in the mid-20(th) century before decreasing to 0.1-0.3 mg m(-2) y(-1) in the early years of the 21(st) century. The latter values were in good agreement with directly measured atmospheric V fluxes at nearby sites, a finding also observed in the case of Pb. The decline in peat-core-derived fluxes for both V and Pb from 1970 to 2004, however, was not as large as the decline in official UK emission estimates for the two metals during this period. This, along with an order of magnitude discrepancy between the anthropogenic V/Pb ratios at the peat core surface and the higher values of the ratio for UK emissions in the early 2000s, suggests that the recently revised UK emissions data for V may perhaps still be overestimated and/or that some previously deposited Pb is being resuspended in the atmosphere.     

Lifting Belts: A Review

This article reviews and evaluates the literature related to the effectiveness of protective restraints on abdominal strength, lower back injuries, and workers’ discomfort. The studies indicate that back belts have potential disadvantages as well as advantages. Belts seem to reduce lifting stress. They may, however, lead to a false sense of security while being worn and may also weaken the body, so injury occurs when they are not being worn. There also seems to be comfort problems with some belts. More scientific research is needed before any conclusions can be drawn about positive, negative, or long-term effects of lifting belts.     

Cycles in natural-resource commodity prices: An analysis of the frequency domain

A model is derived that relates price cycles to investment behavior in the mineral industries and predicts that these cycles will be roughly twice as long as the investment period (the period between the investment decision and the project completion). Spectral techniques are used to estimate the principal cycles in metal and fuel prices. For the metals, the estimated cycle lengths reinforce the model predictions. However, no significant cycles are found in the prices of the fuels. The lead-lag relationships between prices of different commodities are also investigated and are found to be significant for those that are jointly produced.     

Container contamination as a possible source of a diarrhoea outbreak in Abou Shouk camp, Darfur province, Sudan

Diarrhoea is one of the five major causes of death in an emergency setting and one of the three main causes of death in children (Curtis and Cairncross, 2003). In June 2004, an outbreak of shigellosis was confirmed in Abou Shouk camp in the Northern Darfur province of Sudan. As water testing showed no contamination, it was assumed that post-collection contamination was happening. The decision was taken to launch a programme of mass disinfection of all water containers in order to break the contamination cycle. Diarrhoea figures from the clinics showed a fall in cases following the cleaning campaign. It is extremely difficult to obtain good and statistically rigorous data in an emergency setting, the priority being to intervene rapidly to prevent further cases of diarrhoea. However, the results do appear to indicate that the disinfection programme has had an impact on the prevalence of bloody and watery diarrhoea.     

Spontaneous cessation of umbilical blood flow in the acardiac fetus of a twin pregnancy

The acardiac fetus is a rare entity found only in monozygotic multiple pregnancy. Although the acardiac fetus is non-viable, the perinatal mortality rate for the normal fetus may be as high as 50 per cent, and is usually associated with fetal heart failure and hydrops fetalis, or as the result of prematurity. In this communication, we describe a case of spontaneous cessation of blood flow to an acardiac fetus and discuss the management of this condition with special reference to optimizing the outcome for the normal fetus.