Simulated distributions of Baltic Sea-ice in warming climate and consequences for the winter habitat of the Baltic ringed seal

Sea-ice in the Baltic Sea in present and future climates is investigated. The Rossby Centre Regional Atmosphere-Ocean model was used to perform a set of 30-year-long time slice experiments. For each of the two driving global models HadAM3H and ECHAM4/OPYC3, one control run (1961-1990) and two scenario runs (2071-2100) based upon the SRES A2 and B2 emission scenarios were conducted. The future sea-ice volume in the Baltic Sea is reduced by 83% on average. The Bothnian Sea, large areas of the Gulf of Finland and Gulf of Riga, and the outer parts of the southwestern archipelago of Finland will become ice-free in the mean. The presented scenarios are used to study the impact of climate change on the Baltic ringed seal (Phoca hispida botnica). Climate change seems to be a major threat to all southern populations. The only fairly good winter sea-ice habitat is found to be confined to the Bay of Bothnia.     

Computation of the interfacial area for two-fluid porous medium systems

We develop a method to compute interfacial areas from three-dimensional digital representations of multiphase systems. We approximate the interfaces with the isosurface generated by the standard marching-cube algorithm from the discrete phase distribution. We apply this approach to two-fluid pore-scale simulations by (1) simulating a random packing of spheres that obeys the grain-size distribution and porosity of an experimental porous medium system, and (2) using a previously developed pore-morphology-based model in order to predict the phase distribution for a water-wet porous medium that undergoes primary drainage. The predicted primary drainage curve and interfacial areas are in good agreement with the experimental values reported in the literature, where interfacial areas were measured using interfacial tracers. The energy dissipation during Haines jumps is significant: thus, the mechanical work done on the system is not completely converted into surface energy, and interfacial areas may not be deduced from the primary drainage curve.     

Bioaccumulation of 14C-17alpha-ethinylestradiol by the aquatic oligochaete Lumbriculus variegatus in spiked artificial sediment

A bioaccumulation study was performed with the endobenthic freshwater oligochaete Lumbriculus variegatus MULLER exposed to the radiolabelled synthetic steroid 17alpha-ethinylestradiol (14C-EE2) in a spiked artificial sediment. Concentration of total radioactivity increased constantly and almost linearly during 35 days of exposure. The accumulation factor normalised to worm lipid content and sediment TOC (AFlipid/OC) was 75 at the end of the uptake period, but a steady state was not reached. Uptake kinetics were calculated fitting the measured AFs to a kinetic rate equation for constant uptake from sediment using iterative non-linear regression analysis. After 10 days of elimination in contaminant-free sediment 50% of the accumulated total radioactivity was excreted by the worms. Extracts from L. variegatus sampled at the end of the uptake phase were analysed by thin layer chromatography (TLC). The results showed that 6% of the total radioactivity incorporated by the worms was 14C-EE2. After treatment of extracts with beta-glucuronidase the amount of 14C-EE2 increased to 84%. These results suggest that L. variegatus has the potency to accumulate high amounts of conjugated EE2. Hence, a transfer of EE2 to benthivores and subsequent secondary poisoning of predators might be possible.     

The contribution from shipping emissions to air quality and acid deposition in Europe

A global three-dimensional Lagrangian chemistry-transport model STOCHEM is used to describe the European regional acid deposition and ozone air quality impacts along the Atlantic Ocean seaboard of Europe, from the SO2, NOx, VOCs and CO emissions from international shipping under conditions appropriate to the year 2000. Model-derived total sulfur deposition from international shipping reaches over 200 mg S m(-2) yr(-1) over the southwestern approaches to the British Isles and Brittany. The contribution from international shipping to surface ozone concentrations during the summertime, peaks at about 6 ppb over Ireland, Brittany and Portugal. Shipping emissions act as an external influence on acid deposition and ozone air quality within Europe and may require control actions in the future if strict deposition and air quality targets are to be met.     

Modellierung von Stoffausbreitungen

Die Modellierung des Ausbreitungsverhaltens von Stoffen unterschiedlicher Eigenschaften in der Umwelt stellt eine Herausforderung dar, da die zugrundeliegenden physikalischen Transport-, chemischen Reaktions- und biologischen An- oder Abreicherungsprozesse zeitlich variabel in r?umlich heterogen strukturierten Umweltsystemen wirken. Durch geschickt gew?hlte Vereinfachungen, Abgrenzungen und Mittelungen sind bemerkenswerte Erfolge bis hin zur bedingt-prognostischen Simulation ausgew?hlter Stoffe und Stoffgruppen erzielt worden. Forschungsbedarf besteht vor allem in der Modellierung der kleinr?umigen, medienübergreifenden Ausbreitung von Stoffen in komplexen ?kosystemaren Zusammenh?ngen, einschlie?lich der Austausch- und Transfervorg?nge und der chemisch-biologischen Transformationen. Bericht vom 32. Tutzing-Symposium der DECHEMA e.V., 7. bis 10. M?rz 1994     

Body condition and the grouping behavior of brood-caring female common eiders (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Somateria mollissima</Emphasis>)

Both theoretical and empirical work has shown that group size increases with increasing ecological constraints on solitary breeding. Ecological constraints refer to extrinsic factors such as availability of breeding sites, food or mates. Common eider (Somateria mollissima) females pool their broods and share brood-rearing duties, or rear broods alone. Females are often in poor condition at hatching, as incubation is accomplished without feeding, and variation in body condition is largely environmentally induced and thus unpredictable. We found that the intensity of and duration of parental care that females provide is positively correlated with their body condition at hatching. This suggests that body condition is an ecological constraint on successful solitary breeding. We further observed that group productivity in common eider broods is a decelerating function of the number of tending females. As predicted, females in poorer condition (i.e., facing stronger ecological constraints) were found in larger groups. This result is straightforward if solitary tenders can enter any group at no cost. However, if entry is group-controlled, stable groups of non-relatives are predicted not to occur when per capita reproduction declines with group size. The N-person staying incentive model permits groups to form under these conditions, because reproduction is unevenly divided between dominants and subordinates in the group. We discuss the plausibility of these alternative models of group size for understanding the grouping behavior of brood-caring female common eiders.Communicated by M. Webster     

Vorgang und Ereignis in der Biologie

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