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51.
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Anastasios Skourkeas Fotini Kolyva-Machera Panagiotis Maheras 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2013,20(3):445-465
This study attempts to improve upon statistical downscaling (Sd) models based on the classical approach which uses canonical correlation analysis, in order to generate temperature scenarios over Greece. Considering the long-term trends of the predictor variables (1,000–500 hPa thickness field geopotential heights—using NCEP data) and the predictand variables (observed mean maximum summer temperatures over Greece), a new Sd model is constructed. Regression models using generalized least square estimators are developed in order to eliminate the trends within the time series. The advantages of the suggested method compared to the classical method are quantified in terms of a number of distinct performance criteria, e.g., Mean squared error which is the basic criterion of the estimated downscaled values relative to the observed. Finally, the suggested Sd models are used to evaluate the effects of a future climate scenario (IPCC-SRES: A2) on mean maximum summer temperatures over Greece. The results from the climate projection indicate a temperature increase for the period 2070–2100 which is smaller than the corresponding increase from the classical approach. 相似文献
53.
This article presents the design of a fuzzy decision support system (DSS) for the assessment of alternative strategies proposed for the restoration of Lake Koronia, Greece. Fuzzy estimates for the critical characteristics of the possible strategies, such as feasibility, environmental impact, implementation time, and costs are evaluated and supplied to the fuzzy DSS. Different weighting factors are assigned to the critical characteristics and the proposed strategies are ordered with respect to the system responses. The best strategies are selected and their expected impact on the ecosystem is evaluated with the aid of a fuzzy model of the lake. Sensitivity analysis and simulation results have shown that the proposed fuzzy DSS can serve as a valuable tool for the selection and evaluation of appropriate management actions.
Note: This version was published online in June 2005 with the cover date of August 2004. 相似文献
54.
Fuzzy Modeling of Interactions Among Environmental Stressors in the Ecosystem of Lake Koronia,Greece 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The development of a model for assessing the impact and interactions of stressors in the ecosystem of Lake Koronia, based on fuzzy inference, is presented in this paper. The proposed fuzzy inference model assesses the synergistic interactions among several significant stressors on fish production. These stressors include industrial pollution, pesticide and nutrient usage due to agricultural activities, and water level decrease due to irrigation works. Apart from the experts knowledge, expressed in a set of fuzzy rules, a number of parameters such as pH, conductivity, biochemical and chemical oxygen demand, and nitrate concentration were used as stressor indicators. The proposed model is capable of simulating the effect of a large variety of environmental conditions, and it can be used as a dynamic tool for ecosystem risk assessment since it produces both qualitative and quantitative results, allowing for comparisons of predictions with on-going observational research and ecosystem monitoring. Its operation was successfully verified for a number of different conditions, ranging from low stressor impact to high stressor impact (where, in fact, the fish production was diminished). Moreover, the proposed fuzzy inference model can be used as a tool for the investigation of the behavior of the aquatic ecosystem under a large number of hypothetical environmental risk scenarios. 相似文献
55.
Panagiotis Elefsiniotis Wei Li 《Journal of environmental science and health. Part. B》2013,48(2):172-178
This study explored the biodegradation potential of two agricultural pesticides (2,4-D and isoproturon) as well as their effect on the performance of the anaerobic digestion process. Three 3.5 L batch reactors were used, having the same initial isoproturon concentration (25 mg/L) and different 2,4-D concentrations (i.e. 0, 100, or 300 mg/L, respectively). All systems were fed with equal amounts of primary sludge and digested sludge and operated at the low mesophilic range (32 ± 2°C). Following an acclimation period of approximately 30 days, complete 2,4-D removal was achieved, whereas isoproturon biodegradation was practically negligible. The presence of 2,4-D did not have a direct effect on acidogenesis since soluble organic carbon [expressed either as volatile fatty acids (VFAs) or as total organic carbon (TOC)] peaked within the first 10 days of operation in all bioreactors. Utilization of VFAs however appeared to follow two distinct patterns: one pattern was represented by acetate and butyrate (i.e. no acid accumulation) while the other was followed by propionate, isobuturate, valerate and isovalerate (i.e. acid accumulation, duration of which was related to the initial 2,4-D concentration). On the whole, all reactors exhibited a successful digestion performance demonstrated by complete VFAs utilization, considerable gas production (containing 45 to 65% methane by volume), substantial volatile suspended solids (VSS) reduction (42 to 50%), as well as pH and alkalinity recovery. 相似文献
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Tomic Antonija Cvetnic Matija Kovacic Marin Kusic Hrvoje Karamanis Panagiotis Bozic Ana Loncaric 《Environmental science and pollution research international》2022,29(58):87628-87644
Environmental Science and Pollution Research - The study of the structural features affecting the adsorption of organics, especially contaminants of emerging concern (CECs), onto TiO2 P25 in... 相似文献