ENHANCING EVACUATION WARNING COMPLIANCE: SUGGESTIONS FOREMERGENCY PLANNING*

This review of incentives to evacuate is meaningful largely in the context of planning for and managing the consequences of the impact of riverine floods. Of course, incentives do not constitute an emergency plan. At best, they should be seen as suggestions for structuring some elements of a plan. Furthermore, the enumeration of incentives presented here is meant to be suggestive rather than exhaustive. A primary objective of this paper has been to underscore the importance of advance planning in coping with hazards and to argue that, even though limited, existing research can be productively used in the planning process. The incentives described here are based upon or drawn from empirical research on people's performance under flood disaster conditions. This reflects the view that it is important to build emergency planning around people's known reaction patterns. Too often emergency plans which are administratively devised turn out to be based upon misconceptions of how people react (cf. Drabek and Stephenson, 1971, p. 202; Dynes et al., 1972, p. 31) and, therefore, potentially create more difficulties than they solve. One must be cautioned, however, that although our data indicate that people say they would support the idea of various evacuation incentives examined here, these are attitudinal data and not performance data. Thus, the real test of evacuation incentives lies in their implementation and in evaluation data on pilot programs which, unfortunately, do not presently exist. The outlook for the feasibility of developing and utilizing evacuation incentives appears to be positive, though, judging from responses to our interviews. In the final analysis, it would appear to be wise to develop emergency plans which guide and channel citizen actions into complementary and productive protection behavior patterns. The present discussion of incentives to evacuate is intended to encourage data-based emergency planning.     

Quantum yield,relative specific absorption and fluorescence in nitrogen-limited Chaetoceros gracilis

Decreases in cell-nitrogen quota resulted in changes in the carbon-based quantum yield of photosynthesis, the chlorophyll a-specific absorption coefficient, and in vivo fluorescence in the marine diatom Chaetoceros gracilis in laboratory experiments performed in 1983 and 1984. The three parameters were independently determined for the two spectral regions dominated by either chlorophyll a or fucoxanthin absorption. As cell-nitrogen quota decreased, the quantum yield for both pigments decreased; the specific absorption coefficient for chlorophyll a and the in vivo chlorophyll a fluorescence excited by each pigment increased. The observed increase in the in vivo fluorescence per chlorophyll a could be partially attributed to the increased specific absorption coefficient for chlorophyll a; the remainder of the fluorescence increase was related to a decline in photosystem activity. Energy transfer efficiency between light-harvesting pigments appeared to be maintained as cell-nitrogen quota decreased. The decrease in a fluorescence index [(F _DCMU-F _O)/F _DCMU] with nitrogen starvation suggested a decrease in Photosystem II activity. These results imply that decreases in reaction center and/or electron-transport system activity were responsible for the decline in rates of photosynthesis under conditions of notrogen deficiency.     

Applying ecosystem concepts to the planning of industrial areas: a case study of Singapore’s Jurong Island

The application of ecological concepts to the industrial setting has been touched upon by literature across several disciplines. Two emerging ecological planning approaches, landscape ecology and industrial ecology, are applied here to look at alternative ways of planning industrial parks. As an emerging field, landscape ecology provides different viewpoints from the traditional approach of natural conservation, which mainly focuses on the protection of nature. The approach of landscape ecology regards the environment as a land mosaic, a mixture of natural and urban environment, which concerns a manageable human-scale environment across one or two human generations. Industrial ecology, on the other hand, goes beyond the traditional “end of pipe” idea of pollution control and learns from the ecosystem concept. The current paper is an attempt to reconcile these two fields as an integrated approach to the planning of industrial areas. Using a case study of Singapore’s Jurong Island industrial park, two fundamental issues behind the idea of landscape ecology and industrial ecology are raised. If raw materials, energy and by-products are more easily replaced or reused by technology and management, then research on industrial ecology and related knowledge will be crucial for developing natural resource substitution by innovative technology and new ways of environmental management. Where it is difficult to substitute natural resources, the skills of planning and managing natural resources will take priority over other strategies. In this situation, the knowledge of landscape ecology needs to be applied to the prediction, design and evaluation of ecologically optimum resource uses, patterns and processes in the mixture of natural, urban and industrial environment. A new concept, “nurtured landscape”, is proposed for mediating between the natural ecosystem and the urban/industrial environment. The nurtured landscape provides a basis for the development of new ecological technology using landscape to ameliorate the polluting effects of the urban/industrial neighbourhood. The planning of Singapore’s Jurong Island industrial park provides a test of applying the principles of landscape ecology and industrial ecology to the possible transformation of an industrial area.     

Evaluation of techniques used in the preparation of diesel extract samples for mutagenicity studies

Diesel exhaust particles were used to compare methods and techniques used in the preparation of particulate matter for microbial mutagenesis testing. Investigated in this study were extraction, concentration, and solvent exchange methodologies as they affected recovery of mutagenic material from diesel samples using a Salmonella typhimurium plate incorporation assay. Solvent removal methods applicable for use in determining the mass concentration of extracts were also evaluated. Results indicated that particle samples Soxhlet extracted with dichloromethane yielded higher levels of mutagenic activity than did comparative samples utilizing sonication. No difference was seen between rotary evaporation or Kuderna-Danish macro concentration of extracts to volumes > 50 mL. In comparison of micro concentration techniques to volumes < 10 mL, vortex evaporation was found to be more efficient than a modified micro Kuderna-Danish method in recovery of mass and mutagenicity. Solvent exchanged samples were found to yield higher recoveries of mutagenic activity than samples taken to dryness and then reconstituted in the bioassay solvent. A dry mass weighing procedure utilizing desiccation was found to be more acceptable than either the use of an infrared heat lamp or nitrogen blowdown for solvent removal.     

Ambient concentrations and correlations of hydrocarbons and halocarbons in the vicinity of an airport

Concentrations of sixteen volatile hydrocarbons present in internal combustion engine exhaust gases and two halogenated hydrocarbons have been measured in ambient air samples at six sites around Gatwick Airport. Correlations between their concentrations have been drawn in an attempt to establish the exact nature of the sources of these emissions, together with consideration of the overall hydrocarbon profiles.     

Increased metabolic cost of maintenance in hybrids of the stone crabs Menippe mercenaria and M. adina

Three recently emerging genotype classes of the genus Menippe (M. mercenaria, M. adina, and their hybrids) were examined for potential physiological correlates of gene mixing over a salinity range of 5 to 35‰. Resting metabolic rate (RMR), as measured by oxygen uptake (V˙ _O2), was highest in the hybrids. Differences in V˙ _O2 could not be accounted for by differences in systemic adaptations (e.g. heart rate or scaphognathite frequency); therefore it was concluded that they were based on potential underlying differences in carbohydrate metabolism. The higher RMR in the hybrids was attributed to a higher metabolic cost of maintenance, resulting from the breakup of coadapted gene complexes as a result of introgressive hybridization. Received: 22 July 1996 / Accepted: 17 October 1996     

Effects of Land-Use and Tsetse Fly Control on Bird Species Richness in Southwestern Ethiopia

Successful control of tsetse (Glossina spp.)-transmitted trypanosomiasis in the Ghibe Valley, Ethiopia, appears to have accelerated conversion of wooded grassland into cropland. Land conversion, in turn, may have fragmented wildlife habitat. Our objective was to assess the influence of the expansion of agricultural land-use, brought about by tsetse control, on ecological properties by using bird species richness and composition as indicators of environmental impacts. We sampled bird species richness and composition (using Timed-Species counts) and habitat structure (using field sampling and remote sensing) in four land cover/land-use types in areas subjected to tsetse fly control and adjacent areas without control. At the height of the growing season bird species numbers and vegetative complexity were greater in the small-holder, oxen-plowed fields and riparian woodlands than in wooded grasslands or in large-holder, tractor-plowed fields. Species composition was highly dissimilar (40–70% dissimilarity) comparing among land-use types, with many species found only in a single type. This implies that trypanosomiasis control that results in land conversion from wooded grasslands to small-holder farming in this region may have no adverse impacts on bird species numbers but will alter composition. These results also suggest that moderate land-use by humans (e.g., small-holder field mosaics) increases habitat heterogeneity and bird species richness relative to high levels of use (e.g., tractor-plowed fields). Tsetse control may be indirectly maintaining species richness in the valley by encouraging the differential spread of these small-scale, heterogeneous farms in place of large-scale, homogeneous farms. Nevertheless, if the extent of small-holder farms significantly exceeds that of present levels, negative impacts on bird species richness and large shifts in species composition may occur.     

Function of the shell spine in the predaceous rocky intertidal snail Acanthina spirata (Prosobranchia: Muricacea)

Feeding observations revealed that Acanthina spirata (Blainville, 1832) uses the shell spine in a ramming and prying motion, resulting in the fracturing and/or forcing open of opercular plates in the barnacles Balanus glandula (Darwin, 1854) and Chthamalus fissus (Darwin, 1854). Attacking barnacles by using the shell spine may represent a second widespread feeding mechanism (in addition to drilling) in muricacean gastropods. Specialization of the shell spine for attacking barnacles is advantageous over drilling within the context of an optimal foraging theory. Rockey intertidal field and laboratory experiments at Palos Verdes and Los Angeles, California, respectively, in 1981–1982 revealed, that snails with a shell spine have lower handling times and feed at a greater rate than spineless snails which drill their prey. Spine penetration of prey as opposed to drilling takes considerably less time than a tidal cycle. This is expected to increase the success rate for completion of feeding, since during tidal flux snails risk being dislodged. Plasticity in attack mechanisms allows A. spirata with broken spines to penetrate prey by drilling while undergoing spine repair. Differences exist in spine-feeding by A. spirata on B. glandula and C. fissus. The attack process takes more than twice as long when snails attack B. glandula versus C. fissus. However, there is no difference in the mean number of spine thrusts required to penetrate the opercular plates of the two species. When feeding on the larger barnacle B. glandula, A. spirata ingests significantly greater dry weight per unit handling time than with C. fissus.     

Nitrogen assimilation by phytoplankton and other microorganisms in the surface waters of the central North Pacific Ocean

Assimilation rates of ¹⁵N-labelled ammonium, urea, and nitrate by plankton in the upper euphotic zone were measured in 2 summer, 2 winter, and 1 spring cruise in the central North Pacific Ocean. Average rates of ammonium plus urea assimilation could not be determined precisely, but were estimated to be 7 to 25 g-at. N m^-3 day^-1. Indirect evidence suggested that non-photosynthetic microorganisms contributed to these rates. Nitrate assimilation was negligible in the upper waters considered in this report (above the chlorophyll maximum and the nutricline). Potential, nitrate-saturated rates were in the range 1 to 8 g-at. N m^-3 day^-1. Seasonal comparison showed lowest rates of both carbon and nitrogen assimilation rates per chlorophyll a in winter.