The potential impact of future sea level rise and climate change on 15 Welsh coastal dune systems has been investigated. Historical
Trend Analysis was undertaken using Ordnance Survey maps to quantify past shoreline change and to permit extrapolation of
past trends to predict possible future shoreline positions by 2080–2100. Predictions were also made using the Bruun Rule relationship
between sea level rise and shoreline response and an integrated method of assessment, Expert Geomorphological Assessment (EGA),
which provides a ‘best estimate’ of future coastline change, taking into account such factors as geological constraints, the
nature of past, present and future environmental forcing factors, and known coastal process–response relationships. The majority
of the 15 systems investigated experienced a net increase in dune area over the last 100–120 years. Only one (Whiteford Burrows)
experienced significant net area loss (>5 ha). EGA predictions suggest that several systems are likely to experience significant
net loss of dune habitat over the next century, whilst continued net gain is likely to occur for systems where sediment supply
rates remain high. Little net change is predicted in some systems. Considering the 15 dune systems together, it is considered
unlikely that net dune habitat loss will exceed net gain over the next 100 years provided that there are no major disruptions
to sediment supply and natural coastal processes. 相似文献
The Lower Mississippi River is a major transportation route for commercial goods and petroleum products produced and refined
locally. Oil spills caused by vessel accidents and equipment failure at refineries are a serious threat to the drinking water
supply of Southern Louisiana, as well as to the many natural, economic, and social resources supported by the river. Providing
accurate trajectory modeling to contingency planners is critical to protecting the local environment. The majority of trajectory
model results, assuming a uniform shoreline, show 60–70% of spilled oil can be retained. This study examines the impact of
detailed shoreline mapping that captures spatial and temporal changes in shoreline type on oil spill trajectory modeling. 相似文献
Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Aquaculture is an activity with economic and social importance since it generates food, employment, and income. However, like other human activities,... 相似文献
The adoption and enforcement of building codes is considered the most effective tool in safeguarding lives and property against earthquakes. There would appear to be a vital regulatory role for government in the enforcement of building codes, but this is somewhat at odds with the neoliberal agenda of ‘rolling back the state’. This paper explores constraints to the implementation of building codes in the context of changing roles and responsibilities of local authorities in Bihar in India. In-depth interviews were conducted with key stakeholders across major urban centres in north Bihar. Some factors, such as: code complexity; competition between the public and private sectors for qualified personnel; and low public risk perception were found to be less significant in Bihar than has been noted elsewhere, while other factors such as: the cost of earthquake-resistant measures; political interests; corrupt practices; and lack of government capacity were important. Additional factors were also revealed by the research, some of which are exacerbated by the neoliberal climate of urban governance. While the recent 2014 byelaws represent an improvement in the system and a degree of re-regulation, ambiguities create opportunities for failures arising from ‘normalised irresponsibility’. 相似文献
Several methods were developed to detect the cyclic volatile methylsiloxanes (cVMSs) including octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane (D4), decamethylcyclopentasiloxane (D5), and dodecamethylcyclohexasiloxane (D6) in water, sediment, soil, biota, and biosolid samples. Analytical techniques employed to optimize measurement of this compound class in various matrices included membrane-assisted solvent extraction in water, liquid–solid extraction for sediment, soil, biota, and biosolid samples. A subsequent analysis of the extract was conducted by large-volume injection–gas chromatography−mass spectrometry (LVI−GC−MS). These methods employed no evaporative techniques to avoid potential losses and contamination of the volatile siloxanes. To compensate for the inability to improve detection limits by concentrating final sample extract volumes we used a LVI–GC–MS. Contamination during analysis was minimized by using a septumless GC configuration to avoid cVMS’s associated with septum bleed. These methods performed well achieving good linearity, low limits of detection, good precision, recovery, and a wide dynamic range. In addition, stability of cVMS in water and sediment was assessed under various storage conditions. D4 and D5 in Type-I (Milli-Q) water stored at 4 °C were stable within 29 d; however, significant depletion of D6 (60–70%) occurred only after 3 d. Whereas cVMS in sewage influent and effluent were stable at 4 °C within 21 d. cVMS in sediment sealed in amber glass jars at −20 °C and in pentane extracts in vials at −15 °C were stable during 1 month under both storage conditions. 相似文献
Objective: Characterization of the severity of injury should account for both mortality and disability. The objective of this study was to develop a disability metric for thoracic injuries in motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) and compare the functional outcomes between the pediatric and adult populations.
Methods: Disability risk (DR) was quantified using Functional Independence Measure (FIM) scores within the National Trauma Data Bank for the most frequently occurring Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) 2–5 thoracic injuries. Occupants with thoracic injury were classified as disabled or not disabled based on the FIM scale, and comparisons were made between the following age groups: pediatric, adult, middle-aged, and older occupants (ages 7–18, 19–45, 46–65, and 66+, respectively). For each age group, DR was calculated by dividing the number of patients who were disabled and sustained a given injury by the number of patients who sustained a given injury. To account for the effect of higher severity co-injuries, a maximum AIS adjusted DR (DRMAIS) was also calculated for each injury. DR and DRMAIS could range from 0 to 100% disability risk.
Results: The mean DRMAIS for MVC thoracic injuries was 20% for pediatric occupants, 22% for adults, 29% for middle-aged adults, and 43% for older adults. Older adults possessed higher DRMAIS values for diaphragm laceration/rupture, heart laceration, hemo/pneumothorax, lung contusion/laceration, and rib and sternum fracture compared to the other age groups. The pediatric population possessed a higher DRMAIS value for flail chest compared to the other age groups.
Conclusion: Older adults had significantly greater overall disability than each of the other age groups for thoracic injuries. The developed disability metrics are important in quantifying the significant burden of injuries and loss of quality life years. Such metrics can be used to better characterize severity of injury and further the understanding of age-related differences in injury outcomes, which can influence future age-specific modifications to AIS. 相似文献