An evaluation of adaptation options for climate change impacts on agriculture in Kazakhstan

Agriculture in Kazakhstan is sensitive to climate, and wheat yields could be reduced up to 70% under climate change. With the transition from a socialist economy to a free market economy, decisions are being made now that will affect Kazakhstan's ability to cope with climate change. A team of Kazakh and American researchers examined the cost-effectiveness and barriers to implementations of adaptation options for climate change. Twelve adaptation options that increase flexibility to respond to climate change were identified using a screening matrix. Four options, forecasting pest outbreaks, developing regional centers for preserving genetic diversity of seeds, supporting a transition to a free market, and reducing soil erosion through the use of changed farming practices, were examined. The Adaptation Decision Matrix (ADM) was then applied to estimate benefits using expert judgment (using an arbitrary numerical scale, not monetary values) and benefits estimates were compared to costs to determine cost-effectiveness. The ADM uses subjective measures of how well adaptation options meet policy objectives. Controlling soil erosion was estimated to have the highest benefits, but the high costs of implementation appears to make it relatively cost-ineffective. Supporting a transition to a free market was ranked as the most cost-effective measure, with regional centers second. However, use of different scales to quantify benefits or different weights can result in regional centers being more cost-effective than the transition to a free market. Regional centers was also judged to have fewer barriers to implementation than a transition to a free market. These results will be incorporated in Kazakhstan's National Action Plan. The ADM and other tools are relatively easy to apply, but are quite subjective and difficult to evaluate. The tools can be quite useful by decision makers to analyze advantages and disadvantages between different adaptation options, but should be supplemented with additional, particularly quantitative analysis.     

Duchenne muscular dystrophy associated with fetal pleural effusion and polyhydramnios

A case of fetal pleural effusion in a fetus affected with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is reported. This case is discussed in the context of the previous observation of frequent stillbirths among male fetuses in DMD families.     

Reassessing the role of the honeybee (Apis mellifera) Dufour's gland in egg marking

Dufour's gland secretion may allow worker honeybees to discriminate between queen-laid and worker-laid eggs. To investigate this, we combined the chemical analysis of individually treated eggs with an egg removal bioassay. We partitioned queen Dufour's gland into hydrocarbon and ester fractions. The bioassay showed that worker-laid eggs treated with either whole gland extract, ester fraction or synthetic gland esters were removed more slowly than untreated worker-laid eggs. However, the effect only lasted up to 20 h. Worker-laid eggs treated with the hydrocarbon fraction were removed at the same rate as untreated eggs. The amount of ester which reduced the egg removal rate was far higher than that naturally found on queen-laid or worker-laid eggs, and at natural ester levels no effect was found. Our results indicate that esters or hydrocarbons probably do not function as the signal by which eggs can be discriminated.     

Analysis of styrene oxide-hemoglobin adducts at different binding sites

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Managing for biodiversity: Emerging ideas for the electric utility industry—summary statement

The conference entitled Managing for Biodiversity: Emerging Ideas for the Electric Utility Industry was held in Williamsburg, Virginia, USA, during 19–20 March 1996. This paper provides an overview of the key points, conclusions, and recommendations from both the presentations/papers and the discussions throughout the conference.     

Temporal variability of the elemental composition in urban street dust

Urban Street dust is recognized as a source of urban air and runoff degradation. This paper takes a preliminary step toward a better understanding of temporal variability in street dust chemistry and of the controlling mechanisms. Street dust samples, collected over four seasons in the city of Hamilton, Canada, show a variability dependent on element and source-anthropogenic sources exhibiting the greatest temporal variability. In addition, elements attributed to common sources exhibit similar temporal patterns. The use of generic or even one-time samples may seriously misrepresent the elemental make-up of urban street dust. Based on the samples collected in this study, a number of questions/insights are posed to further the study of street dust temporal variability.     

Aerially guided leak detection and repair: A pilot field study for evaluating the potential of methane emission detection and cost-effectiveness

Novel aerial methane (CH₄) detection technologies were used in this study to identify anomalously high-emitting oil and gas (O&G) facilities and to guide ground-based “leak detection and repair” (LDAR) teams. This approach has the potential to enable a rapid and effective inspection of O&G facilities under voluntary or regulatory LDAR programs to identify and mitigate anomalously large CH₄ emissions from a disproportionately small number of facilities. This is the first study of which the authors are aware to deploy, evaluate, and compare the CH₄ detection volumes and cost-effectiveness of aerially guided and purely ground-based LDAR techniques. Two aerial methods, the Kairos Aerospace infrared CH₄ column imaging and the Scientific Aviation in situ aircraft CH₄ mole fraction measurements, were tested during a 2-week period in the Fayetteville Shale region contemporaneously with conventional ground-based LDAR. We show that aerially guided LDAR can be at least as cost-effective as ground-based LDAR, but several variable parameters were identified that strongly affect cost-effectiveness and which require field research and improvements beyond this pilot study. These parameters include (i) CH₄ minimum dectectable limit of aerial technologies, (ii) emission rate size distributions of sources, (iii) remote distinction of fixable versus nonfixable CH₄ sources (“leaks” vs. CH₄ emissions occurring by design), and (iv) the fraction of fixable sources to total CH₄ emissions. Suggestions for future study design are provided.

Implications: Mitigation of methane leaks from existing oil and gas operations currently relies on on-site inspections of all applicable facilities at a prescribed frequency. This approach is labor- and cost-intensive, especially because a majority of oil and gas–related methane emissions originate from a disproportionately small number of facilities and components. We show for the first time in real-world conditions how aerial methane measurements can identify anomalously high-emitting facilities to enable a rapid, focused, and directed ground inspection of these facilities. The aerially guided approach can be more cost-effective than current practices, especially when implementing the aircraft deployment improvements discussed here.     

A simple method for estimating dermal absorption of chemicals in water

A semiempirical mathematical model is proposed for estimating the dermal absorption of chemicals from dilute aqueous solutions, such as bath water. Absorption depends on the concentration of the chemical in water, the area of skin exposed, the time of exposure, and a permeation coefficient that depends importantly on the relative solubility of the material in lipids and water, among other factors not so easily modeled.     

Spacing and distribution of bowers in Macgregor's Bowerbird (Amblyornis macgregoriae)

Summary Bowerbirds (Ptilonorhynchidae) have been described as exhibiting exploded lek mating patterns. Quantitative documentation and analysis of spatial dispersion, however, is lacking for most species despite its importance to a fundamental understanding of social organization. We studied Macgregor's Bowerbird (Amblyornis macgregoriae) in eastern New Guinea in 1980 and 1981 to quantify spatial distribution and selection of bower sites in relation to ecological and social factors. Forty-two bower sites were located in approximately 750 ha of mid-montane forest. They were linearly and regularly spaced along ridges with a mean inter-bower distance of 169±64 m SD (range 75–348 m). Statistical analysis showed males to be regularly spaced within available habitat. Discriminant analysis of seven habitat variables measured along utilized ridge lines showed that bower sites differed significantly from potentially available sites with respect to slope and width of ridge, closure of canopy, and density of saplings. Placement of bowers with respect to these factors was not correlated with inter-bower distance. Most males maintained only one bower; four (10%) maintained two bowers simultaneously. Males spent an average of 54% of daylight hours within an activity center of 15–20 m radius surrounding the bower and aggressively defended this area against conspecific males. Marauding pressure on bowers was high, and 39% of all observed mating attempts (n=18) were disrupted by neighboring males. Macgregor's Bowerbird exhibits a social system that appears to be intermediate between lek behavior and territoriality, combining the social dynamics and opportunism of the former and the uniform field of display sites and nests of the latter. We hypothesize that dispersion in this species is partly due to males buffering their display space against intruder pressure. We suggest that strict adherence to the dispersion criterion in classifying promiscuous mating systems may be inappropriate.