Analysis of Meteorological Drought Pattern During Different Climatic and Cropping Seasons in Bangladesh

Drought is one of the most frequent natural disasters in Bangladesh which severely affect agro‐based economy and people's livelihood in almost every year. Characterization of droughts in a systematic way is therefore critical in order to take necessary actions toward drought mitigation and sustainable development. In this study, standardized precipitation index is used to understand the spatial distribution of meteorological droughts during various climatic seasons such as premonsoon, monsoon, and winter seasons as well as cropping seasons such as Pre‐Kharif (March‐May), Kharif (May‐October), and Rabi (December‐February). Rainfall data collected from 29 rainfall gauge stations located in different parts of the country were used for a period of 50 years (1961‐2010). The study reveals that the spatial characteristics of droughts vary widely according to season. Premonsoon droughts are more frequent in the northwest, monsoon droughts mainly occur in the west and northwest, winter droughts in the west, and the Rabi and Kharif droughts are more frequent in the north and northwest of Bangladesh. It is expected that the findings of the study will support drought monitoring and mitigation activities in Bangladesh.     

Physicochemical interaction and its influence on deep bed filtration process

The capillary model was used to analyze the hydraulic conditions in the deep bed filtration process. The physicochemical interaction forces between the filter media and suspended particles and their influence on deep bed filtration process were also studied theoretically. Through the comparison of the hydraulic and physicochemical forces, the key influencing factors on the filtration process were proposed and investigated. Pilot study of the microflocculation deep bed filtration was carried out in the No. 9 Potable Water Treatment Plant of Beijing, and the experimental results of hydraulic head loss, particle distribution and entrapment were presented. The theoretical prediction was reasonably consistent with the experimental results under different conditions, which indicated that the regulation and control of micro-flocculation and deep bed filtration could be realized by the evaluation of the physicochemical interactions. Further theoretical and experimental research should be carried out to investigate the interaction mechanism and its application in the deep bed filtration and other cases.     

Risk measures constituting a risk metrics which enables improved decision making: Value-at-Risk

In this work, a novel approach is proposed for expressing the risks of process plants consisting of a large number of scenarios, in the form of a risk metrics of leading indicators to prevent potential high profile industry accidents. The methodology includes: 1) risk estimation of a portfolio by CPQRA (or QRA), 2) monetization of the tangible risks with the inclusion of the lost time of production, 3) estimation of the maximum portfolio loss using Value-at-Risk approach, 4) inclusion of intangible risks using FN-curve and, 5) generation of F$-curve of tangible risks. The proposed methodology can particularly help in understanding the stakes at risk by performing the overall cost-benefit analysis, for identifying the most risky scenarios and identifying critical equipments to enable better risk-informed decision making in order to adopt appropriate risk mitigation measures. This work establishes the groundwork for developing measures for understanding and comparing the large number of risk values derived from QRA studies for large portfolios. It will aid in less subjective decision making as it enables the decision maker to choose the most preferred portfolio option among alternatives. Decisions made with the accurate understanding of the consequences of risks can significantly reduce potential work-related fatalities, property losses and save millions of dollars.     

安全绩效研究综述

为探明安全绩效的研究方向,加强对安全绩效基础研究,从而为加强企业安全管理工作提供理论保障。从安全绩效的定义和范畴、安全绩效的评估、安全绩效影响因素的实证研究、安全绩效的提升等方面对国内外安全绩效相关研究进行论述和分析。提出以企业组织安全行为与员工安全行为作为研究的切入点;采用定性与定量相结合的方法;研究的重点应为更加注重过程的控制,注重安全行为的引导和安全文化的建设。     

化工火灾事故调查方法研究

为克服化工火灾调查中人为因素的影响,增强事故调查的科学性和准确性,在总结化工火灾现场特点的基础上,提出化工火灾事故调查时应遵循的假设推理法,通过证据收集、分析资料、建立假设、检验假设和选择假设,构建化工火灾事故调查的证据系统,包括实物证据,位置证据、文件证据和人证,从火灾动力学角度分析了火灾痕迹的影响因素。结果表明:假设推理法重视证据收集,综合使用归纳推理和演绎推理,有助于避免主观判断的影响;采用系统方法收集证据,扩大证据收集的范围,列举证据清单和优先考虑敏感性证据的方法有助于提高调查效率;火灾行为、材料的热响应和灭火行动对火灾痕迹的形成有直接影响,分析时应充分考虑,以免作出错误的判断。     

火灾中闭式喷头响应时间的概率分布特性研究

喷淋系统中闭式喷头响应时间受火灾增长因子、径向安装距离和喷头响应时间指数等因素的影响。通过对喷头响应时间的模拟数据的统计分析,建立了包含火灾增长因子、径向距离和喷头响应时间指数等参数的喷头响应时间模型。考虑火灾增长因子和径向距离的随机性,获得了喷头响应时间的概率分布特性。研究结果表明,径向距离和火灾增长因子对喷头响应时间的分布特性影响显著。随着火灾增长因子的增大和径向距离的缩小,喷头在较短时间内响应的概率增大。随着径向距离的缩小,喷头响应时间指数对喷头响应时间分布的影响变小。研究可为优化喷头布置和评估喷头响应的有效性提供分析工具。     

天津沿岸海水中创伤弧菌的PCR检测和定量

采用普通PCR方法和SYBR Green实时定量PCR方法,根据创伤弧菌16S rDNA和23S rDNA基因间隔序列(internal transcribed spacer,ITS)设计引物,对渤海湾天津沿岸海水中的创伤弧菌进行了定性和定量检测.8个样品采集自天津市汉沽区沿岸海水,采集时间分别为2008年7月、10月和2009年3月、5月.PCR检测结果表明,这些样品都能扩增出276 bp的ITS序列,这些序列和GenBank上的同源序列(DQ462478)的相似性为96%～98%.用SYBR Green实时定量PCR方法测定了8个海水样品,样品中创伤弧菌的浓度为7.12×10~3～8.40×10~5 个/L,表明天津沿岸海水存在严重的创伤弧菌污染.     

星豹蛛头胸部乙酰胆碱酯酶最佳反应体系及其药剂敏感度

利用正交试验法研究5个因素对测定星豹蛛(Pardosa astrigera)头胸部乙酰胆碱酯酶(AChE)活性的影响,以建立酶活测定的最佳反应体系.结果表明,各因素对AChE的比活力影响由大到小的顺序为反应体系的pH值、反应时间、酶质量浓度、反应温度和底物浓度.测定AChE活性的最佳反应条件是: 酶质量浓度为12 g·L-1,底物浓度为0.6 mmol·L-1,反应体系pH值为7.0,反应温度为30 ℃,反应时间为5 min.此外,4种杀虫剂对星豹蛛头胸部AChE活性的影响试验结果表明,灭多威、辛硫磷、高效氯氰菊酯、毒死蜱对AChE的抑制中浓度(IC50)分别为7.76×10-5 mol·L-1、1.76×10-4 mol·L-1、4.12×10-4 mol·L-1和4.94×10-4 mol·L-1,并且上述4种杀虫剂对AChE的抑制具有明显的剂量关系.     

热湿舒适性运动面料研究概况

影响运动服装综合舒适性的因素很多,其中,热湿舒适性是评价运动服装舒适性的一项重要指标,它直接影响到人们的健康情况以及运动员在运动项目中的能力发挥情况,成为运动服装面料开发过程中不可忽视的重要环节。本文介绍了运动面料的热湿传递机理,通过分析影响运动服装热湿舒适性的重要因素来探讨运动服装面料的研究现状,并详细介绍了目前已经开发或即将开发的具备热湿舒适性的运动服装面料的种类。     

煤矿救援队伍业务管理系统研究

为了改善救援队伍业务管理模式,提高煤矿救援队伍的业务管理能力,利用救护队现有的计算机设备,以Windows Server 2003系统和北京龙软科技发展有限公司Longruan GIS 3.0为平台,以Visual C++6.0和SQL Server 2000为开发工具,采用多层次的Client/Server结构,在面向对象思想指导下设计与实现的煤矿救援队伍业务管理系统,文章介绍了业务管理系统的前台软件开发和后台数据库开发的设计思想和步骤。现场应用证明,该系统能够为煤矿救援队业务管理提供强有力的技术支持,有利于提高煤矿救援队管理人员的业务能力。