Demographic Forecasting in Koala Conservation

Abstract: The koala currently needs conservation intervention. There is clear evidence of decline in many populations, but the existence of other stable or expanding populations offers the possibility of a variety of creative solutions to their conservation problems. The 1998 National Koala Conservation Strategy emphasizes the need to obtain demographic information and to use this information to assess management options for koalas. We need accurate diagnoses of the status of koala populations and forecasts of their demographic future with and without particular management actions. In a qualitative fashion, this process has been undertaken many times on a local and national scale. Quantitative demographic forecasting tools are increasingly available, and koala management could benefit from their application both at the scale of individual populations and more broadly. There is already a considerable body of suitable data on the dispersal, effects of normal and catastrophic environmental variation on reproduction and survival, and on the effects of habitat change. Demographic forecasting, however, is hampered because the full suite of information is rarely available from a single population. In two Queensland populations, retrospective population viability analyses provided forecasts that were in agreement with observed population trends. Work is needed to determine whether data from one population can be applied to other populations. Models can then be developed to make projections at a multipopulation level on the basis of local population dynamics and dispersal. Certain koala populations, because of their long history of study, offer the opportunity to test demographic models retrospectively. These tests will not only aid in fine-tuning the models for koala biology and data but will also assist with the more general process of validating the models.     

Poisoned plusiines: toxicity of milkweed latex and cardenolides to some generalist caterpillars

Summary. Larvae of Trichoplusia ni Hübner (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) that ingested latex from Asclepias curassavica L. (Asclepiadaceae) often regurgitated and convulsed with spasms before becoming immobile and unresponsive. Some larvae required over a day to recover sufficiently to feed. Latices from four other plant species in three families were all deterrent, but none caused detectable poisoning. The toxicity of A. curassavica latex was evidently due to cardenolides because pure cardenolides had similar effects when ingested by T. ni. Other species of noctuid caterpillars (Rachiplusia ou Guenée, Anagrapha falcifera Kirby, and Autographa precationis Guenée) sometimes also suffered spasms and temporary immobility when fed A. curassavica latex. A more distantly related noctuid, Spodoptera ornithogalli, was deterred by the latex, but showed no overt physiological responses at the dosage tested. T. ni larvae failed to develop on intact leaves of A. curassavica, on leaves with latex canals deactivated by midrib severance, and on excised leaves. Similarly, larvae reared on excised A. syriaca L. leaves to the final instar died when transferred to A. curassavica leaves with either intact or severed midribs. The final instar larvae sometimes suffered from spasms and immobility even when confined on leaves with depressurized canal systems. Evidently, cardenolides stored outside the latex system suffice to poison larvae. We conclude that cardenolides in A. curassavica have potent physiological effects on some generalist caterpillars and that the presence of these compounds both inside and outside laticifers effectively protects the plant. Received 30 June 1999; accepted 18 October 1999     

逆反射型矿山安全标志的色域选择理念及测色方法研究

本文从色度学的角度阐述了颜色是人的主观感受,为了对每一个颜色均能明确地描述和定义,借助色度空间概念,把色调的颜色空间转化为立体的数学模型.根据矿山现场工作环境特点及对国内外相关标准中逆反射色域分析,建立逆反射型矿山安全标志的色域选择理念,并对两种不同的测色方法进行了分析研究.     

过电位抛光增材制造双极板流道结构及性能研究

目的 研究过电位抛光对不锈钢异形截面微流道内壁成形性及双极板性能的影响。方法 采用电化学实验、扫描电子显微镜（SEM）、粗糙度测试分别对激光粉末床熔融技术成形异形截面微流道进行测试分析,研究抛光时间对微流道内壁表面形貌、典型缺陷、表面粗糙度及双极板耐腐蚀性的影响。结果 在抛光前10 min,微流道内壁的质量得到有效提升,随着抛光时间的延长,其表面粗糙度达到稳定值,同时典型缺陷也由黏粉、半熔金属颗粒等局部缺陷逐渐变化到球化、挂渣、阶梯效应等大范围缺陷,直至出现点蚀现象。抛光时间在5～15 min内,LPBF成形316L不锈钢表面质量提升,随着抛光时间的增加,其耐腐蚀性下降。结论 采用过电位抛光工艺并选择适当的过电位抛光时间,能有效提升微流道内壁成形质量及双极板耐腐蚀性能。     

基于厌氧污泥接种的预处理工艺对分户厕所废水亚硝化反应启动的影响

采用分户处理的方式对厕所废水进行单独处理是迅速改善乡村地区生活卫生条件的捷径。部分亚硝化-厌氧氨氧化方法的出现为分户厕所废水的处理提供了更为可持续的工艺选项。亚硝化反应是厌氧氨氧化反应的先决性步骤。以分户厕所废水为处理对象,在不接种亚硝化污泥的前提下,考察了在厕所废水预处理单元接种厌氧污泥对亚硝化反应启动的影响。结果表明,厌氧污泥的接种可将亚硝化反应的启动周期缩短至正常周期的50%,其作用机理位削弱了异养细菌对氨氧化细菌的竞争性抑制。以上研究结果可为分户厕所废水部分亚硝化反应的快速启动提供参考。     

外循环厌氧处理工艺中布水和三相分离的改进研究

污水处理中的布水设备和三相分离设备存在很多缺点,通过旋流配水装置和传统配水装置、小间距斜板三相分离装置和传统三相分离装置的比较试验,研究了旋流配水装置和小间距斜板三相分离装置的性能.研究结果表明:在相同膨胀率的条件下,旋流配水装置所需的回流量小,能耗相对较少;在水力上升流速为8 m/h时,采用旋流配水装置进水时,污泥分布曲线较平缓,污泥在高度上分布较均匀,而采用传统配水装置进水时,污泥主要分布在反应器底部,污泥浓度分布不均匀;在上升流速相同的情况下,采用小间距三相分离装置的反应器出水携带的颗粒污泥浓度较小;在相同的进水COD浓度时,小间距三相分离装置分离的沼气量较多.改进的布水和三相分离装置的性能明显优于传统的布水和三相分离装置.     

组合人工湿地对城镇污水处理厂尾水中有机物的去除特征研究

采用物理分级和三维荧光光谱法,研究了组合人工湿地对城镇污水处理厂尾水中不同形态有机物的去除特征.结果表明,组合人工湿地对污水处理厂尾水具有较好的深度处理效果,出水水质基本可以达到国家地表水环境质量标准(GB38382-2002)Ⅲ或Ⅳ类水标准.组合人工湿地处理系统对尾水中CODCr和BOD5总体去除率分别达到35.2%和44.3%,对尾水中总有机碳(TOC)、溶解性有机碳(DOC)、颗粒有机碳(POC)的平均去除率分别为46.9%、45.9%、48.3%.组合人工湿地系统不同单元对尾水中有机物的去除贡献率存在差异,其中,潜流湿地单元对尾水中CODCr和BOD5及其不同组分有机碳的去除效率较高.试验期间,由于藻类滋生,表流湿地单元出水中有机物含量波动较大,去除效果明显降低,藻类被打捞后,出水水质明显改善.三维荧光光谱分析结果显示,各个处理单元取样点的水样三维荧光光谱均出现4个明显的荧光峰.人工湿地各单元出水溶解性有机质(DOM)中,类蛋白和类腐殖酸物质含量较高,类富里酸物质含量较低.人工湿地对类蛋白和类腐殖酸物质有较强的去除作用.     

脱硫脱硫弧菌转化二氧化硫气体的研究

运用连续处理工艺研究了SO_2进气摩尔流速和去除率的关系,并对主要转化产物硫化氢和硫化物进行了测定,研究了亚硫酸盐的积累情况及其对脱硫脱硫弧菌生长的影响,同时还对碳源的消耗及转化产物进行了定量研究.实验结果表明,随着SO_2流速的提高(4·975~20·149mmol·h~(-1))菌体对二氧化硫的去除率没有发生明显的变化,始终保持在93%以上,在SO2摩尔流速低于5·034mmol·h~(-1)时产物以硫化氢为主,而随着SO_2摩尔流速的提高,液相中硫化物和亚硫酸盐开始累积;当SO_2摩尔流速增大至20·149mmol·h~(-1)时,亚硫酸盐累积浓度达到74·23mg·L~(-1),该浓度对菌体生长不会产生抑制作用;系统在SO_2摩尔流速为14·063mmol·h~(-1)下运行时较为稳定,乳酸盐全部转化为乙酸盐,每还原1mmol SO_2消耗0·4mmol CH_3CHOHCOO~-.     

电化学还原-氧化工艺降解4-氯酚的毒性研究

采用紫外光还原法制备了Pd-Fe/石墨烯催化阴极,并以Ti/IrO_2/RuO_2为阳极,构成三电极体系(双阴极)和两电极体系(单阴极)的电化学还原-氧化降解工艺,分别对4-氯酚进行降解.采用离子色谱、高效液相色谱、TOC仪对4-氯酚降解过程中中间产物及其浓度进行测定.根据公式计算降解过程中理论计算毒性值,应用发光细菌法测定降解过程中的实际毒性值,对理论计算毒性值与实际毒性值进行比较,分析不同体系下降解过程中毒性的变化规律.结果表明,两种工艺体系在最佳降解条件下,阴极室毒性均呈下降的趋势,由于降解过程中在阳极室生成高毒性的苯醌,阳极室毒性均先升高后降低.通过相关性分析得到,两种体系理论计算毒性与实际毒性在P=0.01水平下,相关性系数均为1,显著相关,表明降解过程中实际毒性的测定结果真实可靠.降解至120 min时,三电极体系毒性小于两电极体系,表明三电极体系优于两电极体系.据此提出实际毒性测定方法在电化学还原-氧化工艺降解氯酚类有机废水毒性测试的工业应用中有着广泛的前景.