The hybrid model of empirical wavelet transform and relevance vector regression for monthly wind speed prediction

ABSTRACT

In order to improve the prediction ability for the monthly wind speed of RVR, the hybrid model of empirical wavelet transform and relevance vector regression (EWT-RVR) is proposed for monthly wind speed prediction in this study. Compared with empirical mode decomposition (EMD), empirical wavelet transform (EWT) can obtain a more consistent decomposition and have a mathematical theory. In order to testify the superiority of EWT-RVR, several traditional RVR models are used to compare with the proposed EWT-RVR method under the situation of the same embedding dimensions. The experimental results show that the proposed EWT-RVR method has a better prediction ability for monthly wind speed than RVR. It can be concluded that the proposed EWT-RVR method for monthly wind speed is effective.     

输变电项目环评存在问题分析及对策建议

列举了国家环保总局环境工程评估中心在输变电项目环境影响技术评估中遇到的一些技术和管理上亟待解决的问题,在对其分析的基础上,提出相应的对策建议.     

疲劳驾驶要不得

在交通事故中因疲劳开车的占很大的比例．尤其是大型运输车辆因驾驶人员疲劳开车而出事故的比例则更大。例如近日。在河南、广东路段连续发生两起大型气罐车和大型松香水车侧翻而出险的重大事故．就是因驾驶员长途疲劳驾驶所至的一个典型事例。疲劳驾驶是驾驶员们为了赶时间抓效益而不顾路途长远和自身的劳累“一脚到天涯”:其次是侥幸影响了安全。驾驶员们都认为自己的精力和能力没问题,长途或劳累一点驾驶不碍事;第三是散漫养成了习惯。由于我国一直没有关于禁止疲劳开车的有关规定．虽然《交通安全法》中规定了“或者过度疲     

Contamination of Oxygen-Consuming Organics in the Yellow River of China

Contamination of oxygen-consuming organics (OCOs) was one of the most serious problems in the Yellow River of China. This study was conducted to analyze monitoring of the data on OCOs contamination for the river in 1980 and during 1992–1999 as well as examining the effect of suspended solids (SS) on chemical oxygen demand (COD_Mn) and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD₅) of river water. Several significant results have arisen from the study. First, COD_Mn and BOD₅ of the river water showed an increasing trend from the upper to the lower reaches of the mainstream. BOD₅ values of river water in 1992 were significantly higher than those in 1980 and showed an increasing trend during 1992–1999. Second, OCOs in river water of the mainstream was attributed mainly to point sources; the ratio of point to non-point sources of BOD₅ was about 2.81. The load from point sources showed an increasing trend during 1992–1998. In contrast, the load from non-point sources manifested a decreasing trend during this period; this was caused by the decreasing trend of SS content in river water. The total load of BOD₅ from point and non-point sources displayed an increasing trend during 1992–1998. Third, as the humic substances in SS can hardly be biologically oxidized in natural conditions but can be oxidized by chemical oxidants such as potassium permanganate, COD_Mn was not suitable for being regarded as a parameter reflecting the pollution degree of OCOs in river water with a high SS content.     

钠盐量影响下DD6单晶高温合金的高温热腐蚀规律研究

目的 开展镍基单晶高温合金DD6在950 ℃下的热盐腐蚀试验(95%Na2SO4+5%NaCl)，探明涂盐量和涂盐方式(周期涂盐和单次涂盐)对DD6高温热腐蚀的影响规律和机理。方法 结合扫描电子显微镜、X射线能量色散谱、X射线衍射等设备，对不同涂盐量及涂盐方式下DD6的表面及横截面形貌进行观察分析，分析不同涂盐量和涂盐方式下DD6的高温热腐蚀机理。结果 DD6在950 ℃下主要发生碱性熔融热腐蚀，同时伴随氧化、硫化和氯化等过程。高温热腐蚀使得DD6合金表面生成的保护性氧化膜被熔融态的腐蚀介质破坏，导致O、S、Cl等外部元素通过氧化膜的缺陷进入DD6基体中，在合金的亚表面发生内氧化、内硫化以及内氯化反应，横截面上出现明显的腐蚀层，其主要由氧化物以及硫化物组成。随着热腐蚀的进行，DD6表面物质发生了剥蚀，沉积盐量的增加导致剥蚀现象越加严重，合金内部致密的组织结构也被破坏，横截面上出现了大量孔洞、裂纹等缺陷。在相同涂盐量下，周期涂盐法使得DD6的腐蚀程度高于单次涂盐法。结论 DD6高温热腐蚀行为与涂盐量及涂盐方式密切相关，相同涂盐方式下，涂盐量越大，DD6热腐蚀更加严重。涂盐量一定时，周期涂盐法使得DD6的热腐蚀剧烈程度大于单次涂盐法，且DD6在上述热腐蚀条件下均发生剥蚀破坏。     

区域土地利用的社会效益及其时空特征研究

土地利用的社会效益是社会经济可持续发展的基础。从用地公平、居民生活质量、社会公平和社会保障等四个方面构建土地利用社会效益评价指标体系，采用AHP法、变异系数法和综合评价模型对湛江市土地利用的社会效益进行了评价，并分析了其时空特征。结果表明，1996-2006年湛江市土地利用的用地公平性较高且变化较小，而居民生活质量、社会公平性和社会保障功能都有不同程度的提高，土地利用的社会效益明显增加；2006年土地利用社会效益以遂溪县最高、徐闻县最低。分析了土地利用社会效益的主要影响因素，并提出了相应的对策措施。     

我国的环境现状,类型与变化

本文结合区域的社会经济发展状况，通过采用一定的数学模型，分析了我国区域环境现状、类型及其变化，得出了一些有参考价值的结论。