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41.
Application of a checklist for quality assistance in environmental modelling to an energy model 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
James Risbey Jeroen van der Sluijs Penny Kloprogge Jerry Ravetz Silvio Funtowicz Serafin Corral Quintana 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2005,10(1):63-79
Large, complex energy models present considerable challenges to develop and test. Uncertainty assessments of such models provide only partial guidance on the quality of the results. We have developed a model quality assistance checklist to aid in this purpose. The model checklist provides diagnostic output in the form of a set of pitfalls for the model application. The checklist is applied here to an energy model for the problem of assessing energy use and greenhouse gas emissions. Use of the checklist suggests that results on this issue are contingent on a number of assumptions that are highly value-laden. When these assumptions are held fixed, the model is deemed capable of producing moderately robust results of relevance to climate policy over the longer term. Checklist responses also indicate that a number of details critical to policy choices or outcomes on this issue are not captured in the model, and model results should therefore be supplemented with alternative analyses. 相似文献
42.
Pacáková V Pockeviciute D Armalis S Stulík K Li J Veselý J 《Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM》2000,2(2):187-191
Experiments were carried out to monitor the equilibrium distribution of lead, cadmium and copper between an aqueous phase modelling natural water and a solid phase modelling natural sediment, under varying conditions. The aqueous phase was analysed using ETAAS and differential pulse anodic stripping voltammetry (DPASV), whereas XRD and FTIR were used to study the solid phase. Sorption isotherms at constant pH were measured. Conditional distribution constants were calculated as functions of the pH, the time of equilibration and the amount of solid material. The results obtained stress the need for standardization of the approaches to the study of water-sediment interactions in order to be able to evaluate and compare the extensive data from field measurements and to predict these interactions. 相似文献
43.
Sánchez López FJ Gil García MD Martínez Vidal JL Aguilera PA Garrido Frenich A 《Environmental monitoring and assessment》2004,93(1-3):17-29
Water quality assessment in the Aznalcollar area was attempted using multivariate methods based on heavy metal concentrations in red swamp crayfish (Procamburus clarkii). Trace levels of four heavy metals, copper (Cu), zinc (Zn), cadmium (Cd) and lead (Pb), were detected in crayfish from eleven different stations. Principal component analysis (PCA) highlighted a gradient of contamination between the sampling stations. Cluster analysis (CA) distinguished three groups of stations. Discriminant analysis also differentiated three groups. The group centroids of the first discriminant function were used to devise an index that varies according to the source of the crayfish. These standardized values are proposed for use as a water quality index. The ability of this index to successfully predict environmental quality was proved with random samples. 相似文献
44.
Gilberto C. Gallopín 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》1996,1(3):101-117
Through a systems approach indicators are shown to have the nature of variables, adopting different values or states, while other associated terms allude to special meanings assigned to specific values of the indicators. Practical implications are discussed. The concept of situational indicators of sustainability is introduced, representing a non-numerical function of both “pressures” or “driving forces” and “state” variables. A cost-effective multi-tiered approach to situational indicators is proposed. The concept of situational indicators is shown to be a particular case of indicators of systems behavior. A general systems formulation of the problem of sustainability highlights the importance of indicators of systems behavior and the central role of models in their definition. 相似文献
45.
Nectar acquisition in the honeybee Apis mellifera is a partitioned task in which foragers gather nectar and bring it to the hive, where nest mates unload via trophallaxis
(i.e. mouth-to-mouth transfer) the collected food for further storage. Because forager mates exploit different feeding places
simultaneously, this study addresses the question of whether nectar unloading interactions between foragers and hive-bees
are established randomly, as it is commonly assumed. Two groups of foragers were trained to exploit a different scented food
source for 5 days. We recorded their trophallaxes with hive-mates, marking the latter ones according to the forager group
they were unloading. We found non-random probabilities for the occurrence of trophallaxes between experimental foragers and
hive-bees, instead, we found that trophallactic interactions were more likely to involve groups of individuals which had formerly
interacted orally. We propose that olfactory cues present in the transferred nectar promoted the observed bias, and we discuss
this bias in the context of the organization of nectar acquisition: a partitioned task carried out in a decentralized insect
society. 相似文献
46.
47.
48.
HydrolyticdynamicsofpesticideN'-(2,4-dimethylphenyl)-N-methylformamidineinaquaticsolution¥MoHanhong;YangKewu;AnFengchun;LiuYe... 相似文献
49.
A Simulation of Temporal and Spatial Variations in Carbon at Landscape Level: A Case Study for Lake Abitibi Model Forest in Ontario,Canada 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Xiaolu Zhou Changhui Peng Qing-Lai Dang Jiaxin Chen Sue Parton 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(4):525-543
Using a case study of the Lake Abitibi Model Forest (LAMF), this study aims to assess the temporal and spatial variability
in carbon storage during 1990–2000, and to present a comprehensive estimation of the carbon budget for LAMF's ecosystems.
As well, it provided the information needed by local forest managers to develop ecological and carbon-based indicators and
monitor the sustainability of forest ecosystems. Temporal and spatial carbon dynamics were simulated at the landscape level
using ecosystem model TRIPLEX1.0 and Geographical Information System (GIS). The simulated net primary productivity (NPP) and
carbon storage in forest biomass and soil were compared with field data and results from other studies for Canada's boreal
forests. The results show that simulated NPP ranged from 3.26 to 3.34 tC ha−1 yr−1 in the 1990s and was consistent with the range measured during the Boreal Ecosystem-Atmosphere Studies (BOREAS) in central
Canada. Modeled NPP was also compared with the estimation from remote sensing data. The density of total above-and belowground
biomass was 125.3, 111.8, and 106.5 tC ha−1 for black spruce, trembling aspen, and jack pine in the LAMF ecosystem, respectively. The total carbon density of forested
land was estimated at 154.4 tC ha−1 with the proportion of 4:6 for total biomass and soil. The analysis of net carbon balance of ecosystem suggested that the
LAMF forest ecosystem was acting as a carbon sink with an allowable harvest in the 1990s. 相似文献
50.
有机阴离子可以和长碳链的季胺盐阳离子结合生成可溶于高介电常数有机溶剂的离子对.在此溶剂中,它可以和某些卤代烃发生复分解反应,生成季铵盐阳离子的卤化物及有机阴离子的相应烷基化物,故称离子对烷基化反应.此反应条件温和,转化率高,被广泛地应用于酸性及其它含活泼氢的有机化合物的烷基衍生物合成中.在这类有机物的分析中也得到应用.但尚未见应用于农药及其降解物残留分析中的报道. 2,4-D,2,4,5-T是典型的酸性有机农药,广泛用作农田除草剂.在二者的残留分析中,通常用CH_2N_2、BF_3CH_3OH、(CH_3)_2SO_4将它们烷基化,然后用气相色谱加以分析.近几年也有人用多卤素取代醇的BCl_3络合物或五氟苄基溴化物同Na_2CO_3作为 相似文献