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41.
42.
Pessimistic and Optimistic Bias in Population Viability Analysis   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
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43.
This paper describes the development of a detailed dry deposition model for routine computation of dry deposition velocities of SO2, O3, HNO3 and fine particle SO42− across much of North America. Four different dry deposition/surface exchange sub-models have been combined with the current Canadian weather forecast model (Global Environmental Multiscale model) with a 3 h time resolution and a horizontal spatial resolution of 35 km. The present model uses the US Geological Survey North American Land Cover Characteristics data to obtain fourteen different land use and five seasonal categories. The four sub-models used are a multi-layer model for gaseous species over taller canopy land-use types, a big-leaf model for gaseous species over lower canopies (including bare soil and water) and for HNO3 under all surface types and, two different models for SO42−, one for tall canopies and the other for short canopies. All necessary parameters for each sub-model, chemical species, land-use and seasonal categories have been selected from available data libraries or from the values reported in the literature. The purpose for developing this model (referred to as the Routine Deposition Model (RDM)), when coupled with air concentration data, is to provide estimates of seasonal dry deposition, which can be combined with wet deposition to produce total deposition estimates. Model theory is discussed in this paper and model sensitivity tests and results will be presented in a companion paper.  相似文献   
44.
Abstract

Twenty-four communities in North America were monitored over one year for a variety of air pollutants as part of a crosssectional epidemiological study on the respiratory health effects of exposure to fine particle acidity. The relationships between these single-year observations and the long-term community levels of ambient sulfate and acidity were examined. In the health study it was assumed that the singleyear measurements were indicative of the lifetime or long-term exposures of the participants (eight?, nine?, and ten-year-olds). Therefore, a strong relationship between the long-term and single-year (24-community) particle acidity and sulfate concentrations was important.

Ambient sulfate data from a variety of alternate sources were obtained from monitoring sites close to 20 of the 24 communities. Long-term averages, which were determined for the warm season (May to September), were derived from a minimum of four complete years of monitoring data at each site. Long-term acidity concentrations were derived from these sulfate data because multi-year measurements of acidity were not available. These concentrations were calculated by multiplying the sulfate concentrations by the mean warm season acid-to-sulfate ratios observed during the 24-community study. For each community, 25 random estimates (determined by allowing the observed mean ratio to vary randomly by ±0.2) of the mean warm season acidity were used to determine the community-to-community differences in the long-term acid concentrations.

Overall, the long-term and 24-community warm season sulfate concentrations were correlated with an R2, determined from linear regression, of 0.92 (slope = 0.90±0.13). With only two exceptions, regardless of which of these exposure estimates were used, the communities that were determined to experience high (>8 μg m?3), moderate (4-8 μg m?3) and low (<4 μg m?3) sulfate exposures did not change. Similarly, few communities crossed exposure classes when the long-term and short-term acid concentrations were compared. However, due to the increased uncertainty arising from the lack of information on the long-term acid-to-sulfate ratio, the average correlation (R2) between the long-term and 24-community exposure estimates (the mean of the 25 separate random estimates for each community) was 0.85 (slope = 0.94).  相似文献   
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The social dimensions of the mining industry are increasingly acknowledged as critical to business success, yet remain the least understood aspect of the business concept of sustainable development—the ‘triple bottom line’ of economy, environment and society.  相似文献   
49.
Book reviews     
Sustainable Industrialisation. David Wallace, 1996, London, Royal Institute of International Affairs, (Earthscan), 120 pp. ISBN 1 85383 352 5, £11.95 (pbk)

Managing Green Technologies for Global Competitiveness. Christian Ndubisi Madu, 1996, London, Quorum Books, distributed by Eurospan, ISBN 0 89930 827 9, £47.95 (hbk)

Greening People, Human Resources and Environmental Management. Walter Wehrmeyer (Ed.) 1996, Sheffield, Greenleaf Publishing, 416 pp. ISBN 1 874719 15 2, £29.50 (hbk)

The Environment for Children: understanding and acting on the environmental hazards that threaten children and their parents. David Satterthwaite, Roger Hart, Caren Levy, Diana Mitlin, David Ross, Jac Smit & Carolyn Stephens, 1996, London, Earthscan Publications, 284 pp. ISBN 1 85383 326 6, £13.95

Local Sustainability: managing and planning ecologically sound places. Paul Selman, 1996, London, Paul Chapman, x + 175pp, index. ISBN 1 85396 300 3, £14.95  相似文献   
50.
Harvesting of non-timber forest products is an integral component of rural livelihoods throughout the developing world. At times this is at odds with conservation objectives. Reconciliation of the two requires examination of local level contexts and needs. This paper reports on the harvesting needs for Ischyrolepis by a rural community in South Africa, against the setting that they had recently been prohibited from harvesting by the local conservation officials. Interviews were conducted with conservation officials to understand the reasoning for the prohibition. Local demand for Ischyrolepis was assessed by household surveys, as well as in-depth interviews with traders. The density and size class distribution of Ischyrolepis was determined using transects. The total annual demand for Ischyrolepis was determined to be approximately only 2.7% of the standing crop. The bulk of the annual demand was for small-scale trade, the income from which was a primary source of income for the few harvesters. Very little evidence could be found indicating that harvesting was damaging the resource or its habitat, and local knowledge suggested that the abundance of the species was stimulated by harvesting. Even if market demand were to increase, the size of the shoots required means that less than 20% of the standing crop could be harvested annually. Current regulations around harvesting are in a state of revision, and hence confusion prevails regarding if harvesting is permissible, and if so, under what conditions, which is detrimental to both conservation and livelihoods. Readers should send their comments on this paper to: BhaskarNath@aol.com within 3 months of publication of this issue.  相似文献   
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