Can Large-Scale Climatic Models Be Linked with Multiscale Ecological Studies?*

On a global scale climatic changes driven by human activities are typically projected to increase from 1° C to 5° C per 100 years a rate of change that is an order of magnitude greater than that typically experienced naturally. Such a potentially dramatic change in climate could easily cause dramatic biological responses including extinction. Species show a wide range of responses to climate and consequently the response of different species of plants and animals to climatic change will be quite variable. This implies a likelihood for a disassembling of natural communities and for transient, nonequivalent restructuring of habitats as climatic change unfolds. Validated models that help forecast these events are needed to aid scientists in better understanding the ecological ramifications of global climatic change. Also, and perhaps more important for conservation biology, such validated models can help provide probabilities for the occurrence of these events, which will allow policy makers to make better, informed decisions. Typically, the study plots of most ecological field work are telecommunications, while the smallest resolved scales in global climatic models are about 500 × 500 km. Computer limitations preclude significant reduction in scales of climatic models. Consequently, more multi-species ecological studies are needed over broad geographic and long temporal scales. We provide an example of large-scale ecological response studies, namely the case of wintering North American birds. We also provide an example of attempts to translate results of large-scale climatic models (at a 500 × 500 km scale) to a mesoscale (50 × 50 km). Participation of climatologists with ecologists at early stages in research planning can help bridge the scale mismatch between climatic and ecological measurement, and provide more reliable estimates of community responses to century-long, time-evolving patterns of climatic change. We are convinced that many more such interdisciplinary research attempts are urgently needed if the scientific community is to produce information useful to the development of conservation strategies. Such strategies might help to mitigate potential negative consequences of global climatic changes before they manifest themselves irreversibly in nature.     

Influence of ozone and acid mist on the contents of gibberellic acid (GA(3)) in spruce needles (Picea abies) (L.) Karst

The phytohormone GA(3) in needles from 4-year-old Norway spruce trees was analyzed after treatment with ozone and acid mist in environmental chambers under controlled conditions. GA(3) was extracted with methanol from the lyophilized material. Subsequent purification steps included the use of polyvinylpyrollidone (PVP), cartridge reversed-phase purification, ethylacetate extraction and HPLC. The GA(3) was determined in the methylated form by means of a highly specific and sensitive enzyme immunoassay. Higher GA(3) contents were detected in young needles (year 1987) as compared to older ones (year 1986). However, no statistically significant differences were found in the GA(3) levels between the controls and the needles of trees which were treated with increased levels of ozone and acidic mist.     

An enormous Jurassic turtle bone bed from the Turpan Basin of Xinjiang, China

A spectacular new terrestrial Konzentratlagerst?tte is introduced from the Turpan Basin of Xinjiang, China that probably belongs to the late Middle Jurassic Qigu Formation. It contains a mass accumulation of “xinjiangchelyid” turtles preliminarily identified as Annemys sp. In the zone with the highest turtle concentration, complete and articulated turtle skeletons are tightly packed at a density of up to 36 turtles per square meter. The fossiliferous layer is thickened here and shows an erosional base. This high concentration zone outcrops approximately 10?m in length and shows no decrease in turtle density after exposing 2?m of the layer into the hillside. Adjacent is a more expansive zone of at least 10?m by 30?m. In this region, the fossiliferous layer is evenly thick, and approximately five, fully disarticulated turtles are present per square meter. A conservatively estimated 1,800 turtles may, therefore, have been deposited at this site. It is likely that these aquatic turtles gathered in a retreating water hole in a riverine environment during a drought, much as some aquatic turtles will do today, but perished when the habitat dried up completely. A following catastrophic rainfall event caused a debris flow, possibly channelized in a dry river bed, which transported complete turtles, disarticulated turtles, and mudstone clasts and deposited them after a short distance. This taphonomic model is consistent with previous environmental reconstructions of the Turpan Basin during the late Middle Jurassic in predicting the episodic breakdown of regional monsoonal circulation resulting in a seasonally dry climate with severe episodic droughts.     

Integrating Land Market Feedbacks into Conservation Planning—A Mathematical Programming Approach

Nature reserves are often designated ad hoc. Despite increasing conservation efforts, loss of biodiversity is still accelerating. Considering land scarcity and demand for alternative uses, efficiency in conservation strongly correlates with efficiency in land allocation. Systematic conservation planning can effectively prioritize conservation activities. Previous studies minimize opportunity costs for given conservation targets. However, these studies assume constant marginal costs of habitat protection. We extend this cost minimization approach by also considering a dynamic representation of marginal costs. The more land is allocated to nature reserves, the higher are opportunity costs, i.e., costs of forgone agricultural production. This increase in costs results from changes in the prices of agricultural commodities. We employ a deterministic, spatially explicit mathematical optimization model to allocate species habitats by minimizing opportunity costs for setting aside land for conservation purposes. The model is designed as a mixed integer programming problem and solved with GAMS/CPLEX. Our results show the need for integrating land market feedbacks into conservation planning. We find that ignoring land rent adjustments can lead to highly cost-ineffective solutions in reserve selection.     

250-year records of mercury and trace element deposition in two lakes from Cajas National Park,SW Ecuadorian Andes

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Historical records of trace elements in lake sediments provide source-to-sink information about potentially toxic pollutants across space and time. We...     

Temporal evolution of redox processes and free Cd dynamics in a metal-contaminated soil after rewetting

Soil testing procedures to address metals bioavailability currently use air-dried soil rewetted almost until saturation. Such practices may influence the redox state of soil and the related dynamics of metals. To assess this potential impact, a metal-contaminated soil was air-dried and rewetted to 90% water holding capacity. We monitored over a 21-day incubation period the temporal changes of soil redox potential and solution Cd concentration (either total or free). Other physico-chemical parameters were followed notably pH, ionic strength (I) and the concentrations of NO(3)(-), Mn, Fe and SO(4)(2-) in solution. Soil redox potential showed the progressive establishment of strong reducing conditions in soil, in agreement with the temporal changes of NO(3)(-), Mn, Fe and SO(4)(2-) concentrations. It decreased by 13 pe units over the culture period leading to sulphate-reducing conditions (pe<-3) within only 21days. Solution Cd concentration increased transitorily over the first 100-150h of incubation (2-fold increase) in relation with the parallel increase in the concentration of competing cations for adsorption (Ca, Mg). It steeply decreased over the last 300h of incubation (30-fold decrease) as a result of Cd precipitation as Cd sulphides. This biphasic evolution of Cd dynamics was related to the temporal changes of Cd resupply from the solid phase. Using the technique of DGT we described the kinetics of Cd resupply over time and needed to invoke the existence of two pools of Cd.