Comparison of six correlative models in predictive vegetation mapping on a local scale

A variety of statistical techniques has been used in predictive vegetation modelling (PVM) that attempt to predict occurrence of a given community or species in respect to environmental conditions. We compared the performance of three profile models, BIOCLIM, GARP and MAXENT with three nonparametric models of group discrimination techniques, MARS, NPMR and LRT. The two latter models are relatively new statistical techniques that have just entered the field of PVM. We ran all models on a local scale for a given grassland community (Teucrio-Seslerietum) using the same input data to examine their performance. Model accuracy was evaluated both by Cohen’s kappa statistics (κ) and by area under receiver operating characteristics curve based both on resubstitution of training data and on an independent test data set. MAXENT of profile models and MARS of group discrimination techniques achieved the best prediction.     

Die Rolle der Axiomatik in der Physik,erläutert am Beispiel der Thermodynamik

The Science of Nature -     

A new approach to investigate the interactions between sediment transport and ecotoxicological processes during flood events

Purpose

The 'step-by step' principle was introduced into the European Union legislation on genetically modified organisms as a means to cope with uncertainty about environmental risks from the release of genetically modified organisms into the environment. The approval process is orientated along the stepwise reduction of containment which reflects a precautionary approach towards the risks of genetically modified organism release. Thus, the gradual reduction of containment should keep pace with the gradual generation of risk-related knowledge. This paper strives to clarify the meaning, legal status and practical importance of the principle. It also looks at whether non-European Union countries have adopted the principle as well, and how they practice it.

Methods

The article is based on research of the relevant legal texts, court cases and legal literature. In addition, a number of dossiers of applications for the European Union authorisation of release and placing on the market of genetically modified seed were analysed.

Results and conclusions

Although 'step-by-step' is not a precise legal rule it does have legal meaning as a principle guiding the risk assessment and management of genetically modified organism introduction into the environment. Assuming a process of gradual reduction of containment and scaling up of release ranging from closed systems via experimental release to cultivation the 'step-by-step principle' requires that the knowledge on environmental risks of genetically modified organisms should be generated on stages previous to the ones where the risk can result in damage. The analysis of the legislation of China, the United States of America and Brazil showed a differentiated approach towards the step-by-step principle.