Estimation of abundance from presence–absence maps using cluster models

A presence–absence map consists of indicators of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a given species in each cell over a grid, without counting the number of individuals in a cell once it is known it is occupied. They are commonly used to estimate the distribution of a species, but our interest is in using these data to estimate the abundance of the species. In practice, certain types of species (in particular flora types) may be spatially clustered. For example, some plant communities will naturally group together according to similar environmental characteristics within a given area. To estimate abundance, we develop an approach based on clustered negative binomial models with unknown cluster sizes. Our approach uses working clusters of cells to construct an estimator which we show is consistent. We also introduce a new concept called super-clustering used to estimate components of the standard errors and interval estimators. A simulation study is conducted to examine the performance of the estimators and they are applied to real data.     

Sensitivity analysis on the ecological bias for Seoul tuberculosis data

In ecological studies, researchers often try to convey the analysis results to individual level based on aggregate data. In order to do this correctly, the possibility of ecological bias should be studied and addressed. One of the key ideas used to address the ecological bias issue is to derive the ecological model from the individual model and to check whether the parameter of interest in the individual model is identifiable in the ecological model. However, the procedure depends on unverifiable assumptions, and we recommend checking how sensitive the results are to these unverifiable assumptions. We analyzed the tuberculosis data that was collected in Seoul in 2005 using a spatial ecological regression model for the aggregate count data with spatial correlation, and found that the deprivation index is likely to have a small positive effect on the occurrence risk of tuberculosis in individual level in Seoul. We considered this finding in various aspects by performing in depth sensitivity analyses. In particular, our findings are shown to be robust to the distribution assumptions for the individual exposure and missing binary covariate across various scenarios.     

Effects of SO<Subscript>2</Subscript> contamination on rising CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> drops under high pressure

Although the flow dynamics of pure liquid drops in other liquids has been well researched, little attention has been paid to the impacts of impurities. Hence, most of research is not directly applicable to the real world. To address this gap, we conducted numerical experiments simulating the rise of pure and contaminated drops. It was selected to study liquid CO₂ drops contaminated with SO₂ under high pressure because such mixtures mimic potential scenarios in which drops may leak from carbon capture and storage (CCS) facilities or pipelines. First, numerical simulation experiments were performed to validate our method by comparing our results with previous research on pure drops. Second, the validated numerical approach was applied to simulations of contaminated drops to investigate how contaminants affect rising drops. The results show that the SO₂ contamination caused changes in deformation, breakup phenomena, rising velocities, surrounding flow fields and drag coefficients. Most importantly, the contamination resulted in the formation of smaller “child drops”; such breakup is not observed in pure CO₂ drops. The formation of child drops in turn affects the streamlines, patterns and areas of wakes behind the contaminated drops. The addition of contaminants also enhances the dissolution rate, which is affected by the contaminant concentration and by the flow dynamics of the rising drop. Our results would improve understanding the rise of impure CO₂ drops, such as drops potentially leaked by future CCS operations.     

Modelling the long-term consequences of a hypothetical dispersal of radioactivity in an urban area including remediation alternatives

The Urban Remediation Working Group of the International Atomic Energy Agency's EMRAS (Environmental Modelling for Radiation Safety) program was organized to address issues of remediation assessment modelling for urban areas contaminated with dispersed radionuclides. The present paper describes the second of two modelling exercises. This exercise was based on a hypothetical dispersal of radioactivity in an urban area from a radiological dispersal device, with reference surface contamination at selected sites used as the primary input information. Modelling endpoints for the exercise included radionuclide concentrations and external dose rates at specified locations, contributions to the dose rates from individual surfaces, and annual and cumulative external doses to specified reference individuals. Model predictions were performed for a “no action” situation (with no remedial measures) and for selected countermeasures. The exercise provided an opportunity for comparison of three modelling approaches, as well as a comparison of the predicted effectiveness of various countermeasures in terms of their short-term and long-term effects on predicted doses to humans.     

Morphological and chemical composition characteristics of summertime atmospheric particles collected at Tokchok Island,Korea

Determination of the chemical compositions of atmospheric single particles in the Yellow Sea region is critical for evaluating the environmental impact caused by air pollutants emitted from mainland China and the Korean peninsula. After ambient aerosol particles were collected by the Dekati PM10 cascade impactor on July 17–23, 2007 at Tokchok Island (approximately 50 km west of the Korean coast nearby Seoul), Korea, overall 2000 particles (on stage 2 and 3 with cut-off diameters of 2.5–10 μm and 1.0–2.5 μm, respectively) in 10 samples were determined by using low-Z particle electron probe X-ray microanalysis. X-ray spectral and secondary electron image (SEI) data showed that soil-derived and sea-salt particles which had reacted or were mixed with SO₂ and NO_x (or their acidic products) outnumbered the primary and “genuine” ones (59.2% vs. 19.2% in the stage 2 fraction and 41.3% vs. 9.9% in the stage 3 fraction). Moreover, particles containing nitrate in the secondary soil-derived species greatly outnumbered those containing sulfate. Organic particles, mainly consisting of marine biogenic species, were more abundant in the stage 2 fraction than in the stage 3 fraction (11.6% vs. 5.1%). Their relative abundance was greater than the sum of carbon-rich, K-containing, Fe-containing, and fly ash particles, which exhibited low frequencies in all the samples. In addition, many droplets rich in C, N, O, and S were observed. They tended to be small, exhibiting a dark round shape on SEI, and generally included 8–20 at.% C, 0–12 at.% N, 60–80 at.% O, and 4–10 at.% S (sometimes with <3 at.% Mg and Na). They were attributed to be a mixture of carbonaceous matter, H₂SO₄, and NH₄HSO₄/(NH₄)₂SO₄, mostly from the reaction of atmospheric SO₂ with NH₃ under high relative humidity. The analysis of the relationship between the aerosol particle compositions and 72-h backward air-mass trajectories suggests that ambient aerosols at Tokchok Island are strongly affected not only by seawater from the Yellow Sea but also by anthropogenic pollutants emitted from China and the Seoul–Incheon metropolis, resulting in the dominance of complex secondary aerosol particles.     

地下水铀污染的原位微生物还原与固定:在美国能源部田纳西橡树岭放射物污染现场的试验

总结了美国斯坦福大学和橡树岭国家实验室等在美国能源部田纳西州橡树岭综合试验基地进行的铀污染原位微生物修复阶段性试验结果.本试验利用微生物以乙醇为电子供体还原地下水和沉积物中的六价铀为不溶解的四价铀,使之原位固定化.随后通过加入溶解氧和硝酸盐来试验微生物还原后的地下水层中还原固定态铀的稳定性.通过预处理和长期间隔注入乙醇...     

Characterization of products obtained from pyrolysis and steam gasification of wood waste,RDF, and RPF

Pyrolysis and steam gasification of woody biomass chip (WBC) obtained from construction and demolition wastes, refuse-derived fuel (RDF), and refuse paper and plastic fuel (RPF) were performed at various temperatures using a lab-scale instrument. The gas, liquid, and solid products were examined to determine their generation amounts, properties, and the carbon balance between raw material and products.The amount of product gas and its hydrogen concentration showed a considerable difference depending on pyrolysis and steam gasification at higher temperature. The reaction of steam and solid product, char, contributed to an increase in gas amount and hydrogen concentration. The amount of liquid products generated greatly depended on temperature rather than pyrolysis or steam gasification. The compositions of liquid product varied relying on raw materials used at 500 °C but the polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons became the major compounds at 900 °C irrespective of the raw materials used. Almost fixed carbon (FC) of raw materials remained as solid products under pyrolysis condition whereas FC started to decompose at 700 °C under steam gasification condition.For WBC, both char utilization by pyrolysis at low temperature (500 °C) and syngas recovery by steam gasification at higher temperature (900 °C) might be practical options. From the results of carbon balance of RDF and RPF, it was confirmed that the carbon conversion to liquid products conspicuously increased as the amount of plastic increased in the raw material. To recover feedstock from RPF, pyrolysis for oil recovery at low temperature (500 °C) might be one of viable options. Steam gasification at 900 °C could be an option but the method of tar reforming (e.g. catalyst utilization) should be considered.     

Vibrio alginolyticus,a tetrodotoxin-producing bacterium,in the intestines of the fish Fugu vermicularis vermicularis

The influence of nutrient deprivation on cell-cycle progression was examined in two phytoplankton species, the diatom Thalassiosira weissflogii (actin) and the coccolithophorid Hymenomonas carterae (cocco II). The diatom was starved for nitrogen, silicon or both, whereas only nitrogen limitation was examined in H. carterae. In both species, nitrogen-starved cells were arrested in the early part of the cell cycle (G₁ phase). In the diatom, silicon-starvation arrested cells in late G₁ phase and also in the last part of the cell cycle (G₂+M). In all cases, cell-cycle arrest could be reversed by addition of fresh medium, but cell-cycling times during the first generation were increased in comparison to those in nutrient replete, steady-state growth conditions. These results supply evidence for simultaneous dual-nutrient limitation of population growth and provide a mechanistic interpretation for the division patterns observed in cultures where nutrients are supplied periodically.     

Effects of arsenic on osmoregulation in the tilapia Oreochromis mossambicus reared in seawater

The effects of arsenic (As₂O₃) on plasma osmolarity, Na and K concentrations, the activity of gill Na–K-ATPase, and on the ultrastructure of gill chloride cells were compared between seawater tilapia (Oreochromis mossambicus) and freshwater tilapia in the Institute of Zoology, Academia Sinica, between 1989 and 1991. Arsenic was found to be more lethal in seawater tilapia [96 h LC₅₀ (median lethal concentration): 26.5 ppm] than in freshwater ones (71.7 ppm). No significant effect was found on plasma ion concentrations and osmolarity, enzyme activity or the ultrastructure of chloride cells in freshwater tilapia after 96 h exposure to 70 ppm arsenic. In contrast, 96 h exposure to 15 ppm arsenic caused evident effects in seawater tilapia: an increase in plasma osmolarity and activity of gill Na–K-ATPase, as well as better development of the chloride cell tubular system. These data suggest that the lethal effect of arsenic may be partially attributed to a hydromineral disturbance in seawater tilapia, but in freshwater tilapia arsenic perhaps causes destruction in some physiological mechanisms other than osmoregulation. The activation of gill Na–K-ATPase and chloride cells in seawater tilapia appears to indicate an adaptation in the osmoregulatory mechanism to arsenic exposure, i.e., to enhance secreting ions or arsenic in the gills.