Conceptual study on incorporating user information into forecasting systems

The purpose of improving weather forecast is to enhance the accuracy in weather prediction. An ideal forecasting system would incorporate user-end information. In recent years, the meteorological community has begun to realize that while general improvements to the physical characteristics of weather forecasting systems are becoming asymptotically limited, the improvement from the user end still has potential. The weather forecasting system should include user interaction because user needs may change with different weather. A study was conducted on the conceptual forecasting system that included a dynamic, user-oriented interactive component. This research took advantage of the recently implemented TIGGE (THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble) project in China, a case study that was conducted to test the new forecasting system with reservoir managers in Linyi City, Shandong Province, a region rich in rivers and reservoirs in eastern China. A self-improving forecast system was developed involving user feedback throughout a flood season, changing thresholds for flood-inducing rainfall that were responsive to previous weather and hydrological conditions, and dynamic user-oriented assessments of the skill and uncertainty inherent in weather prediction. This paper discusses ideas for developing interactive, user-oriented forecast systems.     

夏季学生宿舍室内降尘中PAEs污染特征和暴露评价

利用CH2Cl2和超声对35个南开大学学生宿舍室内降尘样品中的DMP、DEP、DBP、BBP、DEHP 和DOP等6种PAES进行提取分离,采用GC-MS定量分析,研究了PAEs污染变化特征及暴露风险.结果表明,南开大学学生宿舍室内降尘中PAEs污染以DEHP和DBP为主,中位值浓度分别为126.916μg/g和123.591μg/g,两者之和占Σ6PAEs浓度的99%以上,室内降尘中PAEs污染程度和类型与室内含增塑剂产品的数量、室内清洁通风情况及成员性别有关;经口暴露水平大于皮肤,其中DBP、DEHP的暴露量高于美国,占人体总PAEs摄入量比例较高,故学生宿舍降尘中PAEs暴露应给予重视.     

液体旋流分离器压力损失的研究

液体旋流分离器是水环境污染治理的主要设备之一。压力损失是衡量液体旋流分离器分离过程能耗大小的重要技术指标,也是选择水泵扬程的依据。当前液体旋流分离器设计过程还缺少具体量化的理论依据。通过液体旋流分离器的性能实验,得出液体旋流分离器各部结构尺寸、形状、相对比例对压力损失的不同影响程度,提出结构参数的最佳取值范围。为液体旋流分离器的设计提供了依据及应遵循的原则。并在实验结果的基础上,归纳汇总出一般常用型液体旋流分离器压力损失的计算公式,该计算公式具有一般性。     

Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in soils around Guanting Reservoir,Beijing, China

The concentrations of 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (∑ 16PAHs) were measured by gas chromatography equipped with a mass spectrometry detector (GC-MS) in 56 topsoil samples around Guanting Reservior (GTR), which is an important water source for Beijing. Low to medium levels of PAH contamination (mean=394.2±580.7 ng g^?1 dry weight (d.w.)) was evident throughout the region. In addition, localised areas of high PAH contamination near steel and cement factories were identified, with ∑ 16PAHs concentrations as high as 4110 ng/g, dry weight (d.w.). There was a significant positive correlation (r²=0.570, p<0.01) between total organic carbon content and ∑ 16PAHs concentrations. Phenanthrene was the predominant compound, accounting for 27.2% of the ∑ PAH concentration, followed by chrysene>pyrene>benzo[a]anthracene≈ benzo[b]fluoranthene≈ benzo[a]pyrene. Four-ring PAH homologues (39%) were dominant. The higher proportion of 4–6 ring homologues, molecular indices, and the spatial distribution of PAH indicated that industrial discharges, incineration of wastes and traffic discharges were the major sources of soil PAHs around the water reservoir.     

自然灾害对我国农业的影响研究

通过对2000-2008年自然灾害发生面积与我国农业发展过程中的各项指标进行了对比分析和回归分析,得出了自然灾害对我国农业发展影响较为显著,并具体指出了旱灾、水灾等自然灾害对我国农业发展的影响.自然灾害通过影响农业单产、农业有效利用面积及农业总产值来影响农业,不同种类自然灾害的发生面积都处于不断波动之中,并呈现逐步提升之势,具有一定的区域性.最后指出了通过增强农业本身抵御自然灾害的能力和更好的预测农业自然灾害等,为各级政府制定抗灾减灾对策提供依据.     

工频电磁场对公众健康及风险感受影响调查

为调查工频电磁场对附近居民健康及风险感受的影响,对16条已投运110~500kV输电线两侧居民(n=615)开展问卷调查,根据输电线运行参数计算工频电磁场相对曝露强度,分析了工频电磁场对距线路中心50m内、外受调查者产生的健康影响差异,以及不同工频电磁场曝露强度、电压等级、塔型附近受调查者风险感受和负面情绪的均值差异,并通过多元线性逐步回归分析分别建立了工频电磁场公众风险感受、负面情绪与影响因素之间的最优回归模型.结果表明,工频电磁场对50m内和50m外受调查者产生健康影响的相对风险值为0.87;在本次调查的工频电磁场范围内(E<0.35kV/m,B<0.80 μT),公众风险感受和负面情绪受工频电磁场曝露强度影响很小,受输电线架线塔外观大小、塔型、既有身体状况等因素影响显著.     

厌氧发酵污泥燃料电池处理含铬废水的效能及机理

以厌氧发酵污泥为阳极底物、Cr(VI)为阴极电子受体构建双室微生物燃料电池(MFC),考察厌氧发酵污泥MFC系统处理含铬废水的性能及机理,并与原污泥MFC系统进行比较.发酵污泥MFC系统的开路电压为1.05V,最大功率密度为5722mW/m3,比原污泥MFC系统提高了57.8%.发酵污泥MFC系统的表观内阻为119.1Ω,比原污泥MFC系统降低了8.5%.发酵污泥MFC系统对Cr(VI)的去除符合一级动力学模型,速率常数为0.0514h-1,比原污泥MFC系统提高了36.7%.污泥经厌氧发酵后可溶性有机物浓度增加,产生了大量短链脂肪酸,它们是产电微生物易于摄取的阳极底物,因而提高了MFC系统的产电性能及Cr(VI)去除效果.     

溜井泡沫抑尘剂的研制及其抑尘性能实验研究

矿山溜井卸矿过程中产生的大量冲击性粉尘已成为矿井可呼吸性粉尘的主要来源,为了有效解决溜矿井卸矿时产生的大量冲击性粉尘,基于泡沫抑尘的机理,研究了发泡倍数和半衰期两个指标进行优选实验,通过正交法和单因素法优选出最佳的泡沫抑尘配方为十二烷基硫酸钠、月桂酸钠和聚丙乙酰胺,各成分的质量浓度分别为0.6%、0.8%与0.4%。结果表明,通过模拟溜井卸矿测得不同泡沫高度的抑尘效率在85%~95%之间,呼吸性粉尘的抑尘效率为87%左右,其时效性可达2h以上。     

生态水利研究的理论基础与重点领域

生态水利是近些年来涌现出的新兴学科研究领域.论文结合国内外相关研究进展和国家重大需求,总结了生态水利的概念内涵和学科发展特点,从系统理论、二元结构和安全边界角度阐释了生态水利研究的理论基础.在此基础上,进一步从水与生态系统的相互作用、水利工程的长期生态效应、河湖连通与湿地水系网络构建、受损生态系统的恢复、生态需水与生态...     

Estimation of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient using a two-zone model in a channel partially covered with artificial emergent vegetation

Environmental Fluid Mechanics - Understanding scalar transport in solvents is important in chemical engineering, pollution control, and water remediation, where the longitudinal dispersion...