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Mart-Jan Schelhaas Geerten Hengeveld Marco Moriondo Gert Jan Reinds Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Herbert ter Maat Marco Bindi 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2010,15(7):681-701
Risks can generally be described as the combination of hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Using this framework, we evaluated
the historical and future development of risk of fire and wind damage in European forestry at the national level. Fire risk
is expected to increase, mainly as a consequence of an increase in fire hazard, defined as the Fire Weather Index in summer.
Exposure, defined as forest area, is expected to increase slightly as a consequence of active afforestation and abandonment
of marginal agricultural areas. Adaptation options to fire risk should therefore aim to decrease the vulnerability, where
a change in tree species from conifers to broadleaves had most effect. Risk for wind damage in forests is expected to increase
mainly as a consequence of increase in exposure (total growing stock) and vulnerability (defined by age class and tree species
distribution). Projections of future wind climate indicate an increase in hazard (storminess) mainly over Western Europe.
Adaptation options should aim to limit the increase in exposure and vulnerability. Only an increase in harvest level can stop
the current build-up of growing stock, while at the same time it will lower vulnerability through the reduction of the share
of old and vulnerable stands. Changing species from conifers to broadleaves helps to reduce vulnerability as well. Lowering
vulnerability by decreasing the rotation length is only effective in combination with a high demand for wood. Due to data
limitations, no forecast of future fire area or damaged timber amount by storms was possible. 相似文献
45.
Ozone measurements along vertical transects in the Alps 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Herbert Werner Manfred Kirchner Gerhard Welzl Markus Hangartner 《Environmental science and pollution research international》1999,6(2):83-87
To investigate the vertical profiles of air pollutants in the boundary layer, aircraft and balloon-born measurements and measurements
using a cable car as an instrument platform have been performed in different parts of the Alps. This on-line monitoring of
atmospheric pollutants requires expensive and sophisticated techniques. In order to control ambient air quality in remote
regions, where no infrastructure like power supply is available, simple instruments are required. The objective of this study,
which was coordinated and evaluated by the GSF-Forschungszentrum für Umwelt und Gesundheit was first, to investigate the vertical
distribution of ozone in different parts of the Alps and secondly, in addition to continuous analyser measurements, to test
monitoring by means of two types of passive samplers. The selection of these samplers — one for one week use and another one
for two week application — was based on a passive sampler intercomparison done in a preliminary study one year earlier. 相似文献
46.
Neill A. Herbert Jon E. Skjæraasen Trygve Nilsen Anne G. V. Salvanes John F. Steffensen 《Marine Biology》2011,158(4):737-746
The frequency of low O2 (hypoxia) has increased in coastal marine areas but how fish avoid deleterious water masses is not yet clear. To assess whether
the presence and oxygen pressure (PO2) level of an O2 refuge affects the hypoxia avoidance behaviour of fish, individual Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua L.) were exposed to a range of O2 choices in a 2-way choice chamber at 11.4°C over two different experiments. Cod in the first experiment were allowed access
to a fixed O2 refuge (fully air-saturated seawater) whilst oxygen pressure (PO2) on the other side was reduced in steps to a critically low level, i.e. 4.3 kPa—a point where cod can no longer regulate
O2 consumption. Under these conditions, cod did not avoid any level of hypoxia and fish swimming speed also remained unchanged.
In contrast, strong avoidance reactions were exhibited in a second experiment when fish were again exposed to 4.3 kPa but
the safety, i.e. PO2, of the refuge was reduced. Fish not only spent less time at 4.3 kPa as a result of fewer sampling visits but they also swam
at considerably slower speeds. The presence of an avoidance response was thus strongly related to refuge PO2 and it is unlikely that cod, and possibly other fish species, would enter low O2 to feed in the wild if a sufficiently safe O2 refuge was not available. It is therefore hypothesized that the feeding range of fish may be heavily compressed if hypoxia
expands and intensifies in future years. 相似文献
47.
Atlantic herring, Clupea harengus, increase their swimming speed during low O2 (hypoxia) and it has been hypothesised that the behavioural response is modulated by the degree of “respiratory distress” (i.e. a rise in anaerobic metabolism and severe physiological stress). To test directly whether a deviation in physiological homeostasis is associated with any change in behavioural activity, we exposed C. harengus in a school to a progressive stepwise decline in water oxygen pressure
and measured fish swimming speed and valid indicators of primary and secondary stress (i.e. blood cortisol, lactate, glucose and osmolality). Herring in hypoxia increased their swimming speed by 11–39% but only when
was <8.5 kPa and in an unsteady (i.e. declining) state. In parallel with the shift in behaviour, plasma cortisol also exhibited an increase with
plasma osmolality was subject to a transient rise at 8.5 kPa and plasma glucose was generally reduced at
However, without any rise in anaerobically derived lactate levels, there was no evidence of respiratory distress at any set
We show that a shift in physiological homeostasis is indeed linked with an increase in the swimming speed of herring but the physiological response reflects a hypoxia-induced shift in metabolic fuel-use rather than respiratory distress per se. The significance of this behavioural–physiological reaction is discussed in terms of behavioural-energetic trade-offs, schooling dynamics and the hypoxia tolerance of herring. 相似文献
48.
Minimizing opportunity costs to aquatic connectivity restoration while controlling an invasive species 下载免费PDF全文
Austin W. Milt Matthew W. Diebel Patrick J. Doran Michael C. Ferris Matthew Herbert Mary L. Khoury Allison T. Moody Thomas M. Neeson Jared Ross Ted Treska Jesse R. O'Hanley Lisa Walter Steven R. Wangen Eugene Yacobson Peter B. McIntyre 《Conservation biology》2018,32(4):894-904
Controlling invasive species is critical for conservation but can have unintended consequences for native species and divert resources away from other efforts. This dilemma occurs on a grand scale in the North American Great Lakes, where dams and culverts block tributary access to habitat of desirable fish species and are a lynchpin of long‐standing efforts to limit ecological damage inflicted by the invasive, parasitic sea lamprey (Petromyzon marinus). Habitat restoration and sea‐lamprey control create conflicting goals for managing aging infrastructure. We used optimization to minimize opportunity costs of habitat gains for 37 desirable migratory fishes that arose from restricting sea lamprey access (0–25% increase) when selecting barriers for removal under a limited budget (US$1–105 million). Imposing limits on sea lamprey habitat reduced gains in tributary access for desirable species by 15–50% relative to an unconstrained scenario. Additional investment to offset the effect of limiting sea‐lamprey access resulted in high opportunity costs for 30 of 37 species (e.g., an additional US$20–80 million for lake sturgeon [Acipenser fulvescens]) and often required ≥5% increase in sea‐lamprey access to identify barrier‐removal solutions adhering to the budget and limiting access. Narrowly distributed species exhibited the highest opportunity costs but benefited more at less cost when small increases in sea‐lamprey access were allowed. Our results illustrate the value of optimization in limiting opportunity costs when balancing invasion control against restoration benefits for diverse desirable species. Such trade‐off analyses are essential to the restoration of connectivity within fragmented rivers without unleashing invaders. 相似文献
49.
Kriech AJ Osborn LV Wissel HL Kurek JT Sweeney BJ Peregrine CJ 《Journal of environmental monitoring : JEM》2004,6(10):827-833
Exposure to asphalt fumes has a threshold limit value (TLV of 0.5 mg m(-3) (benzene extractable inhalable particulate) as recommended by the American Conference of Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH). This reflects a recent change (2000) whereby two variables are different from the previous recommendation. First is a 10-fold reduction in quantity from 5 mg m(-3) to 0.5 mg m(-3). Secondly, the new TLV specifies the "inhalable" fraction as compared to what is presumed to be total particulate. To assess the impact of these changes, this study compares the differences between measurements of paving asphalt fume exposure in the field using an "inhalable" instrument versus the historically used 'total' sampler. Particle size is also examined to assist in the understanding of the aerodynamic collection differences as related to asphalt fumes and confounders. Results show that when exposures are limited to asphalt fumes, a 1:1 relationship exists between samplers, showing no statistically significant differences in benzene soluble matter (BSM). This means that for the asphalt fume ACGIH TLV, the 'total' 37-mm sampler is an equivalent method to the "inhalable" method, referred to as IOM (Institute of Occupational Medicine), and should be acceptable for use against the TLV. However, the study found that when confounders (dust or old asphalt millings) are present in the workplace, there can be significant differences between the two samplers' reported exposure. The ratio of IOM/Total was 1.37 for milling asphalt sites, 1.41 for asphalt paving over granular base, and 1.02 for asphalt over asphalt pavements. 相似文献
50.