风险管理标准化述评

针对近年来三个重要的风险管理国际标准化文件:Guide 73:2002,澳大利亚的风险管理标准AS/NZS 4360:2004和ISO/CD 31000,以及国际减灾理事会的白皮书,评述了国际标准化文件在风险管理过程环节的基本条款和管理框架.Guide 73指引了风险管理领域最基础的术语,对全球的风险管理制定出通用的语言.它强调对于安全领域,风险管理把焦点放在危害的预防和减轻;AS/NZS 4360明确地确定了相关风险管理的定义,解释了风险管理的程序,重点强调要控制风险产生的后果;ISO/CD 31000聚合了大约26个国家的知识和经验,关注组织建立风险管理流程和不断地进行审评的重要性;IRGC强调群体感知是风险管理的前提,只有当群体认知到可能存在风险时,才会有利于用自己的判断经验去进行风险识别、划分和评价风险,进行风险评估.最后述评了中国风险管理标准化的工作以及在国际风险管理标准化中的贡献.     

美国公共管理面面观——在伊利诺伊州芝加哥市感受美国

美国政府的公共管理是建立在美国特有的政治制度和经济体制的基础上的。 美国的政府体系是由联邦、州和地方政府三个层级组成的联邦制政府体系,它们分别具有各自独立的政府权威和管辖领域．实行多中心治理和法定分权体制。联邦政府由立法机构、行政机构和司法机构三个分支组成,实行三权分立的政治体制。     

利用中巴地球资源卫星数据反演武汉市湖泊营养状态指数

以武汉市主要湖泊为例,研究了利用中巴地球资源卫星（CBERS2）数据反演水体营养状态指数（TLI）。研究旨在评估利用中巴地球资源卫星数据来估算内陆水体富营养化程度的可能性。首先利用地面水质监测数据计算武汉市某些湖泊监测点的“真实的”营养状态指数（包括综合营养状态指数和修正的Carlson营养状态指数）,同时,在事先经过辐射校正和几何校正的CBERS2图像上,以9×9像元为采样窗口,提取各个对应地点的灰度值均值（从波段1至波段4）;然后,采用多元逐步回归分析,以各波段灰度值均值为自变量,建立营养状态指数经验遥感反演模型;最后,利用模型对整个湖泊水体的营养化状态指数进行反演,并绘制了其空间分布图。 结果显示,营养状态指数的自然对数值与CBERS2图像各波段灰度值之间存在较好相关关系,回归系数平方值(R²)为0.51。利用反演模型反演得到的湖区水质分布与实际情况基本相符。由于CBERS2图像数据可以从我国许多数据分发中心免费获取,这为低成本的水质遥感监测提供了一条途径。     

Incorporating layer- and local-scale heterogeneities in numerical simulation of unsaturated flow and tracer transport

This study characterizes layer- and local-scale heterogeneities in hydraulic parameters (i.e., matrix permeability and porosity) and investigates the relative effect of layer- and local-scale heterogeneities on the uncertainty assessment of unsaturated flow and tracer transport in the unsaturated zone of Yucca Mountain, USA. The layer-scale heterogeneity is specific to hydrogeologic layers with layerwise properties, while the local-scale heterogeneity refers to the spatial variation of hydraulic properties within a layer. A Monte Carlo method is used to estimate mean, variance, and 5th, and 95th percentiles for the quantities of interest (e.g., matrix saturation and normalized cumulative mass arrival). Model simulations of unsaturated flow are evaluated by comparing the simulated and observed matrix saturations. Local-scale heterogeneity is examined by comparing the results of this study with those of the previous study that only considers layer-scale heterogeneity. We find that local-scale heterogeneity significantly increases predictive uncertainty in the percolation fluxes and tracer plumes, whereas the mean predictions are only slightly affected by the local-scale heterogeneity. The mean travel time of the conservative and reactive tracers to the water table in the early stage increases significantly due to the local-scale heterogeneity, while the influence of local-scale heterogeneity on travel time gradually decreases over time. Layer-scale heterogeneity is more important than local-scale heterogeneity for simulating overall tracer travel time, suggesting that it would be more cost-effective to reduce the layer-scale parameter uncertainty in order to reduce predictive uncertainty in tracer transport.     

浅论《剑声花影》对复仇主题武侠小说的创新

武侠小说是表现复仇主题的最好的文学样式,传统的武侠复仇主题小说一般都有固定模式：仇杀——孤雏余生——练成绝技——复仇——坏人授首。而陆士谔的《剑声花影》突破了传统模式,采用以“报恩实现复仇”的形式演绎复仇主题。而且构思复仇故事时,有其独特之处,尤其是侠与情的结合,对民国侠情武侠小说派影响很大。     

提高高校档案利用的新途径

针对目前高校档案利用率不高的实际情况,为有效地提高档案利用率,充分发挥高校档案在高校发展建设、科学管理、提升教育教学水平中的作用,笔者通过多年的探索实践,提出了加大宣传力度、搞好基础建设、提高人员素质、拓展服务方式、创新服务内容等高校档案利用的新途径,与从事高校档案工作的广大同仁商榷。     

扬州经济开发区发展循环经济的实践、对策和规划

扬州经济开发区通过国家生态工业示范园区的创建和国家循环经济试点工作,构建以工业共生、物质循环、自然和谐、宜业宜居为特征及资源节约型、环境友好型开发区。本文介绍了扬州经济开发区发展循环经济的实践情况,以“减量化、再利用、资源化”和“可持续性”原则为理念,分析了其循环经济发展存在的问题,并提出了相应对策和规划。     

Composting clam processing wastes in a laboratory- and pilot-scale in-vessel system

Waste materials from the clam processing industry (offal, shells) have several special characteristics such as a high salinity level, a high nitrogen content, and a low C/N ratio. The traditional disposal of clam waste through landfilling is facing the challenges of limited land available, increasing tipping fees, and strict environmental and regulatory scrutiny. The aim of this work is to investigate the performance of in-vessel composting as an alternative for landfill application of these materials. Experiments were performed in both laboratory-scale (5L) and pilot-scale (120L) reactors, with woodchips as the bulking agent. In the laboratory-scale composting test, the clam waste and woodchips were mixed in ratios from 1:0.5 to 1:3 (w/w, wet weight). The high ratios resulted in a better temperature performance, a higher electrical conductivity, and a higher ash content than the low-ratio composting. The C/N ratio of the composts was in the range of 9:1-18:1. In the pilot-scale composting test, a 1:1 ratio of clam waste to woodchips was used. The temperature profile during the composting process met the US Environmental Protection Agency sanitary requirement. The final cured compost had a C/N ratio of 14.6, with an ash content of 167.0+/-14.1g/kg dry matter. In addition to the major nutrients (carbon, nitrogen, calcium, magnesium, phosphorus, potassium, sulfur, and sodium), the compost also contained trace amounts of zinc, manganese, copper, and boron, indicating that the material can be used as a good resource for plant nutrients.     

The Shape Memory Properties of Biodegradable Chitosan/Poly(l-lactide) Composites

The shape memory behavior of PLLA (poly(l-lactide)) and chitosan/PLLA composites was studied. PLLA and chitosan were compounded to fabricate novel materials which may have biodegradability and biocompatibility. Chitosan does not significantly affect the glass and melting transition temperature of the PLLA. Both the pure PLLA and chitosan/PLLA composites showed shape memory effect arising from the viscoelastic properties of PLLA comprised of semi crystalline structures. The shape recovery ratio of the chitosan/PLLA composites decreased significantly with increasing chitosan contents due to the incompatibility between PLLA and chitosan. Phase separation structures of the composites were observed by using atomic force microscopy. To obtain good shape memory effect, the chitosan content should be below 15 wt%.     

基于循环经济的煤矿环境评价指标体系

基于循环经济理论和煤矿开采中环境系统的演化规律.从资源循环与资源损失正反两个方面构建了煤矿区环境评估指标体系.指标体系分为目标层、指标类别层和单项指标层3个层次,单项指标层是具体舒化指标.由它直接计算指标类别层的值,进而计算目标层的评估结果.将此指标体系运用到重庆市某县煤矿,对该县近年来煤矿资源开发中环境可持续能力进行了计算和分析,评价结果与实际情况相符,揭示了该县煤矿开发中环境可持续能力提高的关键因素,进一步探讨了煤矿开发中环境能力提高和循环经济理念的实施建议.