评价农场尺度上养分和微量元素动态变化的一个系统方法:以(O)jebyn奶牛场的研究为例

通过把全面的农田试验和矿质风化释放养分以及微量元素循环具体研究结合起来,用一个系统分析方法来评价农场尺度上的养分和微量元素可持续性.为了比较有机和常规农业管理方式,在瑞典北部的Ojebyn奶牛场进行了一个包括磷、钾和锌在内的农场尺度上的实例研究.通过结合不同的元素平衡法(农场总体尺度、畜舍尺度和农田尺度)以及进一步把这些方法应用到FARMFLOw模型,我们能够把子系统内质量流和库结合起来并建立子系统之间联系,来进行农场尺度上的预测.研究发现农场内部的元素流动大,而且农场有内部源(锌)和损失项(钾).在Ojebyn奶牛场形成并得到验证的方法是很有前途的,认为可以应用到任何农场.     

The value of sonographic diagnosis of fetal malformations: Different results between indication-based and screening-based investigations

The advantages of a routine screening or indication-based ultrasound investigation during pregnancy are still under debate. This is the first study where both methods are compared in two different time periods. More malformations were diagnosed before the 24th week of gestation by means of screening-based than indication-based investigation (18 per cent vs. 5 per cent, P<0·005), and before 28 weeks in 26 per cent compared with 15 per cent respectively (P<0·01). Twenty-six per cent of all malformations were detected by means of screening-based investigations as opposed to 15 per cent by means of indication-based scans. Primary fetal malformations were also diagnosed much earlier (25 weeks vs. 30 weeks). Except for the fetal head, the detection rate of malformations was higher in nearly all other body regions of the fetus in the screening-based investigation. The most important advantage of a screening-based ultrasound investigation during pregnancy is to detect the malformations early enough in pregnancy for possible intrauterine treatment or to offer safe termination of pregnancy for the woman, at least for those anomalies that are lethal or significantly handicapping.     

A systems approach to assess farm-scale nutrient and trace element dynamics: a case study at the Ojebyn dairy farm

A systems analysis approach was used to assess farmscale nutrient and trace element sustainability by combining full-scale field experiments with specific studies of nutrient release from mineral weathering and trace-element cycling. At the Ojebyn dairy farm in northern Sweden, a farm-scale case study including phosphorus (P), potassium (K), and zinc (Zn) was run to compare organic and conventional agricultural management practices. By combining different element-balance approaches (at farmgate, barn, and field scales) and further adapting these to the FARMFLOW model, we were able to combine mass flows and pools within the subsystems and establish links between subsystems in order to make farm-scale predictions. It was found that internal element flows on the farm are large and that there are farm internal sources (Zn) and loss terms (K). The approaches developed and tested at the Ojebyn farm are promising and considered generally adaptable to any farm.     

Microphytobenthos of the Dogger Bank: a comparison between shallow and deep areas using phytopigment composition of the sediment

The surface sediment characteristics related to benthic microalgae primary production were studied at the Dogger Bank, North Sea, in order to evaluate the potential role of microphytobenthos as a food source for the macrobenthic fauna. Twenty-one stations were sampled in July 2001 and May 2002, with water depth ranging from 16.3 to 68.5 m. High-performance liquid chromatography pigment analyses revealed that concentrations of chlorophyll a, chlorophyll c and fucoxanthin are mainly associated with benthic diatom flora at most parts of the Dogger Bank. High percentage of phytopigments (>50%) was firmly attached to sand grains at the stations shallower than 40 m water depth. The deeper stations were characterized by a phytopigment composition originating from pelagic phytoplankton settled on the sea floor. Qualitative microscopy showed that the benthic microflora on top of the Bank mainly consists of small diatoms (5–10 μm), such as e.g., Diploneis spp., living attached to the sand grains. The results are discussed concerning possible implications for ecology and biogeochemistry of the Dogger Bank area.     

Commentary: Status of road safety in Asia

Objectives: The objective of this article is to assess the status of road safety in Asia and present accident and injury prevention strategies based on global road safety improvement experiences and discuss the way forward by indicating opportunities and countermeasures that could be implemented to achieve a new level of safety in Asia.

Methods: This study provides a review and analyses of data in the literature, including from the World Health Organization (WHO) and World Bank, and a review of lessons learned from best practices in high-income countries. In addition, an estimation of costs due to road transport injuries in Asia and review of future trends in road transport is provided.

Results: Data on the global and Asian road safety problem and status of prevention strategies in Asia as well as recommendations for future actions are discussed. The total number of deaths due to road accidents in the 24 Asian countries, encompassing 56% of the total world population, is 750,000 per year (statistics 2010). The total number of injuries is more than 50 million, of which 12% are hospital admissions. The loss to the economy in the 24 Asian countries is estimated to around US$800 billion or 3.6% of the gross domestic product (GDP).

Conclusions: This article clearly shows that road safety is causing large problems and high costs in Asia, with an enormous impact on the well-being of people, economy, and productivity. In many Asian low- and middle-income countries, the yearly number of fatalities and injuries is increasing. Vulnerable road users (pedestrians, cyclists, and motorcyclists combined) are particularly at risk. Road safety in Asia should be given rightful attention, including taking powerful, effective actions. This review stresses the need for reliable accident data, because there is considerable underreporting in the official statistics. Reliable accident data are imperative to determine evidence-based intervention strategies and monitor the success of these interventions and analyses. On the other hand, lack of good high-quality accident data should not be an excuse to postpone interventions. There are many opportunities for evidence-based transport safety improvements, including measures concerning the 5 key risk factors: speed, drunk driving, not wearing motorcycle helmets, not wearing seat belts, and not using child restraints in cars, as specified in the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011–2020. In this commentary, a number of additional measures are proposed that are not covered in the Decade of Action Plan. These new measures include separate roads or lanes for pedestrians and cyclists; helmet wearing for e-bike riders; special attention to elderly persons in public transportation; introduction of emerging collision avoidance technologies, in particular automatic emergency braking (AEB) and alcohol locks; improved truck safety focusing on the other road user (including blind spot detection technology; underride protection at the front, rear, and side; and energy-absorbing fronts); and improvements in motorcycle safety concerning protective clothing, requirements for advanced braking systems, improved visibility of motorcycles by using daytime running lights, and better guardrails.     

Life cycle cost (LCC) as a tool for improving sustainability in the Norwegian fishing fleet

Systems engineering principles in fisheries management may structure and improve the decision-making process. Sustainability in the fishing fleet is comprised of economic, environmental, and social dimensions. Even though the total system value may be constituted by economic factors and technical factors, non-market issues, such as environmental and social issues, have an increasingly important impact on the economic performance of a system or company. Life cycle cost (LCC) is related to the systems engineering process, because economic considerations are very important in the process of creating systems. LCC involves evaluation of all future costs related to the life cycle of a system. The main objective of this article is to discuss the usefulness of LCC as a method to enhance sustainable designs of fishing vessels for ship owners, and to improve the decision-bases for fisheries management.     

The role of risk perceptions in the risk mitigation process: The case of wildfire in high risk communities

An important policy question receiving considerable attention concerns the risk perception–risk mitigation process that guides how individuals choose to address natural hazard risks. This question is considered in the context of wildfire. We analyze the factors that influence risk reduction behaviors by homeowners living in the wildland–urban interface. The factors considered are direct experience, knowledge of wildfire risk, locus of responsibility, fulltime/seasonal status, and self-efficacy. Survey data from three homeowner associations in the western U.S. are used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of this relationship. Our results indicate that the effects of knowledge and locus of responsibility are mediated by homeowners' risk perceptions. We also find that beliefs of self-efficacy and fulltime/seasonal status have a direct influence on risk reduction behaviors. Finally, we find, surprisingly, that direct experience with wildfire does not directly influence the risk perception–risk mitigation process.     

SALSA--农业生产生态可持续性评估的模拟工具

农业生产系统的生态可持续性评估亟需一些有效工具.本文所描述的SALSA(可持续农业系统分析,Systems Analysis forSustainable Agriculture)是一种环境系统分析工具.它由各种物流模型构成,并运用生命周期评价法阐释模拟结果.SALSA的一个示范性应用案例就是3种不同的生猪养殖情景在各自能源投入以及对全球变暖、富营养化和酸化作用方面的环境影响的比较分析.其中综合了不含大豆粉的低蛋白食料、改良后的肥料管理技术、低氮损失的情景是全部影响分类研究中的最佳选择.SALSA模型的优势在于它捕捉不同管理选择的后果的能力,这些管理选择对一个农场的一些过程有某种影响.这也使得文中描述的复杂研究成为可能.