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N. H. Ravindranath I. K. Murthy R. K. Chaturvedi K. Andrasko J. A. Sathaye 《Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change》2007,12(6):1027-1050
Carbon forestry mitigation potential estimates at the global-level are limited by the absence or simplicity of national-level
estimates, and similarly national-level estimates are limited by absence of regional-level estimates. The present study aims
to estimate the mitigation potential for a large diverse country such as India, based on the GTAP global land classification
system of agro-ecological zones (AEZs), as well the Indian AEZ system. The study also estimates the implications of carbon
price incentive (US$50 and $100) on mitigation potential in the short-, medium- and long-term, since afforestation and reforestation
(A & R) is constrained by lack of investment and financial incentives. The mitigation potential for short and long rotation
plantations and natural regeneration was estimated using the GCOMAP global forest model for two land area scenarios. One scenario
included only wastelands (29 Mha), and the second enhanced area scenario, included wastelands plus long fallow and marginal
croplands (54 Mha). Under the $100 carbon price case, significant additional area (3.6 Mha under the wasteland scenario and
6.4 Mha under the enhanced area scenario) and carbon mitigation is gained in the short-term (2025) compared to the baseline
when using the GTAP land classification system. The area brought under A & R increases by 85–100% for the $100 carbon price
compared to $50 carbon price in the short-term, indicating the effectiveness of higher carbon price incentives, especially
in the short-term.
A comparison of estimates of mitigation potential using GTAP and Indian AEZ land classification systems showed that in the
short-term, 35% additional C-stock gain is achieved in the $100 carbon price case in the enhanced area scenario of the Indian
AEZ system. This difference highlights the role of the land classification system adopted in estimation of aggregate mitigation
potential estimates, particularly in the short-term. Uncertainty involved in the estimates of national-level mitigation potential
needs to be reduced, by generating reliable estimates of carbon stock gain and losses, and cost and benefit data, for land
use sector mitigation options at a scale disaggregated enough to be relevant for national mitigation planning. 相似文献
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Edward Kaplan Barbara Royce Martin H. Garrell E. Frederick Riedel Jayant Sathaye George J. Rotariu 《Environmental geochemistry and health》1984,6(2):54-65
The objective of this assessment is to quantify some of the environmental effects of a significant increase in United States oil production by tertiary or enhanced oil recovery (EOR) methods. The problems associated with each EOR technology are discussed and controls and regulations are briefly summarised. A tertiary oil production scenario for the United States was developed focussing only on mainland fields in the lower 48 states. It included all of the EOR methods expected to be in use during the next two decades. The environmental impacts, including water requirements, air emissions and generation of solid wastes, are then scaled to this scenario. The effects of control technologies and state regulations are considered. A comparison is also made between the impacts of EOR as an energy source and impacts associated with coal and synthetic fuels which concludes that EOR is preferable in many respects. There are environmental risks associated with EOR technologies, specific projects and specific fields in the production scenario; however, most problems are solvable by responsible regulation, enforcement of regulations and application of the best professional engineering by project operators. 相似文献