基于SLEUTH模型的无锡市区土地利用变化情景模拟

以城市化快速发展和生态环境压力突出的无锡市区为研究区,综合集成地形图、交通图以及1980、1995和2000年TM/ETM土地利用遥感解译资料,应用SLEUTH元胞自动机模型对土地利用变化过程进行情景模拟,揭示不同土地保护强度下的土地利用变化趋势。研究结果：SLEUTH模型首先对过去土地利用变化实现了动态模拟,模拟精度较高;在模拟形成的未来土地利用变化情景中,情景Ⅰ是基于维持现状土地利用保护强度基本不变的假设,城镇用地将迅速扩张,并占用大量水田和旱地,城镇扩张形态以边缘增长为主;情景Ⅱ则将水田保护强度提高50%,旱地提高12%,林草地提高50%,则城镇用地迅速扩张及耕地大量被占用的趋势得到有效控制;研究也进一步证明了SLEUTH模型在我国快速城市化背景下土地利用变化模拟和预测中的适用性。     

原位铁氧化物载铁活性炭的制备及其对水中As(Ⅲ)的去除性能

针对水中三价砷As(Ⅲ)毒害大、难去除的问题,本研究采用FeSO4/K2FeO4组合处理方式以恒温浸润法对活性炭进行改性,制备获得原位铁氧化物载铁活性炭(AFPAC),利用负载的铁氧化物的吸附性能,耦合活性炭的吸附和有效的固液分离功能,实现了As(Ⅲ)的高效去除.结果表明,当AFPAC投加量1g·L-1时,对初始质量浓...     

基于WRF模式热带气旋对西南低涡暴雨作用数值试验研究

基于WRF模式,利用发生在远距离“天鹅”台风作用下的西南低涡暴雨个例,通过修改台风动力风场,分析了不同数值试验中西南低涡降水系统对台风系统的响应。结果表明：在“天鹅”台风作用下,增强了水汽和不稳定能量的输送,导致了长时间强降水的发生;不同的台风动力风场作用下,西南低涡的移动路径具有明显的不同,降水也具有明显的区域性局地差异;在增强（减弱）台风倒槽动力风场环流作用下,低涡系统中心偏西（东）偏北（南）,相应地,低空急流输送带偏东（西）,进而导致中低层水汽和不稳定能量输送偏东（西）,以及中低层辐合带空间位置偏东（西）,进而对区域性降水空间位置产生影响,导致了降水区域局地性差异,表明远距离台风对西南低涡环流系统具有重要影响     

中国高技术产业技术创新与能源效率协同发展实证研究

技术创新对能源效率的提高具有重要影响。技术创新可分为产品创新和工艺创新两种类型,且不同类型的技术创新在提高能源利用效率上具有差异性。然而,只有产品创新和工艺创新都与能源效率协同发展才能更有效促进经济增长。根据协同学理论,建立技术创新和能源效率复合系统协同度模型,采用1995-2009年中国高技术产业科技活动和能耗数据,对中国高技术产业产品创新、工艺创新和能源效率协同发展状况进行实证研究和理论解释。实证研究结果表明,从1995-2009年,中国高技术产业技术创新和能源效率协同发展的程度并不高;工艺创新与能源效率协同发展程度要高于产品创新与能源效率协同发展程度,但产品创新与能源效率协同发展增长速度更快。高技术产业应进一步加强技术创新、降低能耗,提高技术创新-能源效率协同水平。其中,提升工艺创新-能源效率协同水平将成为未来中国高技术产业技术创新与能源效率系统协调发展的重要任务。     

基于二分图理论的产业环境资源竞争网络模型研究——以广州开发区为例

采用二分图理论来研究区域内不同产业部门或排污企业之间对于环境容量的竞争关系,建立产业环境资源竞争网络模型,并从点权分布和加权集聚系数等方面加以分析,依据强关联矩阵来确定排污企业对于区域环境容量需求强度的聚类情况.在此基础上,进一步依据2010年广州开发区的排污企业数据进行了实证研究,分析了开发区产业现状,并对未来生态工业园区建设中产业的发展提出了指导性建议.采用复杂网络模型来分析企业环境外部性的方法,不仅较传统的经济度量方式有理论上创新,而且根据区域不同情况来构建模型,从复杂系统视角对环境管理体系进行分析,有利于改进环境管理方式.     

腐殖酸-重金属对ANAMMOX菌脱氮性能的影响及其动力学分析

通过批次实验研究了两种典型重金属离子[Cu（Ⅱ）和Ni（Ⅱ）]与腐殖酸对厌氧氨氧化（ANAMMOX）脱氮效果（SAA）的影响并进行了动力学模型分析,同时探讨了腐殖酸-重金属对ANAMMOX脱氮的影响.结果表明,在投加ρ[Cu（Ⅱ）]和ρ[Ni（Ⅱ）]均为3mg·L^-1时,对ANAMMOX有促进作用,SAA分别提高了8.64%和7.78%;当ρ[Cu（Ⅱ）]和ρ[Ni（Ⅱ）]分别为20mg·L^-1和5mg·L^-1时则对ANAMMOX有抑制作用,抑制效果随重金属离子浓度增加而越发显著,指数拟合表明Cu（Ⅱ）和Ni（Ⅱ）对ANAMMOX的IC50分别为29.67mg·L^-1和28.75mg·L^-1.在投加ρ（腐殖酸）为1mg·L^-1时SAA提高了7.37%, 40mg·L^-1时抑制率即达到36.80%,线性拟合表明腐殖酸对ANAMMOX菌的IC50为58.36mg·L^-1.修正的Michaelis-Menten模型能较...     

Integrative Management of Commercialized Wild Mushroom: A Case Study of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Thelephora ganbajun</Emphasis> in Yunnan,Southwest China

The management of wild mushroom is interdisciplinary in nature, whereby the biophysical considerations have to be incorporated into the context of a wide range of social, economic and political concerns. However, to date, little documentation exists illustrating an interdisciplinary approach to management of wild mushrooms. Moreover, the empirical case studies necessary for developing applicable and practical methods are even more rare. This paper adopted an interdisciplinary approach combining participatory methods to improve the habitat management of Thelephora ganbajun, an endemic and one of the most economically valuable mushroom species in Southwest China. The paper documents an empirical case of how an interdisciplinary approach facilitated the development of a scientific basis for policy and management practice, and built the local capacity to create, adopt and sustain the new rules and techniques of mushroom management. With this integrative perspective, a sustainable management strategy was developed, which was found not only technically feasible for farmers, but also acceptable to the government from an ecological and policy-related perspective. More importantly, this approach has greatly contributed to raising the income of farmers. The paper highlights how the integration of biophysical and socioeconomic factors and different knowledge systems provided a holistic perspective to problem diagnosis and resolution, which helped to cope with conventional scientific dilemmas. Finally, it concludes that the success of this interdisciplinary approach is significant in the context of policy decentralization and reform for incorporating indigenous knowledge and local participation in forest management.     

Predicting future quantities of obsolete household appliances in Nanjing by a stock-based model

China has become one of the largest producers of obsolete household appliances (HAs) in the world. However, information on discarded HAs in China is deficient owing to the unavailability of reliable data. The estimation of future obsolete streams is a crucial issue for the establishment of efficient waste collection and recycling systems. The present study describes a prediction model to forecast future obsolete HAs on the basis of information of in-use stocks of HAs in households. The model was applied to a forecasting analysis of quantities of obsolete HAs from 2009 to 2050 in Nanjing, China. The results show that a total of about 76 million units (2.8 million tonnes) of obsolete HAs will be generated in Nanjing over the next 40 years. Discarded air conditioners, color TV sets, and personal computers will be the major contributors. The total discarded amount of major kinds of HAs will increase from nearly 1.0 million units in 2009 to a maximum of 2.1 million units in 2040, and then decrease slightly to 2.0 million units in 2050. Urban households will generate significantly more obsolete HAs (about 56 million units) than rural households, due to the difference in their HA possession levels. The results of this study should help the Nanjing municipality to develop the collection and recycling systems and facilities needed for the obsolete HAs generated in the future. From a methodological perspective, the stock-based model provides a suitable tool to predict the generation of discarded HAs in the future.     

煤矿安全管理要素探讨

通过对煤矿安全管理要素的分析强调了以人为本的安全管理思路,针对目前煤矿安全管理中存在的一些误区,结合企业实际和其它煤炭企业管理经验,以及安全管理要素相互作用的理论,提出了以＂人＂为本、以＂物＂保＂人＂、以＂环境＂影响＂人＂的管理方法和工作措施。     

HMX的氟橡胶包覆技术及其撞击感度研究

采用超临界流体SAS法,以氟橡胶（FPM2602）为钝化包覆剂,对主体炸药超细奥克托今（HMX）的粒子表面均匀包覆,制备出超细HMX为基传爆药。对系统温度、系统压力、溶液浓度等参数进行实验研究,用红外光谱（FT-IR）和扫描电镜（SEM）对包覆后超细HMX进行了表征,并对其撞击感度进行了测试。结果表明：溶液浓度是影响包覆效果的最主要因素;当系统温度45℃,系统压力9.5MPa,溶液浓度为0.4g/ml,通气时间为20min条件下,氟橡胶均匀包覆在超细HMX颗粒表面,包覆后颗粒呈0.4-1μm球状,包覆后造型粉特性落高H50为38.50cm（12型工具、2.5kg落锤）,撞击感度比原料（H50为26.30cm）明显降低。