Status and trends of terrestrial arthropod abundance and diversity in the North Atlantic region of the Arctic

Ambio - The Circumpolar Biodiversity Monitoring Programme (CBMP) provides an opportunity to improve our knowledge of Arctic arthropod diversity, but initial baseline studies are required to...     

Population-based assessment of a vehicle fleet with seat belts providing lower shoulder belt forces than today

Objective: The objective of this study was to quantify the population-based effects of a lower shoulder belt load limit on front row occupants in frontal car crashes.

Method: Crashes of modern vehicles from the GIDAS (German In-Depth Accident Study) are corrected for bias and projected to the national level. Injury risk functions are computed for the injury severity levels Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) 2+, MAIS 3+, and fatal, stratified by 2 age cohorts (16–44 years of age and 45 years or older). To assess the field effectivity of a “softer belt,” the projected crash frequency data are modified separately for the 2 age cohorts such that its risk structure represents the risk of a softer belt. Given those 2 samples, the field effectivity of a softer belt is derived for several shares of the younger age cohort according to the injury severity levels MAIS 2+, MAIS 3+, and fatal.

Results: The injury risk distribution of the projected crash frequency data, represented here by the injury risk functions obtained, fits well into the injury risk distribution of other data sets (Sweden, United States, and Japan) given in the literature. The relative effects of a lower belt force are stable over the different ratios of the younger and old age cohorts. At the MAIS 2+ level, a lower belt force can significantly reduce the number of injuries (about 10%). A lower belt force does not significantly affect the number of MAIS 3+ injuries. A lower belt force can, however, more than double the number of fatal injuries.

Conclusions: Because the number of fatal injuries rises dramatically due to lower belt force, the reduction in the number of MAIS 2+ injuries comes at a very high cost. Therefore, whether reducing the belt force limit is the right approach is questionable.     

Mapping the spatio-temporal distribution of key vegetation cover properties in lowland river reaches,using digital photography

The presence of vegetation in stream ecosystems is highly dynamic in both space and time. A digital photography technique is developed to map aquatic vegetation cover at species level, which has a very high spatial and a flexible temporal resolution. A digital single-lens reflex (DSLR) camera mounted on a handheld telescopic pole is used. The low-altitude (5 m) orthogonal aerial images have a low spectral resolution (red-green-blue), high spatial resolution (～1.9 pixels cm^?2, ～1.3 cm length) and flexible temporal resolution (monthly). The method is successfully applied in two lowland rivers to quantify four key properties of vegetated rivers: vegetation cover, patch size distribution, biomass and hydraulic resistance. The main advantages are that the method is (i) suitable for continuous and discontinuous vegetation covers, (ii) of very high spatial and flexible temporal resolution, (iii) relatively fast compared to conventional ground survey methods, (iv) non-destructive and (v) relatively cheap and easy to use, and (vi) the software is widely available and similar open source alternatives exist. The study area should be less than 10 m wide, and the prevailing light conditions and water turbidity levels should be sufficient to look into the water. Further improvements of the image processing are expected in the automatic delineation and classification of the vegetation patches.     

Environmental change in the Sahel: reconciling contrasting evidence and interpretations

The Sahel has been the object of intensive international research since the drought of the early 1970s. A considerable part of the research has focused on environmental change in general and land degradation, land cover change and climate change in particular. Rich and diverse insights from many different scientific disciplines about these three domains have been put forward. One intriguing feature is that an agreement on the overall trends of environmental change does not appear to emerge: questions such as whether the Sahel is greening, cropland is encroaching on rangelands, drought persists remain contested in the scientific literature, and arguments are supported by contrasting empirical evidence. The paper explores the generic reasons behind this situation in a systematic manner. We distinguish between divergences in interpretations emerging from (1) conceptualizations, definitions and choice of indicators, (2) biases, for example, related to selection of study sites, methodological choices, measurement accuracy, perceptions among interlocutors, and selection of temporal and spatial scales of analysis. The analysis of the root causes for different interpretations suggests that differences in findings could often be considered as complementary insights rather than mutually exclusive. This will have implications for the ways in which scientific results can be expected to support regional environmental policies and contribute to knowledge production.     

Forests and global change: what can genetics contribute to the major forest management and policy challenges of the twenty-first century?

The conservation and sustainable use of forests in the twenty-first century pose huge challenges for forest management and policy. Society demands that forests provide a wide range of ecosystem services, from timber products, raw materials and renewable energy to sociocultural amenities and habitats for nature conservation. Innovative management and policy approaches need to be developed to meet these often-conflicting demands in a context of environmental change of uncertain magnitude and scale. Genetic diversity is a key component of resilience and adaptability. Overall, forest tree populations are genetically very diverse, conferring them an enormous potential for genetic adaptation via the processes of gene flow and natural selection. Here, we review the main challenges facing our forests in the coming century and focus on how recent progress in genetics can contribute to the development of appropriate practical actions that forest managers and policy makers can adopt to promote forest resilience to climate change. Emerging knowledge will inform and clarify current controversies relating to the choice of appropriate genetic resources for planting, the effect of silvicultural systems and stand tending on adaptive potential and the best ways to harness genetic diversity in breeding and conservation programs. Gaps in our knowledge remain, and we identify where additional information is needed (e.g., the adaptive value of peripheral populations or the genetic determinism of key adaptive traits) and the types of studies that are required to provide this key understanding.     

Quantification of the resource recovery potential of municipal solid waste incineration bottom ashes

Municipal solid waste incineration (MSWI) plays an important role in many European waste management systems. However, increasing focus on resource criticality has raised concern regarding the possible loss of critical resources through MSWI. The primary form of solid output from waste incinerators is bottom ashes (BAs), which also have important resource potential. Based on a full-scale Danish recovery facility, detailed material and substance flow analyses (MFA and SFA) were carried out, in order to characterise the resource recovery potential of Danish BA: (i) based on historical and experimental data, all individual flows (representing different grain size fractions) within the recovery facility were quantified, (ii) the resource potential of ferrous (Fe) and non-ferrous (NFe) metals as well as rare earth elements (REE) was determined, (iii) recovery efficiencies were quantified for scrap metal and (iv) resource potential variability and recovery efficiencies were quantified based on a range of ashes from different incinerators. Recovery efficiencies for Fe and NFe reached 85% and 61%, respectively, with the resource potential of metals in BA before recovery being 7.2%ww for Fe and 2.2%ww for NFe. Considerable non-recovered resource potential was found in fine fraction (below 2 mm), where approximately 12% of the total NFe potential in the BA were left. REEs were detected in the ashes, but the levels were two or three orders of magnitude lower than typical ore concentrations. The lack of REE enrichment in BAs indicated that the post-incineration recovery of these resources may not be a likely option with current technology. Based on these results, it is recommended to focus on limiting REE-containing products in waste for incineration and improving pre-incineration sorting initiatives for these elements.     

The carbon sequestration potential of tree crop plantations

Carbon (C) conservation and sequestration in many developing countries needs to be accompanied by socio-economic improvements. Tree crop plantations can be a potential path for coupling climate change mitigation and economic development by providing C sequestration and supplying wood and non-wood products to meet domestic and international market requirements at the same time. Financial compensation for such plantations could potentially be covered by the Clean Development Mechanism under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC) Kyoto Protocol, but its suitability has also been suggested for integration into REDD?+?(reducing emissions from deforestation, forest degradation and enhancement of forest C stocks) currently being negotiated under the United Nations FCCC. We assess the aboveground C sequestration potential of four major plantation crops – cocoa (Theobroma cacao), oil palm (Elaeis guineensis), rubber (Hevea brasiliensis), and orange (Citrus sinesis) – cultivated in the tropics. Measurements were conducted in Ghana and allometric equations were applied to estimate biomass. The largest C potential was found in the rubber plantations (214 tC/ha). Cocoa (65 tC/ha) and orange (76 tC/ha) plantations have a much lower C content, and oil palm (45 tC/ha) has the lowest C potential, assuming that the yield is not used as biofuel. There is considerable C sequestration potential in plantations if they are established on land with modest C content such as degraded forest or agricultural land, and not on land with old-growth forest. We also show that simple C assessment methods can give reliable results, which makes it easier for developing countries to partake in REDD?+ or other payment schemes.     

瑞典维纳恩湖的沉积物和鱼类种群中的汞:污染后的恢复状况

过去流入维纳恩湖的含汞废水颇多.通过连续测定沉积物和鱼体中的汞来监测其影响和恢复状况.汞的主要源头来自湖北岸的一座氯工厂.尽管60年代从源头流出的废水中汞水平有了根本性的减少,附近湖泊沉积物中汞的水平从70年代中期以来只下降了一半多.狗鱼(Esox lucus)体内汞的水平在同期下降的幅度相似.湖泊受影响最大的部分比受影响最小的部分要高出30%.湖泊中的鲈鱼(Percafhviatilis)和三文鱼鱼体内汞水平不高.尽管维纳恩湖沉积物中汞水平有所增加,比起位于同一地区而没有受当地汞废水污染湖泊内的鱼来说,维纳恩湖鱼体内汞的水平相对来说并不算高.据估算,湖内鱼类总生物量所含的汞不到湖泊底部沉积物上层活性生物层所含汞总量的千分之一.这显示了各种环境因子的潜在影响,并促使我们将来要继续对汞水平进行监测.     

环境监测策略评价

在环境监测中,监测系统在非预期事件出现时能够发出早期预警是很重要的.这些事件具有突发,或者难以观测到的性质.在设计这类监测系统时,必须在成本和风险之间达到一个适当的平衡.传统意义上有两类和早期预警系统相关联的风险,即没有检测到重要变化的风险和错误预警的风险.本文的目的是阐述一种在考虑了传统类型的风险和成本的情况下来比较不同监测系统性能的方法.这个方法被试用于地衣植被的监测中,并采用预期效应作为性能的度量标准.在估计事件的概率时,应用了空间微观模拟技术(spatial microsimulation)和蒙特卡罗模拟技术.所评估的监测计划基于卫星图像、航空照片、野外采样和土地覆被图.研究的主要结论是,标准化质量度量在环境监测方法可用性的评估中是极为有用的.另外,空间微观模拟技术在效益和成本估计中是可用的.不过要改进算法,还需要应用宏观约束(macroconstraints)来修正模拟模型.     

雄性波罗的海灰海豹(Halichoerus grypus)骨组织的矿物密度

本文利用非侵入计算层析X射线摄影法(pQCT)研究了雄性波罗的海灰海豹(4～23岁龄)骨组织的矿物密度(mg/cm3).资料按照收集的年份分组.A组1850～1955年,有机氯(OCs)大量引入之前的时期;B组1965～1985年,OC污染十分严重的时期;C组1986～1997年,OCs浓度逐渐减小的时期.测量结果的复现性良好,变异系数(CV)为0.1%～2.1%.1986～1997年收集的标本中桡骨小梁的矿物密度比1965～1985年收集的标本的明显要高(p＜0.05).1986～1997年收集的标本中,下颌骨的皮层骨矿物密度明显地低于1850～1955年收集的标本(p＜0.05).这些结果表明小梁和皮层骨在一段时间内的不同响应.在OC污染非常严重的时期(1965～1985年),小梁骨矿物密度最低,而在1985～1997年收集的标本中,皮层骨密度最低,该时段是一个OC污染程度相当低的时期.有关这些效应背后的机制目前尚不知道.但是,可以假定这里涉及到OCs.由于目前缺乏有关研究个体中OCs残留水平的资料,因此不可能评估OCs在这方面的影响.