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61.
Minimum viable metapopulation size, extinction debt, and the conservation of a declining species. 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Caroline R Bulman Robert J Wilson Alison R Holt Lucia Gálvez Bravo Regan I Early Martin S Warren Chris D Thomas 《Ecological applications》2007,17(5):1460-1473
A key question facing conservation biologists is whether declines in species' distributions are keeping pace with landscape change, or whether current distributions overestimate probabilities of future persistence. We use metapopulations of the marsh fritillary butterfly Euphydryas aurinia in the United Kingdom as a model system to test for extinction debt in a declining species. We derive parameters for a metapopulation model (incidence function model, IFM) using information from a 625-km2 landscape where habitat patch occupancy, colonization, and extinction rates for E. aurinia depend on patch connectivity, area, and quality. We then show that habitat networks in six extant metapopulations in 16-km2 squares were larger, had longer modeled persistence times (using IFM), and higher metapopulation capacity (lambdaM) than six extinct metapopulations. However, there was a > 99% chance that one or more of the six extant metapopulations would go extinct in 100 years in the absence of further habitat loss. For 11 out of 12 networks, minimum areas of habitat needed for 95% persistence of metapopulation simulations after 100 years ranged from 80 to 142 ha (approximately 5-9% of land area), depending on the spatial location of habitat. The area of habitat exceeded the estimated minimum viable metapopulation size (MVM) in only two of the six extant metapopulations, and even then by only 20%. The remaining four extant networks were expected to suffer extinction in 15-126 years. MVM was consistently estimated as approximately 5% of land area based on a sensitivity analysis of IFM parameters and was reduced only marginally (to approximately 4%) by modeling the potential impact of long-distance colonization over wider landscapes. The results suggest a widespread extinction debt among extant metapopulations of a declining species, necessitating conservation management or reserve designation even in apparent strongholds. For threatened species, metapopulation modeling is a potential means to identify landscapes near to extinction thresholds, to which conservation measures can be targeted for the best chance of success. 相似文献
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Cryptosporidium oocysts and Giardia cysts has been isolated from waters worldwide. In Italy, studies on these parasites in the environment are still limited due to absence of epidemiological evidence and difficulty of adequate methodologies of sampling and analysis. The new Drinking Water Directive 98/83/CE states that Cryptosporidium has to be determined in water intended for human consumption if Clostridium perfringens is detected. This investigation contributes to the knowledge of both Cryptosporidium and Giardia occurrences in Italian aquatic environments through a two-year monitoring program. In addition, indicator bacteria and Clostridium perfringens were monitored in sewage, surface waters, drinking water, and swimming pools and possible correlations were calculated among all the selected parameters. Cysts and oocysts were detected in sewage and surface water and Giardia numbers always prevailed over Cryptosporidium. The parasites were not detected in drinking water, while a positive sample was obtained from the analysis of swimming pools. Pearsons correlation coefficients evidenced a reciprocal correlation between both the protozoa and the Enterococci counts. 相似文献
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Infestation by leeches on adult freshwater turtles Phrynops geoffroanus in two areas of the Uberabinha River, in Uberlandia, was investigated during the summer (January 2000). Fifty eight turtles were trapped: 26 (12 males, 14 females) in an agricultural area and 32 (16 males, 16 females) in an area with a more urban environment. The females present larger length and body mass (291.77+/-29.18 mm; 2233.30+/-511.40 g) than males (259.71+/-33.15 mm; 1488.68+/-529.35 g). Blood samples were drawn from the retrorbital sinus using heparinized micro-hematocrit capillary tubes, for microscopic and direct examination for intracellular parasites. Ectoparasitism by leeches, Placobdella bistriata, on young and adult animals was observed in the limb cavities of 28.1% of the urban area turtles. No leeches were found on the turtles in the agricultural area. Hemogregarine erythrocytic gametocytes were found in 15.4% of the agricultural area turtles, and in 37.5% of the urban area turtles. Concurrent parasitism by leeches and hemogregarines on the same individuals was seen on six turtles. Infections with microorganisms (bacteria and fungus) facilitated by the bites of leeches were not observed in another study on the same sample of infested turtles. However, 19% of the turtles collected in the agricultural area and 15% of the turtles from the urban area presented normocytic acute anemia. The occupation of the soil apparently interfered in the aquatic ecosystem favoring parasitism in the urban area. 相似文献
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This paper deals with a key issue related to municipal waste incineration, which is the efficiency of energy recovery. A strong driver for improving the energy performances of waste-to-energy plants is the recent Waste Framework Directive (Directive 2008/98/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 19 November 2008 on waste and repealing certain Directives), which allows high efficiency installations to benefit from a status of “recovery” rather than “disposal”. The change in designation means a step up in the waste hierarchy, where the lowest level of priority is now restricted to landfilling and low efficiency wastes incineration. The so-called “R1 formula” reported in the Directive, which counts for both production of power and heat, is critically analyzed and correlated to the more scientific-based approach of exergy efficiency. The results obtained for waste-to-energy plants currently operating in Europe reveal some significant differences in their performance, mainly related to the average size and to the availability of a heat market (district heating). 相似文献
69.
Gabriel D. McNett Lucia H. Luan Reginald B. Cocroft 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2010,64(12):2043-2051
Noise that masks communication signals can affect the evolution of signal form and decisions about when and where to communicate.
For the many invertebrates that communicate using plant-borne vibrations, wind is considered to be the major source of environmental
noise. However, the influence of wind-induced vibrations on signaling behavior has not been experimentally tested. We tested
the hypothesis that wind-induced noise influences signaling behavior in a plant-feeding insect (the treehopper, Enchenopa binotata ‘Ptelea’) in which mating is preceded by a vibrational duet between females and mate-searching males. We first characterized the
diel signaling patterns of males in the field to identify the wind conditions under which signaling typically takes place.
We then experimentally tested two predictions of the hypothesis: (1) that males use gap detection to initiate signaling during
relatively wind-free periods; and (2) that females respond less to signals given in the presence of wind-induced vibrations.
Both predictions were met, indicating that wind-induced noise is an important influence on the behavior of insects that use
plant-borne vibrations. 相似文献
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