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101.
102.
103.
Extreme value analysis of Munich air pollution data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We present three different approaches to modelling extreme values of daily air pollution data. We fitted a generalized extreme
value distribution to the monthly maxima of daily concentration measures. For the exceedances of a high threshold depending
on the data, the parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution were estimated. Accounting for autocorrelation, clusters
of exceedances were used. To obtain information about the relationship of the exceedance of the air quality standard and possible
predictors we applied logistic regression. Results and their interpretation are given for daily average concentrations of
ozone and nitrogen dioxide at two monitoring sites within the city of Munich. 相似文献
104.
Oetken M Stachel B Pfenninger M Oehlmann J 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2005,134(1):87-95
The ecotoxicological implications of a flooding disaster were investigated with the exceptional Elbe flood in August 2002 as an example. Sediment samples were taken shortly after the flood at 37 sites. For toxicity assessment the midge Chironomus riparius (Insecta) and the mudsnail Potamopyrgus antipodarum (Gastropoda) were exposed to the sediment samples for 28 days. For a subset of 19 sampling sites, the contamination level and the biological response of both species were also recorded before the flood in 2000. The direct comparison of biological responses at identical sites revealed significant differences for samples taken before and immediately after the flood. After flood sediments of the river Elbe caused both higher emergence rates in the midge and higher numbers of embryos in the mudsnail. Contrary to expectations the toxicity of the sediments decreased after the flood, probably because of a dilution of toxic substances along the river Elbe and a reduction in bioavailability of pollutants as a result of increasing TOC values after the flood. 相似文献
105.
Sea-ice in the Baltic Sea in present and future climates is investigated. The Rossby Centre Regional Atmosphere-Ocean model was used to perform a set of 30-year-long time slice experiments. For each of the two driving global models HadAM3H and ECHAM4/OPYC3, one control run (1961-1990) and two scenario runs (2071-2100) based upon the SRES A2 and B2 emission scenarios were conducted. The future sea-ice volume in the Baltic Sea is reduced by 83% on average. The Bothnian Sea, large areas of the Gulf of Finland and Gulf of Riga, and the outer parts of the southwestern archipelago of Finland will become ice-free in the mean. The presented scenarios are used to study the impact of climate change on the Baltic ringed seal (Phoca hispida botnica). Climate change seems to be a major threat to all southern populations. The only fairly good winter sea-ice habitat is found to be confined to the Bay of Bothnia. 相似文献
106.
We develop a method to compute interfacial areas from three-dimensional digital representations of multiphase systems. We approximate the interfaces with the isosurface generated by the standard marching-cube algorithm from the discrete phase distribution. We apply this approach to two-fluid pore-scale simulations by (1) simulating a random packing of spheres that obeys the grain-size distribution and porosity of an experimental porous medium system, and (2) using a previously developed pore-morphology-based model in order to predict the phase distribution for a water-wet porous medium that undergoes primary drainage. The predicted primary drainage curve and interfacial areas are in good agreement with the experimental values reported in the literature, where interfacial areas were measured using interfacial tracers. The energy dissipation during Haines jumps is significant: thus, the mechanical work done on the system is not completely converted into surface energy, and interfacial areas may not be deduced from the primary drainage curve. 相似文献
107.
108.
A bioaccumulation study was performed with the endobenthic freshwater oligochaete Lumbriculus variegatus MULLER exposed to the radiolabelled synthetic steroid 17alpha-ethinylestradiol (14C-EE2) in a spiked artificial sediment. Concentration of total radioactivity increased constantly and almost linearly during 35 days of exposure. The accumulation factor normalised to worm lipid content and sediment TOC (AFlipid/OC) was 75 at the end of the uptake period, but a steady state was not reached. Uptake kinetics were calculated fitting the measured AFs to a kinetic rate equation for constant uptake from sediment using iterative non-linear regression analysis. After 10 days of elimination in contaminant-free sediment 50% of the accumulated total radioactivity was excreted by the worms. Extracts from L. variegatus sampled at the end of the uptake phase were analysed by thin layer chromatography (TLC). The results showed that 6% of the total radioactivity incorporated by the worms was 14C-EE2. After treatment of extracts with beta-glucuronidase the amount of 14C-EE2 increased to 84%. These results suggest that L. variegatus has the potency to accumulate high amounts of conjugated EE2. Hence, a transfer of EE2 to benthivores and subsequent secondary poisoning of predators might be possible. 相似文献
109.
Derwent RG Stevenson DS Doherty RM Collins WJ Sanderson MG Johnson CE Cofala J Mechler R Amann M Dentener FJ 《Ambio》2005,34(1):54-59
A global three-dimensional Lagrangian chemistry-transport model STOCHEM is used to describe the European regional acid deposition and ozone air quality impacts along the Atlantic Ocean seaboard of Europe, from the SO2, NOx, VOCs and CO emissions from international shipping under conditions appropriate to the year 2000. Model-derived total sulfur deposition from international shipping reaches over 200 mg S m(-2) yr(-1) over the southwestern approaches to the British Isles and Brittany. The contribution from international shipping to surface ozone concentrations during the summertime, peaks at about 6 ppb over Ireland, Brittany and Portugal. Shipping emissions act as an external influence on acid deposition and ozone air quality within Europe and may require control actions in the future if strict deposition and air quality targets are to be met. 相似文献
110.
Die Modellierung des Ausbreitungsverhaltens von Stoffen unterschiedlicher Eigenschaften in der Umwelt stellt eine Herausforderung
dar, da die zugrundeliegenden physikalischen Transport-, chemischen Reaktions- und biologischen An- oder Abreicherungsprozesse
zeitlich variabel in r?umlich heterogen strukturierten Umweltsystemen wirken. Durch geschickt gew?hlte Vereinfachungen, Abgrenzungen
und Mittelungen sind bemerkenswerte Erfolge bis hin zur bedingt-prognostischen Simulation ausgew?hlter Stoffe und Stoffgruppen
erzielt worden. Forschungsbedarf besteht vor allem in der Modellierung der kleinr?umigen, medienübergreifenden Ausbreitung
von Stoffen in komplexen ?kosystemaren Zusammenh?ngen, einschlie?lich der Austausch- und Transfervorg?nge und der chemisch-biologischen
Transformationen.
Bericht vom 32. Tutzing-Symposium der DECHEMA e.V., 7. bis 10. M?rz 1994 相似文献