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11.
David C. Garen Gregory L. Johnson Clayton L. Hanson 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1994,30(3):481-491
ABSTRACT: A procedure using detrended kriging has been developed to calculate daily values of mean areal precipitation (MAP) for input to hydrologic models. The important features of this procedure that overcome weaknesses in existing MAP procedures are: (1) specific precipitation-elevation relationships are determined for each time period as opposed to using relationships based on climatological averages, (2) spatial variability is incorporated by estimating precipitation for each grid cell over a watershed, (3) the spatial correlation structure of precipitation is explicitly modeled, and (4) station weights for precipitation estimates are determined objectively and optimally. Detailed cross-validation testing of the procedure was done for the Reynolds Creek research watershed in southwestern Idaho. The procedure is suitable for use in operational streamflow forecasting. 相似文献
12.
13.
Charlotte E Gonzalez-Abraham Volker C Radeloff Todd J Hawbaker Roger B Hammer Susan I Stewart Murray K Clayton 《Ecological applications》2007,17(7):2011-2023
Rural America is witnessing widespread housing development, which is to the detriment of the environment. It has been suggested to cluster houses so that their disturbance zones overlap and thus cause less habitat loss than is the case for dispersed development. Clustering houses makes intuitive sense, but few empirical studies have quantified the spatial pattern of houses in real landscapes, assessed changes in their patterns over time, and quantified the resulting habitat loss. We addressed three basic questions: (1) What are the spatial patterns of houses and how do they change over time; (2) How much habitat is lost due to houses, and how is this affected by spatial pattern of houses; and (3) What type of habitat is most affected by housing development. We mapped 27 419 houses from aerial photos for five time periods in 17 townships in northern Wisconsin and calculated the terrestrial land area remaining after buffering each house using 100- and 500-m disturbance zones. The number of houses increased by 353% between 1937 and 1999. Ripley's K test showed that houses were significantly clustered at all time periods and at all scales. Due to the clustering, the rate at which habitat was lost (176% and 55% for 100- and 500-m buffers, respectively) was substantially lower than housing growth rates, and most land area was undisturbed (95% and 61% for 100-m and 500-m buffers, respectively). Houses were strongly clustered within 100 m of lakes. Habitat loss was lowest in wetlands but reached up to 60% in deciduous forests. Our results are encouraging in that clustered development is common in northern Wisconsin, and habitat loss is thus limited. However, the concentration of development along lakeshores causes concern, because these may be critical habitats for many species. Conservation goals can only be met if policies promote clustered development and simultaneously steer development away from sensitive ecosystems. 相似文献
14.
Associations of forest bird species richness with housing and landscape patterns across the USA. 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
A M Pidgeon V C Radeloff C H Flather C A Lepczyk M K Clayton T J Hawbaker R B Hammer 《Ecological applications》2007,17(7):1989-2010
In the United States, housing density has substantially increased in and adjacent to forests. Our goal in this study was to identify how housing density and human populations are associated with avian diversity. We compared these associations to those between landscape pattern and avian diversity, and we examined how these associations vary across the conterminous forested United States. Using data from the North American Breeding Bird Survey, the U.S. Census, and the National Land Cover Database, we focused on forest and woodland bird communities and conducted our analysis at multiple levels of model specificity, first using a coarse-thematic resolution (basic models), then using a larger number of fine-thematic resolution variables (refined models). We found that housing development was associated with forest bird species richness in all forested ecoregions of the conterminous United States. However, there were important differences among ecoregions. In the basic models, housing density accounted for < 5% of variance in avian species richness. In refined models, 85% of models included housing density and/or residential land cover as significant variables. The strongest guild response was demonstrated in the Adirondack-New England ecoregion, where 29% of variation in richness of the permanent resident guild was associated with housing density. Model improvements due to regional stratification were most pronounced for cavity nesters and short-distance migrants, suggesting that these guilds may be especially sensitive to regional processes. The varying patterns of association between avian richness and attributes associated with landscape structure suggested that landscape context was an important mediating factor affecting how biodiversity responds to landscape changes. Our analysis suggested that simple, broadly applicable, land use recommendations cannot be derived from our results. Rather, anticipating future avian response to land use intensification (or reversion to native vegetation) has to be conditioned on the current landscape context and the species group of interest. Our results show that housing density and residential land cover were significant predictors of forest bird species richness, and their prediction strengths are likely to increase as development continues. 相似文献
15.
A regression tree-based method for integrating land-cover and land-use data collected at multiple scales 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
As data sets of multiple types and scales proliferate, it will be increasingly important to be able to flexibly combine them
in ways that retain relevant information. A case in point is Amazonia, a large, data-poor region where most whole-basin data
sets are limited to understanding land cover interpreted through a variety of remote sensing techniques and sensors. A growing
body of work, however, indicates that the future state of much of Amazonia depends on the land use to which converted areas
are put, but land use in the tropics is difficult to assess from remotely sensed data alone. An earlier paper developed new
snapshots of agricultural land use in this region using a statistical fusion of satellite data and agricultural census data,
an underutilized ancillary data source available across Amazonia. The creation of these land-use maps, which have the spatial
detail of a satellite image and the attribute information of an agricultural census, required the development of a new statistical
technique for merging data sets at different scales and of fundamentally different data types. Here we describe and assess
this nonlinear technique, which reinterprets existing land cover classifications by determining what categories are most highly
related to the polygon land-use data across the study area. Although developed for this region, the technique appears to hold
broad promise for the systematic fusion of multiple data sets that are closely related but of different origins.
The figures in the printed version of this article appear in black and white. Color figures are available from the author
upon request. 相似文献
16.
Morphological variation and life history in cylindrical forms of Scytosiphon lomentaria (Scytosiphonaceae: Phaeophyta) from southern Australia 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
M. N. Clayton 《Marine Biology》1978,47(4):349-357
Variation amongst wild populations of Scytosiphon lomentaria (Lyngbye) Link is shown to be of a continuous nature, and the species cannot be readily segregated into distinct subspecific taxa on the basis of morphological characteristics. Zoospores derived from plurilocular sporangia developed asexually into cylindrical thalli under long and short days at 16°C. The progeny of some cylindrical thalli included microthalli bearing plurilocular sporangia or unilocular sporangia. Cylindrical forms of S. lomentaria were obtained in culture from wild microthalli of two kinds, bearing either plurilocular or unilocular sporangia. The microthalli differ morphologically from the ralfsioid stages commonly known to be plethysmothalli and sporophytes of S. lomentaria, but closely resemble the microthalli derived from cultures of wild S. lomentaria. 相似文献
17.
Elie Gaget Diego Pavón-Jordán Alison Johnston Aleksi Lehikoinen Wesley M. Hochachka Brett K. Sandercock Alaaeldin Soultan Hichem Azafzaf Nadjiba Bendjedda Taulant Bino Luka Božič Preben Clausen Mohamed Dakki Koen Devos Cristi Domsa Vitor Encarnação Kiraz Erciyas-Yavuz Sándor Faragó Teresa Frost Clemence Gaudard Lívia Gosztonyi Fredrik Haas Menno Hornman Tom Langendoen Christina Ieronymidou Vasiliy A. Kostyushin Lesley J. Lewis Svein-Håkon Lorentsen Leho Luigujõe Włodzimierz Meissner Tibor Mikuska Blas Molina Zuzana Musilová Viktor Natykanets Jean-Yves Paquet Nicky Petkov Danae Portolou Jozef Ridzoň Samir Sayoud Marko Šćiban Laimonas Sniauksta Antra Stīpniece Nicolas Strebel Norbert Teufelbauer Goran Topić Danka Uzunova Andrej Vizi Johannes Wahl Marco Zenatello Jon E. Brommer 《Conservation biology》2021,35(3):834-845
Climate warming is driving changes in species distributions and community composition. Many species have a so-called climatic debt, that is, shifts in range lag behind shifts in temperature isoclines. Inside protected areas (PAs), community changes in response to climate warming can be facilitated by greater colonization rates by warm-dwelling species, but also mitigated by lowering extirpation rates of cold-dwelling species. An evaluation of the relative importance of colonization-extirpation processes is important to inform conservation strategies that aim for both climate debt reduction and species conservation. We assessed the colonization-extirpation dynamics involved in community changes in response to climate inside and outside PAs. To do so, we used 25 years of occurrence data of nonbreeding waterbirds in the western Palearctic (97 species, 7071 sites, 39 countries, 1993–2017). We used a community temperature index (CTI) framework based on species thermal affinities to investigate species turnover induced by temperature increase. We determined whether thermal community adjustment was associated with colonization by warm-dwelling species or extirpation of cold-dwelling species by modeling change in standard deviation of the CTI (CTISD). Using linear mixed-effects models, we investigated whether communities in PAs had lower climatic debt and different patterns of community change than communities outside PAs. For CTI and CTISD combined, communities inside PAs had more species, higher colonization, lower extirpation, and lower climatic debt (16%) than communities outside PAs. Thus, our results suggest that PAs facilitate 2 independent processes that shape community dynamics and maintain biodiversity. The community adjustment was, however, not sufficiently fast to keep pace with the large temperature increases in the central and northeastern western Palearctic. Our results underline the potential of combining CTI and CTISD metrics to improve understanding of the colonization-extirpation patterns driven by climate warming. 相似文献
18.
In this paper, we consider the use of a partition model to estimate regional disease rates and to detect spatial clusters.
Formal inference regarding the number of partitions (or clusters) can be obtained with a reversible jump Markov chain Monte
Carlo algorithm. As an alternative, we consider the ability of models with a fixed, but overly large, number of partitions
to estimate regional disease rates and to provide informal inferences about the number and locations of clusters using local
Bayes factors. We illustrate and compare these two approaches using data on leukemia incidence in upstate New York and data
on breast cancer incidence in Wisconsin. 相似文献
19.
Changes in functional structure of soil bacterial communities due to fungicide and insecticide applications in canola 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Newton Z. Lupwayi K. Neil Harker Lloyd M. Dosdall T. Kelly Turkington Robert E. Blackshaw John T. ODonovan Hctor A. Crcamo Jennifer K. Otani George W. Clayton 《Agriculture, ecosystems & environment》2009,130(3-4):109-114
The fungicide vinclozolin and insecticide λ-cyhalothrin are widely used to control canola (Brassica spp.) diseases and insect pests, respectively, in Canada. We investigated non-target effects of these pesticides, applied at recommended rates, on soil microbial biomass, functional bacterial diversity and functional community structure of soil bacteria (by evaluating patterns of C substrate utilization) in canola rhizosphere and bulk soil at three locations in Alberta from 2002 to 2004. Experimental treatments were (a) untreated control, (b) vinclozolin fungicide foliar application, (c) λ-cyhalothrin insecticide foliar application, and (d) vinclozolin and λ-cyhalothrin applications. No significant pesticide effects on soil microbial biomass or functional bacterial diversity were observed, but the functional structures of soil bacteria were altered. In 1 of 12 cases, the control treatment had a different soil bacterial community structure from the 3 pesticide treatments. The fungicide treatment had different bacterial community structures from the control or insecticide treatments in 3 of 12 cases, the insecticide treatment had different community structures from the control or fungicide treatments in 4 of 12 cases, and the combined fungicide and insecticide treatment had different community structures from the other treatments in 3 of 12 cases. Therefore, evaluating soil bacterial functional structures revealed pesticide effects that were not detected when bacterial diversity or microbial biomass were measured in canola rhizosphere or bulk soil. 相似文献
20.
N.Z. Lupwayi K.N. Harker G.W. Clayton J.T. O’Donovan R.E. Blackshaw 《Agriculture, ecosystems & environment》2009,129(1-3):171-176
Adoption of glyphosate-resistant canola (Brassica napus L.) has increased glyphosate applications to this crop, and concerns have been raised about unintended consequences of these multiple applications. A field trial was conducted to evaluate the effects of pre-seed and in-crop glyphosate and alternative herbicides on soil microbial community functional structure, diversity and biomass. Pre-seed treatments were 2,4-D, glyphosate and 2,4-D + glyphosate, and in-crop treatments were glyphosate applied once, glyphosate applied twice, ethalfluralin, ethalfluralin + sethoxydim + ethametsulfuron + clopyralid, and sethoxydim + ethametsulfuron. Rhizosphere and bulk soil was collected at flowering stage of canola and analyzed for bacterial community-level substrate utilization patterns and microbial biomass C (MBC). Where differences were significant, pre-seed application of both 2,4-D and glyphosate altered the functional structure and reduced the functional diversity of soil bacteria, but increased MBC. These effects were not necessarily concurrent. The reduction in functional diversity was due to reduction in evenness, which means that the soil where both pre-seed herbicides had been applied was dominated by only few functional groups. In 1 year, two in-crop applications of glyphosate also reduced the functional diversity of soil bacteria when applied after pre-seed 2,4-D, as did in-crop sethoxydim + ethametsulfuron following pre-seed glyphosate. Even though significant differences between herbicides were fewer than non-significant differences, i.e., there were no changes in soil microbial community structure, diversity or biomass in response to glyphosate or alternative herbicides applied to glyphosate-resistant canola in most cases, the observed changes in soil microbial communities could affect soil food webs and biological processes. 相似文献