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101.
Empirical models for predicting the distribution of organisms from environmental data have often focused on principles of ecological niche theory. However, even at large scales, there is little agreement over how to represent the dimensions of a species’ niche. The performance of such models is greatly affected by the nature of species distributional and environmental data. Regional scale distribution models were developed for 30 willow species in Ontario to examine (i) the predictive ability of logistic regression analysis, and (ii) the effects of using different distributional and environmental data sets. Two original measures of model accuracy and over-prediction were employed and evaluated using independent data. Models based on unique combinations of monthly climate data predicted distributions most accurately for all species. Models based on a fixed set of variables, while generating the highest average probabilities of occurrence for certain species with limited ranges, resulted in the greatest under- and over-estimates of willow distributions. Comparisons of models demonstrated climatic patterns among willows of differing habit and habitat. The distribution of dwarf willow species, present only in the Ontario arctic, followed gradients of summer maximum temperatures. The distribution of the tree species in the southerly portions of the province followed gradients of fall and winter minimum temperatures. Regardless of distributional and environmental data input, no algorithm maximized model performance for all species. Individual species models require individual approaches; i.e., the variable selection technique, the set of environmental factors used as predictors, and the nature of species distributional data must be carefully matched to the intended application. An understanding of evolutionary processes enhances the meaningful interpretation of individual species models. Unless sampling bias and species prevalence can be accounted for, models based on collection point data are best used to guide field surveys. While inferred range data may be better suited to determine potential ecological niches, overestimation of species prevalence and environmental tolerance must be recognized. A combination of available distributional data types is recommended to best determine species niches, an important step in developing conservation strategies.  相似文献   
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This paper presents an approach that allows production of benthic substrate and habitat maps in fjord environments. This approach is used to support the management of the Gilbert Bay Marine Protected Area (MPA) in southeastern Labrador, Atlantic Canada. Multibeam sonar-derived bathymetry, seabed slope, and acoustic reflectance (backscatter) were combined using supervised classification methods and GIS with ground-truthed benthic sampling in order to derive maps of the substrates and main benthic habitats. Six acoustically distinct substrate types were identified in the fjord, and three additional substrate types without a unique acoustic signature were recognized. Ordination by multidimensional scaling and analysis of similarity generalized these to four acoustically distinct habitat types. Greatest within-habitat (alpha) diversity was found in the coralline-algae encrusted gravel habitat. Greatest between-habitat (beta) diversity was found in the management Zones 1 and 2, which have the highest level of protection. The study confirmed that the zoning plan for the MPA, which was designed to protect spawning and juvenile fish habitat for a local genetically distinct population of Atlantic cod, afforded highest levels of protection to areas with highest habitat diversity.  相似文献   
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We report a multiplex family with a GATA1 gene mutation responsible for a massive fetal cerebral hemorrhage occurring at 36 weeks. Two other stillbirth cousins presented with fetal hydrops and congenital hemochromatosis' phenotype at 37 and 12 weeks of gestation. Molecular screening revealed the presence of a c.613G>A pathogenic allelic variation in exon 4 of GATA1 gene in the 3 male siblings and their carrier mothers. The diagnosis of a GATA1 gene mutation may be suspected in cases of male fetuses with intracerebral bleeding, particularly if a history of prior fetal loss(es) and mild maternal thrombocytopenia are also present.  相似文献   
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Road accidents sustained at work represent between 20% and 40% of work fatalities in most industrialised countries, yet few data on occupational road accident risk factors have been published. A case control study was performed to assess the role of work-related risk factors in the occurrence of occupational road accidents. A preliminary qualitative study was carried out to identify possible occupational factors in occupational road accidents, and to draw up the case control study. Cases were recruited from the Rhône road trauma registry (France), controls from voting lists. A telephone interview was performed. Exposure to road risk was measured as a percentage of work time. One hundred and forty-six cases and 440 matched controls were interviewed. Accident risk was found to increase with exposure. Driving was associated with more difficult working conditions than found in jobs not involving driving. These difficulties, however, were not systematically associated with increased occupational road accident risk. Among factors which still emerge after adjustment for road risk exposure, there are scheduling issues (inflexible schedule organisation, lack of consecutive rest-days, lack of flexibility in performing the work), difficulties of communication with superiors, low seniority in the activity, low educational level and physical constraints at work. This study highlights some possible occupational road accident risk factors. Given the chosen case/control methodology, the findings may be considered as advancing our knowledge of the subject, but need confirmation by further studies.  相似文献   
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Air quality monitoring is currently ensured by captors measuring few physicochemical parameters, then they cannot evaluate unforeseen compounds and the interaction effects of pollutants. On the contrary, the use of bioindicators can answer these problems. Among them, plants are used in two ways:1) Passive bioindicators: trees, lichens and mosses are used to determine the distribution and even the contaminants long-term effects on vast zones and, possibly, the concentrations of pollutants to which they were exposed.2) Active bioindicators: tobacco and mosses make available the defective zones in plants and enable determination of deposition fluxes.Moreover, techniques based on biomarkers identification should increase the answer's sensitivity. However, the plants present the disadvantage of being unable to provide a response in a time lapse comparable with that of the on-line analysers. Lastly, the development of tools using animal cells should allow, in the near future, to measure the total polluting load under conditions close to those of the routine techniques. Then, the real impact of the contaminant on public health could be approached.  相似文献   
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