土壤侵蚀信息系统的结构设计

本文介绍了黄土地区土壤侵蚀信息系统的建造原理与方法。分析探讨了土壤侵蚀各因子计算机自动提取的算法，以及土壤侵蚀预测模型的构造方法，并用灰色控制系统的原理确定了模型的参数。并以山西省离石县王家沟流域羊道沟为例进行了试验研究。     

浅埋衬砌隧道-邻近建筑地震动力相互作用IBEM模拟

采用高精度间接边界元方法(IBEM)考察地震波入射下隧道-邻近建筑物二维地震动力相互作用的规律。结果表明:建筑物与邻近隧道存在着明显的相互作用,整体动力反应规律取决于隧道,建筑物之间的空间位置关系、隧道埋深、入射波的频率和角度等因素。隧道位于建筑物正下方时,刚性衬砌隧道(相对围岩)对上部结构主要表现为隔震效应;隧道位于建筑物两侧时,隧道对建筑顶部位移有明显放大效应,最大可放大约40%。同时隧道应力也明显增大,最大可放大约43%。因此实际中需根据隧道-建筑物的空间位置关系,适当调整衬砌隧道与沿线建筑物的抗震设防水平。     

学业·生活·健康

“日出而作,日落而息。”这是千百年来人们适应环境的健康指南。由此可见“夜生活”、“开夜车”会损害身体健康。据了解、调查、询问,当今在校大学生熬夜已很普遍,并已养成了习惯。在现实生活中,有不少人往往在学业或事业获得成功的时候,却失去了健康,甚至英才早逝。     

Rank regression analysis of correlated water quality data from South East Queensland

With growing population and fast urbanization in Australia, it is a challenging task to maintain our water quality. It is essential to develop an appropriate statistical methodology in analyzing water quality data in order to draw valid conclusions and hence provide useful advices in water management. This paper is to develop robust rank-based procedures for analyzing nonnormally distributed data collected over time at different sites. To take account of temporal correlations of the observations within sites, we consider the optimally combined estimating functions proposed by Wang and Zhu (Biometrika, 93:459–464, 2006) which leads to more efficient parameter estimation. Furthermore, we apply the induced smoothing method to reduce the computational burden. Smoothing leads to easy calculation of the parameter estimates and their variance-covariance matrix. Analysis of water quality data from Total Iron and Total Cyanophytes shows the differences between the traditional generalized linear mixed models and rank regression models. Our analysis also demonstrates the advantages of the rank regression models for analyzing nonnormal data.     

构建适应保护资源的政策法律新框架

本文分析了我国资源保护的特殊要求;认为我国进入了强化资源保护阶段,资源保护立法必须适应这个阶段;在此基础上,提出了我国资源保护政策法律新体制的基本构想和建议。     

基于实测光谱分析和MODIS数据鄱阳湖叶绿素a浓度估算

基于遥感的大面积水体监测技术为水环境监测提供了一种有效手段。以鄱阳湖为研究区,以反映水体营养状态的重要指标叶绿素a为研究对象,在测定研究区水体光谱及叶绿素a浓度和收集了相应时间的MODIS数据的基础上,采用浮游藻类指数法（Floating Algae Index,FAI）提取鄱阳湖水体范围,对鄱阳湖水体实测光谱数据进行剔除异常、归一化及光谱微分处理,构建波段差值、比值、归一化差值等光谱指数,利用最小二乘原理迭代分析水体叶绿素光谱响应特征,得出敏感波段范围：673～680 nm与650～665 nm、680～710 nm与650～670 nm、662～671 nm与700～720 nm光谱区间组合。选择最佳通道组合,建立基于MODIS影像的鄱阳湖叶绿素a浓度反演模型,相关系数为067。应用该模型得到2011年秋季鄱阳湖的叶绿素浓度估算值,反演结果显示湖区水体叶绿素浓度总体不高,且在空间分布上湖区水体周边与陆地交界处比湖中心区浓度偏高。分析认为：通过对实测光谱的定量分析,获得对鄱阳湖地区水体叶绿素浓度的光谱特征认识,揭示出其反射光谱的长波漂移现象,为鄱阳湖这一富营养化程度底,且水体分布不均匀区域建立一种叶绿素浓度反演方法,可为该区域长期的水环境管理提供方法借鉴     

钢结构梁柱节点抗火性能研究进展与展望∗

钢结构不耐火,在一定程度上制约了钢结构的应用和发展。为了探明钢结构在火灾下的工作性能,对钢结构基本构件的抗火性能进行了大量研究,提出了相应的设计理论与方法。梁柱节点是钢结构中十分关键的部位,在火灾下的可靠连接是保证钢结构火灾安全的重要前提。为了全面了解钢结构梁柱节点在火灾下的受力性能和破坏机理,从试验研究、有限元模拟和组件分析法三个方面系统地梳理了国内外关于节点抗火性能的研究进展。比较了高温下不同类型节点的力学性能,探讨了多种关键参数对节点在火灾下工作性能的影响规律,介绍了不同类型节点的高温组件分析模型以及弯矩―转角曲线数学模型。分析表明:节点构造形式对钢框架火灾安全有较大影响;通过设置柱腹板加劲肋、提高螺栓强度等级以及增加连接件的厚度等可以有效地提高节点的抗火性能。最后剖析了钢结构梁柱节点抗火研究中存在的不足,对未来值得关注和重视的关键问题提出展望。     

Particulate matter pollution in Kunshan High-Tech zone: Source apportionment with trace elements, plume evolution and its monitoring

Particulate matter(PM) in the Kunshan High-Tech zone is studied during a three-month campaign. PM and trace elements are measured by the online pollution monitoring, forecastwarning and source term retrieval system AS3. Hourly measured concentrations of PM_(10), PM_(2.5) and 16 trace elements in the PM_(2.5) section(Ca, Pb, Cu, Cl, V, Cr, Fe, Ti, Mn, Ni, Zn, Ga, As, Se, Sr, Ba)are focused. Source apportionment of trace elements by Positive Matrix Factorization modeling indicates that there are five major sources, including dust, industrial processing, traffic,combustion, and sea salt with contribution rate of 23.68%, 21.66%, 14.30%, 22.03%, and 6.89%,respectively. Prediction of plume dispersion from concrete plant and traffic emissions shows that PM_(10) pollution of concrete plant is three orders of magnitude more than that of the traffic. The influence range can extend to more than 3 km in 1 hr. Because the footprint of the industrial plumes is constantly moving according to the local meteorological conditions, the fixed monitoring sites scattered in a few hundred meters haven't captured the heaviest pollution plume at the local scale of a few km~2. As a more intensive monitoring network is not operationally possible, the use of online modeling gives accurate and quantitative information of plume location, which increases the spatial pollution monitoring capacity and improves the understanding of measurement data. These results indicate that the development of the AS3 system, which combines monitoring equipment and air pollution modeling systems, is beneficial to the real-time pollution monitoring in the industrial zone.     

天津地区土壤中萘的生态风险分析

以天津地区表土188个样点的实测萘浓度以及萘对10种代表性土壤生物的半致死浓度为基础资料,尝试用3种方式评价了该地区土壤中萘的生态风险.并进行了方法学比较.研究结果发现,暴露浓度和毒性效应概率密度函数的重叠面积与联合概率曲线一致地反映出很低的生态风险,准确计算的暴露浓度超过LC50的概率仅为1.67%.结果说明该地区土壤萘的生态风险极低,仅严重污染的局部地区可能发生最敏感生物种受害.用于进行风险评价的3种方法各有利弊.     

北京市大气PM2.5中矿物成分的污染特征

为了解北京市大气细粒子中矿物成分的浓度水平和污染特征,在清华园和车公庄进行了连续1a的PM_2.5累积周采样和全样品分析.Al、Si、Ca、Mg和Fe等地壳元素的周变化相似,最大周均浓度均出现在春季有强沙尘天气的一周;其季节变化显著,显示季节性的源排放以及气象条件对矿物成分的含量影响显著.土壤尘的季节平均浓度从夏季逐步上升,至次年春季达到最高(21.1 μg·m^-3),表明春季频繁发生的沙尘天气对土壤尘细粒子有重要贡献.大量的建筑活动可能大大增加了北京细粒子中Ca的负荷,应加强其排放控制.