长江口湿地生态系统服务功能价值的评估

长江口湿地是我国重要的滨海湿地，具有多种生态服务功能。参考Costanza等提出的17项生态系统服务功能，利用市场价值法、造林成本法、影子工程法、费用替代法以及专家评估法等方法．对长江口湿地生态价值进行了评估。结果表明，长江口湿地生态系统的生态服务价值为40．00亿元/a。其中，成陆造地价值为9．0亿元/a，物质生产价值8．86亿元/a，大气组分调节价值为1．15亿元/a，水分调节价值为1．54亿元/a，净化水体价值为3．4l亿元/a，提供栖息地价值为2．86亿元/a，文化科研价值为8．38亿元/a，美学价值为4．81亿元/a。并提出对生态系统服务价值的利用应本着可持续发展的原则。     

长江三角洲地区城市化对洪灾风险的影响评价

在长江三角洲地区选择了里下河、秦淮河、武澄锡虞、浦东浦西、杭嘉湖和甬曹浦6个城市化典型区域,以1991、2001和2006年3个城市化发展阶段为代表,采用指标体系评价法研究了城市化对洪灾风险的影响。通过基于洪灾形成机制构建洪灾风险评价指标体系,采用层次分析法确定指标权重,计算得到洪灾危险性、暴露性、脆弱性和综合风险的评价结果。表明在城市化过程中,6个典型区域的洪水危险性和承灾体暴露性均有增加趋势,其中承灾体暴露性增加显著;尽管各区域的承灾体脆弱性随着防洪减灾能力的提升而有所降低,但综合洪灾风险总体上仍呈现加剧的态势,对城市可持续发展构成威胁。最后,结合评价结论提出了长江三角洲城市化地区洪灾风险管理的若干建议     

Consequence analysis by means of characteristic curves to determine the damage to buildings from bursting spherical vessels

Since the damage suffered by buildings as a consequence of explosions usually affect the people inside them, it is important to take it into account when performing consequence analysis. The aim of this paper is to provide a methodology to estimate consequences to buildings from pressure waves produced by spherical vessel burst. This is done by combining characteristic overpressure–impulse–distance curves [González Ferradás, E., Diaz Alonso, F., Sanchez Perez, J.F., Miñana Aznar, A., Ruiz Gimeno, J. and Martinez Alonso, J., 2006, Characteristic overpressure–impulse–distance curves for vessel burst, Process Safety Progress, 25(3): 250–254] with PROBIT equations. The main advantage of this methodology is that it allows an overview of all the magnitudes involved, as damage is shown in the same graph as the overpressure, impulse and distance. In this paper diagrams and equations are presented to determine minor damage to buildings (broken windows, displacement of doors and window frames, tile displacement, etc.), major structural damage (cracks in walls, collapse of some walls) and collapse (the damage is so extensive that the building is partially or totally demolished).     

LFX-20型逆燃式医疗废物焚烧炉二恶英实测分析

概述我国目前医疗废物焚烧处置中的主要炉型,着重介绍LFX-20型逆燃式焚烧炉焚烧处置医疗废物的实际运行工况。在1燃室、2燃室平均温度分别为869.5℃和898.7℃条件下,对医疗废物焚烧烟气进行检测。各项常规指标均低于国标限值,二恶英检测中其质量浓度实测值为15ng/m3,相应毒性当量为0.46ngTEQ/m3,同时对医疗废物焚烧后产生烟气中二恶英和灰渣的检测结果进行了分析,焚烧后底渣体积约为焚烧前医疗废物体积的1/10,重量为原来的12%～18%,飞灰热灼减率为34.6%,并给出分析结果。     

时间序列模型在火警短期预测中的应用

基于某市的119火警数据,采用时间序列模型中的ARIMA算法进行了分析.计算结果表明,该市119火警数据的天序列服从ARIMA(0,1,2)模型,周序列服从ARIMA(1,0,0)模型.从模型对数据的拟合效果来看,ARIMA模型较为准确的反映了数据序列的发展趋势.采用这两种模型对数据序列分别进行了短期的预测,其预测值与实际结果在趋势上基本一致,研究表明采用周序列预测的效果要好于天序列.基于时序模型的火警预测方法是实现时火灾应急处置中关口前移的重要措施.     

集对分析法在河流水质评价中的应用

为了解决集对分析法在环境质量评价中应用的问题,用集对分析法建立了河流水质评价模型,并应用该模型对阜新市大凌河支流4个断面监测点的7种污染因子监测结果进行实例分析.结果表明,各断面水质评价级别均为Ⅴ级.研究表明,采用集对分析法进行水质评价准确可靠,信息利用率高,具有客观性和合理性.因此,集对分析理论为河流水质综合评价提供了一种新的思路,所用理论方法和所建模型也可推广应用于其他领域.     

我国森林火灾预测及风险分析

根据近年来我国森林火灾统计数据显示,森林火灾造成的损失相当严重.文中首先运用灰色理论GM(1,1)模型预测我国森林火灾发生的总体趋势,结果显示我国森林火灾发生总次数及受灾面积呈现增长趋势,而重大火灾和特大火灾的总次数呈现减少的趋势.然后运用层次分析法(AHP)对影响森林火灾发生的各个因素进行分析,通过计算其综合权值,从而确定各个诱导因素的影响程度.最后,根据风险分析的结果提出一些合理的对策措施,不仅有利于对森林火灾的预防,而且可以减少因火灾造成的损失.     

Genotoxicity of leachates from highly polluted lowland river sediments destined for disposal in landfill

The Matanza-Riachuelo is one of the most polluted rivers of Latin America. The complex chemical mixture of pollutants discharged into the river is accumulated in the river sediments. In this paper, Matanza-Riachuelo river sediment composition and genotoxicity were tested in order to develop a cost-effective, environmentally sound option for disposal and management of contaminated dredged materials. Sampling was performed in a rural area, in a solid waste dumpsite and also in an urban and industrial area. The concentrations of total heavy metals increased from the upper basin to the lower basin. The Ames Salmonella typhimurium test and the Saccharomyces cerevisiae D7 test were performed using toxicity characteristic leachate procedure (TCLP) leachates. The concentrations of copper, lead, and chromium in the leachates exceeded the guide levels for the protection of aquatic life. Low concentrations of organic chlorinated compounds were detected in the leachates. Genotoxic profiles were obtained by testing TCLP leachates from polluted sediment samples with Salmonella typhimurium, Saccharomyces cerevisiae D7, and water sediment suspension with Allium cepa test. No mutagenicity effects on Ames test were observed. Gene conversion and mitotic reversion in Saccharomyces cerevisiae D7 and chromosome aberration in Allium cepa were induced by the sediment samples. Results obtained suggest that dredged sediments could be classified as genotoxic hazardous waste.     

Effects of municipal solid waste compost and sewage sludge on chemical and spectroscopic properties of humic acids from a sandy Haplic Podzol and a clay loam Calcic Vertisol in Portugal

The effects of amendment with municipal solid waste compost (MSWC) and anaerobically digested sewage sludge (SS) on the compositional and structural features of soil humic acids (HAs) were investigated. For this purpose, HAs were isolated from MSWC, SS, and two different Portuguese soils, a sandy Haplic Podzol and a clay loam Calcic Vertisol, which were either unamended or amended with MSWC or SS at a rate of 60tha(-1). The isolated HAs were analyzed for elemental and acidic functional group composition, and by ultraviolet/visible, Fourier transform infrared (FT IR), and fluorescence spectroscopies. The application of MSWC and especially SS to soils determined an increase of C, N, H, and S contents and E(4)/E(6) ratios (i.e., ratios of absorbances at 465 and 665nm), and a decrease of O, COOH, and phenolic OH contents and C/N, C/H, and O/C ratios of soil HAs. The FT IR and fluorescence results showed that the organic amendments, especially SS, caused an increase of the aliphatic character and a decrease of the degrees of aromatic polycondensation, polymerization, and humification of amended soil HAs. Both MSWC and SS affected more markedly the clayey soil HAs than the sandy soil HAs, possibly due to less extended mineralization processes and the protective action of clay minerals on amended soil HAs.     

碱性氧化焙烧回收含铬污泥中的铬

采用碱性氧化焙烧工艺回收含铬污泥中的铬,以浸出渣作为焙烧填料,最佳工艺条件为：含铬污泥加入量10g,浸出渣加入量8g,焙烧温度700℃,焙烧时间40min,n（Cr2O3）：n（NaNO3）：n（Na2CO3）：n（NaOH）=1：2：3．5：10。在此条件下,碱性氧化焙烧工艺铬浸出率高达98％以上。