中国西南不同湿地类型水鸟多样性评价

水鸟是反映湿地生态系统健康的指标之一,对不同湿地水鸟多样性进行评价能提出有利于湿地生态系统健康良性发展的湿地管理措施,亦能更好地保护水鸟资源。为缓解近年来中国自然湿地退化和消失的问题,中国政府积极推进实施了大量修复自然湿地和新建人工湿地的工程。然而受限于人力、物力和经费,当前对自然湿地和人工湿地水鸟多样性的系统调查和评价多局限于单一地点或局部区域。因水鸟的分布具有地域性,从地域尺度进行不同湿地类型水鸟多样性评价将更为客观,公众科学数据为区域大尺度数据获取提供了可能。本研究借助中国观鸟记录中心数据,比较了2014年1月至2018年2月中国西南4省(市)自然湿地和人工湿地的水鸟物种多样性和组成相似性;结果共记录到9目19科139种水鸟,其中有94.96%的物种分布于自然湿地,67.63%的物种分布于人工湿地;各类群水鸟在自然湿地中的物种数均高于人工湿地。结果说明自然湿地在水鸟保护中具有重要栖息地功能,人工湿地能为大部分水鸟提供栖息地,但不能完全代替自然湿地。自然湿地中的湖泊湿地、河流湿地和沼泽化草甸以及人工湿地中的水库、城市人工景观水面和娱乐水面是水鸟,特别是受威胁水鸟分布的重要湿地类型;建议政府部门重点对上述湿地亚类进行合理的规划和管理。     

上海市2003年生态足迹计算与分析

本文应用Wackernagel等提出的生态足迹概念和方法对上海区2003年的生态足迹和承载力进行计算和分析。结果表明,2003年上海市人均生态足迹为3．36hm^2,人均生态承载力为0．46hm^2。在此基础上提出了减缓上海市生态赤字的一系列措施,最后对模型的完善作出了展望。     

五氯苯酚对原生动物群落的毒性研究

五氯苯酚(PCP)是一种曾被广泛使用的木材防腐剂、杀菌剂和除草剂,目前已经造成了世界范围内土壤和水体的污染.以生物曝气池原生动物群落为靶生物对五氯苯酚进行了12小时急性毒性试验研究,结果表明,此原生动物群落急性中毒的最大无致死和最小全致死浓度范围是0.4￣40mg·L-1,半数致死浓度为2.40mg·L-1.在PCP染毒条件下,原生动物群落结构表现出简单化趋势,随着PCP浓度的增加,原生动物种类越来越少.肉足类原生动物对PCP耐受能力最差,鞭毛类稍强,纤毛类耐受能力最好,且PCP浓度越大,其耐受优势越明显.     

基于GIS的台风灾害损失评估模型研究

由于台风灾害所造成的损失有些是无法用精确的数学模型来描述,其损失可能是一个区间值。为准确及时地了解台风灾害过程中可能造成灾害损失等级的大小,选择了降水量、降水强度、最大风速、经济易损性作为评价的指标。采用可拓分析方法,将评价指标及其特征值作为物元,通过计算综合关联度判断灾害损失的等级;建立基于GIS的台风灾害损失评估模型,以实现台风灾害的动态评估。     

全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃对长江寸滩站以上流域径流的影响

基于多领域间影响模型比较计划推荐使用的4个全球气候模式GCM数据（GFDL、Had、IPSL和MIROC),分别驱动SWIM、SWAT、HBV和VIC水文模型模拟长江寸滩站以上流域径流量,研究全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃情景下研究区径流量变化。研究表明：（1）在全球升温1.5℃时,水文模型和GCMs模拟的年径流量增幅分别在 5.5%~8.3%和3.5%~11.4%之间;在全球升温2.0℃时,水文模型模拟的径流量增幅在4.8%~6.7%,IPSL模拟的年径流量呈微弱减少趋势,HAD和MIROC模拟的年径流量分别增加6.7%和19%。来自GCMs的不确定性分别是来自水文模型的2.6和 2.1倍;（2）在两个不同升温条件下,月径流量集合平均的占比与基准期各月径流量的占比表现出高度一致性,但是升温1.5℃和2.0℃时的月最大径流量占比分别为47.8%和40.5%,表明在未来升温时段内,月径流量占比变化并不显著,但是极端月径流的变化较大;（3）全球升温1.5℃时,枯、丰水期日径流量增幅分别为3%和10%,但枯、丰水期径流贡献率变化幅度都不大。全球升温2.0℃时,枯、丰水期增幅分别为3.6%和8%,但枯、丰水期径流贡献率都呈下降趋势。全球升温1.5℃和2.0℃时,50年一遇（P=2%）的洪水流量,将分别比基准期增加26.3%和20.7%。基准期50年一遇的洪水将可能变成20年一遇,多年平均最大日径流量较基准期也有增加。     

Pathway and policy analysis to China’s deep decarbonization

The Paris Agreement marks the beginning of a new era in the global response to climate change, which further clarifies the long-term goal and underlines the urgency addressing climate change. For China, promoting the decoupling between economic growth and carbon emissions as soon as possible is not only the core task of achieving the medium- and long-term goals and strategies to address climate change, but also the inevitable requirement for ensuring the sustainable development of economy and society. Based on the analysis of the historical trends of the economy and social development, as well as society, energy consumption, and key end-use sectors in China, this paper studies the deep carbon emission reduction potential of carbon emission of in energy, industry, building, and transportation and other sectors with “bottom-up” modeling analysis and proposes a medium- and long-term deep decarbonization pathway based on key technologies’ mitigation potentials for China. It is found that under deep decarbonization pathway, China will successfully realize the goals set in China’s Intended Nationally Determined Contributions of achieving carbon emissions peak around 2030 and lowering carbon dioxide emissions per unit of gross domestic product (GDP) by 60–65% from the 2005 level. From 2030 onward, the development of nonfossil energy will further accelerates, and the share of nonfossil energies in primary energy will amounts to about 44% by 2050. Combined with the acceleration of low-carbon transformation in end-use sectors including industry, building, and transportation, the carbon dioxide emissions in 2050 will fall to the level before 2005, and the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP will decreases by more than 90% from the 2005 level. To ensure the realization of the deep decarbonization pathway, this paper puts forward policy recommendations from four perspectives, including intensifying the total carbon dioxide emissions cap and strengthening the related institutional systems and regulations, improving the incentive policies for industrial low-carbon development, enhancing the role of the market mechanism, and advocating low-carbon life and consumption patterns.     

Using the IPAT identity and decoupling analysis to estimate water footprint variations for five major food crops in China from 1978 to 2010

Evaluations of water footprint (WF) used to enhance performance of policies on water utilization will benefit from combining WF analysis with methods from sustainability analysis. For this purpose, this paper analyzes the WF of China’s five main food crops, which together account for roughly 33 % of the nation’s water consumption. We assess distributional equity at the provincial scale and use the IPAT identity and a decoupling analysis to assess the scale of both national and provincial WF consumption, the factors influencing the WF fluctuation, and the efficiency of water allocation. Results show that although it is difficult in the short term to end the unsustainable WFs of China’s five main food crops, more efficient allocation can be achieved through appropriate agricultural policy modification. In the long term, distributional equity at the provincial level must be the key factor in achieving sustainable agriculture in China.     

Pollution of hazardous substances in industrial construction and demolition wastes and their multi-path risk within an abandoned pesticide manufacturing plant

Exploration of heavy metals and organic pollutants, their leaching capacity along with health and environmental risks in contaminated industrial construction and demolition waste (ICDW) within a pesticide manufacturing plant were investigated. A maximum content of 90.8 mg?kg^–1 Cd was found present in the wastes, which might originate from phosphorus rocks and industrial sulfuric acid used in pesticide production processes. An average concentration of 979.8 mg?kg^–1 dichlorovos and other 11 organophosphorus pesticide were also detected. Relatively high leaching rates of around 4.14‰were obtained from laboratory simulated ICDW using both glacial acetic acid-sodium hydroxide and deionized water. Pesticide pollutants had the strongest tendency to retaining on dry bricks (leaching rate 1.68‰) compared to mortar-coatings, etc. due to their different physical characteristics and octanol-water partioning coefficient. Mobility of pesticide from on-site ICDW by water was spatially correlated to waste types, process sections and human activities, with a flux of leaching rate between 5.9‰ to 27.4%. Risk-based corrective action (RBCA) model was used to simulate the risk of contaminated ICDW debris randomly scattered. Oral and dermal ingestion amount by local workers was 9.8 × 10^–3 and 1.9 × 10^–2 mg?(kg?d)^–1, respectively. Potential leaching risk to aquatic systems exceeded the limit for nearly 75% waste. Environmental and health risk exceedance was found in most ICDW, while the risk value of the most severely contaminated brick waste was 660 times beyond critical level. Implications for waste management involving construction and deconstruction work, waste transferring and regulation supplying were also provided.

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可见光下氮掺杂罗丹明B分子印迹TiO_2的选择性光催化性能

采用溶胶-凝胶法和分子印迹技术,以尿素为氮源、罗丹明B为模板分子制备了氮掺杂罗丹明B分子印迹TiO_2粉末(N-TiO_2-RhB),并对样品进行了XRD、UV-Vis DRS和BET表征。表征结果显示:氮掺杂和分子印迹一定程度改善了样品的孔隙结构和孔径分布,N-TiO_2-RhB的比表面积和孔体积分别为TiO_2的1.9倍和1.5倍;氮掺杂使TiO_2的光吸收带边发生红移,而分子印迹不能改变催化剂的光吸收带边。N-TiO_2-RhB具有最佳的可见光活性和选择性,对罗丹明B的降解率高达92.7%。对罗丹明B、罗丹明6G、甲基紫和甲基绿的降解过程均符合一级反应动力学方程。     

水污染分析校准用汞溶液的研制

研制了水污染分析校准用汞溶液。采用原子荧光光谱法对样品进行了均匀性和稳定性检验,对样品的量值进行了验证并进行了不确定度评定。检验结果表明:汞溶液均匀性良好,室温条件下可稳定36个月以上;样品的标准值为100 mg/L,扩展不确定度为2 mg/L。样品量值与美国AccuStandard公司同种标准物质具有一致性。可用于水中汞检测的测定标准、质量控制、分析方法研究以及实验室能力验证等方面。