Flood risk,climate change and settlement development: a micro-scale assessment of Austrian municipalities

This paper analyses the influence of climate change and land development on future flood risk for selected Austrian flood-prone municipalities. As part of an anticipatory micro-scale risk assessment we simulated four different inundation scenarios for current and future 100- and 300-year floods (which included a climate change allowance), developed scenarios of future settlement growth in floodplains and evaluated changes in flood damage potentials and flood risk until the year 2030. Findings show that both climate change and settlement development significantly increase future levels of flood risk. However, the respective impacts vary strongly across the different cases. The analysis indicates that local conditions, such as the topography of the floodplain, the spatial allocation of vulnerable land uses or the type of land development (e.g. residential, commercial or industrial) in the floodplain are the key determinants of the respective effects of climate change and land development on future levels of flood risk. The case study analysis highlights the general need for a more comprehensive consideration of the local determinants of flood risk in order to increase the effectiveness of an adaptive management of flood risk dynamics.     

Automotive Emissions After Hot and Cold Starts in Summer and Winter

Randomly selected passenger automobiles were driven over a 7.5-mile composite route in Cincinnati, Ohio. Samples of the exhaust gases were collected from each car by means of a proportional sampler and analyzed for gross hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, and oxides of nitrogen. In addition, detailed analysis of the hydrocarbons was made. This included parafins, 1 through 8 carbon, olefins, 2 through 6 carbon, and aromatics, 6 through 10 carbon. This paper compares the differences in these emissions immediately after starting with “cold” engines as opposed to emissions from cars started with engines already warmed up or “hot.” This determination was made under both cold and warm weather conditions. A comparison is also made in air pollutants emitted from cars driven under the summer as opposed to the winter conditions normally encountered in Cincinnati, Ohio.     

Performance of Exhaust Control Devices on 1966 Model Passenger Cars

Road tests have been carried out in five different cities with a fleet of 300 passenger cars consisting of three different makes, half of which are equipped with the 1966 exhaust control devices required by the state of California. The performance of these devices during the first series of tests has been evaluated. All three makes of device-equipped cars produced significantly lower emissions of hydrocarbons and carbon monoxide than did similar cars tested in 1962 and 1963. There were no consistent differences among the three makes of cars with respect to carbon monoxide and hydrocarbon emissions.     

An Air Quality Data Analysis System for Interrelating Effects,Standards, and Needed Source Reductions: Part 3. Vegetation Injury

Acute leaf injury data are analyzed for 19 plant species exposed to ozone or sulfur dioxide. The data can be depicted by a new leaf injury mathematical model with two characteristics: (1) a constant percentage of leaf surface is injured by an air pollutant concentration that is inversely proportional to exposure duration raised to an exponent; (2) for a given exposure duration, the percent leaf injury as a function of pollutant concentration tends to fit a lognormal frequency distribution. Leaf injury as a function of laboratory exposure duration is modeled and compared with ambient air pollutant concentration measurements for various averaging times to determine which exposure durations are probably most important for setting ambient air quality standards to prevent or reduce visible leaf injury. The 8 hour average appears to be most important for most of the plants investigated for most sites, 1 hr concentrations are important for most plants at a few sites, and 3 hr S0₂ concentrations are important for some plants, especially those exposed to isolated point sources of the pollutant. The 1, 3, and 8 hr threshold injury concentrations are listed for each of the 19 plant species studied. To prevent or reduce acute leaf injury, fixed, nonoverlapping ambient air quality measurements and standards are recommended for averaging times of 1, 3, and 8hr.     

An Air Quality Data Analysis System for Interrelating Effects,Standards, and Needed Source Reductions: Part 8. An Effective Mean O3 Crop Reduction Mathematical Model

A plant injury mathematical model, applied previously to acute and chronic leaf injury data, is used here to model National Crop Loss Assessment Network (NCLAN) data for 15 cultivars and to calculate species parameters from the cultivar analyses. Percent crop yield reduction is estimated as a function of a new parameter, the effective mean O₃ concentration: m_e = [(Σ c_h ^?1/v)/n]^?v, where c_h is the hourly average ambient O₃ concentration for each daytime hour (defined here as 9:00 A.M.–4:00 P.M., always standard time) of data available at an air sampling site for summer (defined here as June 1–August 31), n is the total number of such available hours, and v is an exposure time-concentration parameter, calculated here to be approximately –0.376. Crop yield reduction for soybean is calculated here as z = 0.478 In (tm_e ^2-66) – 0.42, where z is the Gaussian transform of percent crop reduction, t is the hours of exposure (525 h is used here; 7 h/day for 75 days), and In indicates that the natural logarithm is taken of the quantity within parentheses. Crop yield reductions for seven plant species are estimated with similar equations for each of the 1824 site-years of 1981–1983 hourly O₃ concentration data available in the National Aerometric Data Bank (NADB). County-average effective mean O₃ concentrations are indicated by shading on a U.S. map. State-average O₃ parameters and estimated percent crop yield reductions are tabulated. The National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) for O₃ specifies that, on the average, the second highest daily maximum 1-h average O₃ concentration in a year shall not exceed 0.12 ppm. For years 1981-1983,71% of the NADB sites recorded annual second highest daily maximum 1-h average O3 concentrations below 0.125 ppm (for summer daytime hours). Ambient O₃ concentrations reduced the total U.S. crop yield an estimated 5% for years 1981–1983. (Summer, daytime, and all acronyms are always used herein as defined above.)     

An Air Quality Data Analysis System for Interrelating Effects,Standards, and Needed Source Reductions: Part 10. Potential Ambient O3 Standards to Limit Soybean Crop Reduction

Soybean percent crop reduction was estimated as a function of ambient O₃ concentrations for each of 80 agricultural sites in the National Aerometric Data Bank (NADB) for each available year of data for years 1981-1985. Fourteen O₃ concentration statistics were calculated for each of the resulting 320 site-years of data. The two statistics that correlated best with estimated crop reduction were an effective mean O₃ concentration (1 percent of variance unexplained) and an arithmetic mean O₃ concentration (4 percent unexplained). The worst correlation of the 14 was for the statistic used in the present O₃ National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS), the second highest daily maximum 1-h O₃ concentration (42 percent unexplained). The number of site-years for estimated percent soybean yield reductions was plotted versus increasing O₃ concentrations for each of the 14 O₃ statistics. A maximum crop reduction line was drawn on each plot. These lines were used to estimate (and list) potential ambient O₃ standards for each of the 14 statistics that would limit soybean crop reduction at agricultural. NADB sites to 5, 10, 15, or 20 percent.     

Static Leaching of Solidified/Stabilized Hazardous Waste from the Soliditech Process

WILT, ANS 16.1 and TCLP leach tests were performed on solidified/stabilized (s/s) wastes treated by Soliditech, Inc. of Houston, Texas as part of a U.S. EPA SITE demonstration project conducted in December 1988 at the Imperial Oil Company/ Champion Chemical Company Superfund site in Morganville, New Jersey. All three leaching tests performed on the s/s wastes indicated that the primary contaminants of concern (lead and PCBs) were not leachable. The ANS 16.1 static leach test for the s/s wastes provided diffusion coefficients (D_e) for Al, Ca, and Na that were comparable to those obtained from the WILT test. However, plots of the ANS 16.1 data indicated that wetting of the samples confounded the static leaching process. The large column WILT D_e was used to estimate that less than 0.8 μg/cm² lead would leach from a one-cubic yard block of s/s waste in contact with groundwater over a 60-month leaching period. This corresponds to concentrations less than 10 μg/L lead in the water contacting the block of s/s waste.