Fish forewarning of comprehensive toxicity in water environment based on Bayesian sequential method

Environmental impact of pollutants can be analyzed effectively by acquiring fish behavioral signals in water with biological behavior sensors. However, a variety of factors, such as the complexity of biological organisms themselves, the device error and the environmental noise, may compromise the accuracy and timeliness of model predictions. The current methods lack prior knowledge about the fish behavioral signals corresponding to characteristic pollutants, and in the event of a pollutant invasion, the fish behavioral signals are poorly discriminated. Therefore, we propose a novel method based on Bayesian sequential, which utilizes multi-channel prior knowledge to calculate the outlier sequence based on wavelet feature followed by calculating the anomaly probability of observed values. Furthermore, the relationship between the anomaly probability and toxicity is analyzed in order to achieve forewarning effectively. At last, our algorithm for fish toxicity detection is verified by integrating the data on laboratory acceptance of characteristic pollutants. The results show that only one false positive occurred in the six experiments, the present algorithm is effective in suppressing false positives and negatives, which increases the reliability of toxicity detections, and thereby has certain applicability and universality in engineering applications.     

基于贝叶斯网络的社区配电网系统动态风险评估

社区配电网系统的安全分析和动态风险评估是配电网系统安全运行的关键环节。传统的可靠性指标无法反映社区配电网系统中物理元器件的状态和短路故障事件等本质安全问题对风险评估的影响。针对现有风险评估方法的局限性,提出一种基于贝叶斯网络的社区配电网系统安全分析与动态风险评估框架。首先,在标准可靠性指标的基础上,创新性地将社区配电网系统中物理元器件的故障率和短路故障事件引入到风险评估中,提出一种新的社区配电网停电风险评估指标体系,该评估指标体系综合考虑了社区配电网的可靠性指标和本质安全特性,能够全面反映社区配电网系统的动态风险;其次,提出一种基于故障树-贝叶斯网络的社区配电网系统动态风险评估方法;最后,以一个实际社区的配电网系统为案例,验证了该动态风险评估框架的可行性和有效性。案例分析结果表明:所提出的框架能够充分评估社区配电网系统的停电风险,并可以给出合理的安全措施,以有效降低社区配电网系统的动态风险。     

Urinary analysis reveals high Alternaria mycotoxins exposure in the general population from Beijing, China

Alternaria mycotoxins are of concern due to its adverse health effect, they affect various cereal crops and grain-based food along with modified forms that contribute to overall exposure. This study aimed to determine the frequency and level of exposure to Alternaria mycotoxins (tenuazonic acid, TeA; alternariol, AOH; alternariol monomethyl ether, AME; tentoxin, TEN; and altenuene, ALT) in human urine from Beijing adults. A total of 2212 urine samples were collected and analyzed for five mycotoxins using LC–ESI–MS/MS. More than 98% of the samples had at least one Alternaria mycotoxin detected. Among the mycotoxins, AME had the highest detection rate (96.0%), followed by TeA (70.5%). The calculated average daily intake values of AME (12.5 ng/kg b.w.) was 5 times the TTC value (2.5 ng/kg b.w.) set by the EFSA, indicating the potential health risks associated with mycotoxins. Immediate attention and subsequent actions should be taken to identify the sources of mycotoxins and the corresponding exposure pathways to humans in the investigated regions.     

基于根伸长测试终点的小白菜Cd及Se-Cd物种敏感性分布

暴露剂量-效应是污染物生态风险评价的核心,为了探究Se（硒）对Cd（镉）毒性的影响并筛选出小白菜Cd耐性品种,在实验室条件下,以小白菜种子萌发期的根伸长作为测试终点,采用Log-logistic模型及低剂量Hormesis兴奋效应模型确定了Cd及Se-Cd联合作用下小白菜Cd剂量-效应关系,基于Burr-Ⅲ分布模型分析了11种小白菜Cd敏感性差异.结果表明：（1）小白菜品种YDE（油冬儿）、HYG（黑油冠）、SZQ（苏州青）为Cd耐性品种,NY（奶油）、SG259（苏冠259）、KR（抗热）为Cd敏感性品种.（2）1 mg/L及以下的Cd浓度对耐性品种小白菜具有轻微的相对根伸长（RRE,relative root elongation）兴奋效应,大于1 mg/L的Cd浓度抑制其RRE;适宜浓度Se （0.6 mg/L）可有效降低5～10 mg/L浓度Cd对小白菜尤其Cd敏感性品种的毒性,但可增强高浓度Cd对多数小白菜品种的毒性.（3）Se-Cd作用下的HC₅²⁰和HC₅⁵⁰值（分别基于20%、50%...     

Formation of sulfur oxide groups by SO2 and their roles in mercury adsorption on carbon-based materials

The presence of SO₂ display significant effect on the mercury (Hg) adsorption ability of carbon-based sorbent. Yet the adsorption and oxidation of SO₂ on carbon with oxygen group, as well as the roles of different sulfur oxide groups in Hg adsorption have heretofore been unclear. The formation of sulfur oxide groups by SO₂ and their effects on Hg adsorption on carbon was detailed examined by the density functional theory. The results show that SO₂ can be oxidized into SO₃ by oxygen group on carbon surface. Both C-SO₂ and C-SO₃ can improve Hg adsorption on carbon site, while the promotive effect of C-SO₂ is stronger than C-SO₃. Electron density difference analyses reveal that sulfur oxide groups enhance the charge transfer ability of surface unsaturated carbon atom, thereby improving Hg adsorption. The experimental results confirm that surface active groups formed by SO₂ adsorption is more active for Hg adsorption than the groups generated by SO₃.     

低温复合条件下救灾帐篷环境适应性试验与评价

目的研究救灾帐篷性能受恶劣环境的影响。方法建立多灾复合环境试验平台,利用其平台开展救灾帐篷不同工况下的试验研究,探究不同环境下救灾帐篷内部热环境分布和保温性能的变化。结果帐篷内部热环境分层现象只发生在温度上升阶段,而在附加风载后,分层现象减弱,在下降阶段,各内表面温度变化情况表现基本一致,当附加雪载环境温度低于–10℃时,救灾帐篷的保温性变差。利用价值函数法建立了救灾帐篷耦合环境适应性评价指标体系,提出了风&低温、雨雪复合环境下救灾帐篷适应性评价方法,得出评价得分,并与试验结果相印证。结论低温复合环境下,帐篷内环境受外界影响较大,保温性能不佳,易出现“冷室效应”,应积极寻找新型材料改善帐篷在恶劣环境下的环境适应性。     

电弧离子镀TiN涂层沉积工艺研究

目的优化电弧离子镀沉积TiN涂层的制备工艺,分析不同N_2/Ar条件对涂层微观结构和力学性能的影响机制,进一步强化和研究TiN涂层的优异性能。方法采用带有附加线圈磁场的电弧离子镀技术在不同N_2/Ar条件下制备TiN涂层,利用扫描电子显微镜、X射线衍射仪、超景深显微镜、维氏硬度计、薄膜应力仪和高温摩擦机观察涂层微观结构、测试力学性能。结果随着N_2/Ar流量比的增加,涂层表面形貌得到改善,大颗粒的数量和尺寸明显减少,表面变得光滑致密。TiN涂层的生长取向由沿(110)晶面择优生长,逐渐转变为沿(111)晶面择优生长。涂层显微硬度呈上升趋势,硬度最高为2260HV;当N_2/Ar流量比为2:1时,摩擦系数最低为0.71,磨损率最低为1.5×10~(-2)μm~3/(N·μm),磨痕边界清晰,大颗粒和磨屑较少。结论当N_2/Ar流量比为2:1时,TiN涂层结构致密,且具有最佳的各项力学性能。     

铝硅镁4004钎料对冷板与硅酸盐体系乙二醇冷却液腐蚀相容性的影响研究

目的研究不同钎料对冷板与硅酸盐体系乙二醇冷却液的腐蚀相容性影响。方法以铝合金3A21为基材,以不同铝硅镁箔4004为钎料,采用真空焊接的方法制备不同的铝合金冷板,将乙二醇冷却液加注在冷板中,在40℃开展压力测试。利用金相分析、扫描电子显微镜对冷板内部微观形貌和结构进行研究。结果铝硅镁箔4004中硅元素质量分数为13.29%时,焊接的冷板在3个月时间范围压力升高800 kPa;而硅元素质量分数为10.99%时,冷板在同样的条件下压力未见明显改变。两种冷板在焊接部位和翅片部位显示出截然不同的硅偏析现象。结论这种硅偏析现象可能导致了冷板在乙二醇冷却液不同的产气现象。     

铣削工艺参数对锡铋合金表面粗糙度特征影响及试验分析

目的对锡铋合金表面粗糙度特征进行研究分析,提高表面加工质量。方法采用正交试验设计方法,以最小表面粗糙度作为优化指标,以主轴转速、铣削深度、进给速度、铣削宽度作为影响因素,进行精密铣削试验研究。结果利用方差分析确定了进给速度是锡铋合金铣削表面粗糙度最重要的影响因素,并基于田口方法优化分析得到了锡铋合金铣削加工工艺最优组合。结论采用田口法对锡铋合金铣削工艺参数优化,有效地减少了加工表面粗糙度,提高了工件表面质量。     

重庆废弃煤矿区表层土壤多环芳烃污染特征及风险评价

随着煤炭行业的萧条,废弃煤矿逐渐增加。为有效管理和改善矿区废弃地环境生态系统,采集废弃22年的重庆中梁山马家沟煤矿区内18个表层土壤样品和1个煤矸石样品,以及矿区之外的2个背景土壤样品,分析样品中多环芳烃（USEPA 16 PAHs）、正构烷烃（n-alkanes）、汞（Hg）和有机质（OM）含量水平。结果表明,表层土壤中PAHs的平均含量为170.3 ng/g,低于我国正在运行的煤矿区土壤PAHs含量水平,高于山区背景土壤PAHs含量水平。主成分分析（PCA）结果表明煤燃烧释放和原煤残渣分别贡献78.3%和17.6%,是表层土壤中PAHs的主要来源。PAHs与n-alkanes的相关系数r=0.83（P<0.01）,表明土壤中两者具有类似的输入途径和富集行为。PAHs与Hg之间不存在相关性,表明煤矿长期废弃后,这两种与矿区活动释放有关的污染物的环境归趋有显著差异。PAHs和OM之间也不存在相关性,表明与煤矿相关的有机质来源已经被植物、微生物的分泌物质及其残体的有机质替代,生态环境正逐步恢复。风险评价结果表明PAHs含量水平相对安全。值得注意的是,Hg含量超过农用地土壤污染风险筛选值。因此,政府对矿区旧址的土地利用应当基于多污染参数的叠加结果,避免单一指标的片面性评价与诊断。