基于机器学习的热释放速率实时预测方法

火灾态势的实时感知对提升消防救援指挥与决策水平有非常重要的意义。为实现火源热释放速率的实时预测,通过丙烷气体燃烧实验获取火焰体积和高度的实时数据,选取MATLAB中精细高斯SVM做分类训练,建立了基于图像处理的热释放速率预测模型。结果表明,训练完成后的模型可以根据3 s内的火焰体积/高度数据预测得到实时的燃料流量,获取相应的火源热释放速率。该预测模型在已知数据集和未知数据集上都表现出了较高的准确性,为火灾态势发展预测提供了理论和技术基础,有很好的应用前景。     

不确定性水质模型及其研究进展

水环境是一个充满不确定性因素的复杂巨系统,研究这些不确定性的变化有利于提高人们对水环境分析的认识和做出更切合实际的决策.详细、清晰地评述了不确定性水质模型研究的必要性、研究的方法和国内外研究进展等,并针对此类模型研究与应用过程中普遍存在的一些问题、主要表现和成因进行了分析与论述,最后结合目前的研究热点指出了今后不确定性水质模型发展的3个重要方向.     

无锡市饮用水嗅味突发事件致嗅原因及潜在问题分析

针对2007年5月底6月初发生的无锡市饮用水嗅味事件,在嗅味层次分析法(FPA)的基础上,利用感官气相色谱法对污染水团、取水口以及管网水中的致嗅物质种类进行了鉴定,并利用GC-MS对主要致嗅物质进行了定量分析,同时,对微囊藻毒素含量以及生物遗传毒性进行了测定.结果表明,此次嗅味事件的主要致嗅物质为以二甲基三硫为主的硫醚类有机体腐败产物,6月4日采集的污染水团中二甲基三硫含量高达11399 ng·L-1.同时,含有一定量的2-甲基异莰醇(MIB)等藻类分泌物,但这些物质的嗅味被二甲基三硫等硫醚类化合物导致的腥臭味所掩盖,不是主要的致嗅物质.另外,6月4日及6月8日采集的取水口样品分析结果表明,原水中微囊藻毒素含量远低于新颁布的生活饮用水卫生标准,而且,利用umu测试得到的水中遗传毒性水平很低.     

Groundwater environmental capacity and its evaluation index

At present, anthropogenic contribution of heavy metals far exceeds natural input in some aquatic sediment, but the proportions are difficult to differentiate due to the changes in sediment characters. In this paper, the metal (Al, Fe, K, Mg, Ca, Cr, Cu, Ni, and Zn) concentrations, grain size, and total organic carbon (TOC) content in the surface and core sediments of Nansihu Lake Catchment (the open lake and six inflow rivers) were determined. The chemical speciations of the metals (Al, Fe, Cr, Cu, Ni, and Zn) in the surface sediments were also analyzed. Approaches of factor analysis, normalized enrichment factor (EF) and the new non-residual fractions enrichment factor (K_NRF) were used to differentiate the sources of the metals in the sediments, from detrital clastic debris or anthropogenic input, and to quantify the anthropogenic contamination. The results indicate that natural processes were more dominant in concentrating the metals in the surface and core sediments of the open lake. High concentration of Ca and deficiency of other metals in the upper layers of the sediment core were attributed to the input of carbonate minerals in the catchment with increasing human activities since 1980s. High TOC content magnified the deficiency of the metals. Nevertheless, the EF and K_NRF both reveal moderate to significant anthropogenic contamination of Cr, Cu, Ni, and Zn in the surface sediments of Laoyun River and the estuary and Cr in the surface sediments of Baima River. The proportion of non-residual fractions (acid soluble, reducible, and oxidizable fractions) of Cr, Cu, Ni, and Zn in the contaminated sediments increased to 37–99% from the background levels less than 30%.     

微波萃取-气质联用测定土壤中的16种多环芳烃

用丙酮-正己烷(1:1体积比)混合溶剂,通过微波萃取法提取土壤中的16种多环芳烃组分。萃取溶液经硅胶小柱净化,最后用气相色谱-质谱法分析。以石英砂为基体进行加标回收测定。16种多环芳烃的检测限为0.18～0.53μg/kg,经精密度试验,相对标准偏差均5%,回收率在75.5%～108%之间。     

Distribution of aromatic amines,phenols, chlorobenzenes,and naphthalenes in the surface sediment of the Dianchi Lake,China

• The total organic pollutant concentrations in sediment were 27.4-1620 ng/g. • The phenol concentrations were relatively high in the sediment of the Dianchi Lake. • Average total concentrations decreased as follows: Caohai>Waihai>Haigeng Dam. • 1,4-dichlorobenzene, 3- or 4-methylphenol, 1,2,4-trichlorobenzene might be risks. Organic pollutants are widespread environmental pollutants with high toxicity, persistence, and bioaccumulation. Our aim was to investigate the distribution of aromatic amines, phenols, chlorobenzenes, and naphthalenes in the surface sediment of the Dianchi Lake, China. Nineteen surface sediment samples were collected from the Dianchi Lake, and 40 types of organic pollutants were analyzed via gas chromatography–mass spectrometry. The total organic pollutant concentrations in the surface sediment of the Dianchi Lake varied from 27.4 to 1.62 × 10³ ng/g. The concentrations of phenols were much higher than those in other water bodies but still within a controllable range, whereas the concentrations of the other organic pollutant classes were similar or even lower. The detection ratio of 3- or 4-methylphenol was the highest (100.00%) among the pollutants. The average total organic pollutant concentrations decreased in the following order: Caohai (540 ng/g)>the middle of Waihai (488 ng/g)>the edge of Waihai (351 ng/g)>Haigeng Dam (90.4 ng/g). Pearson analysis showed a strong correlation among 1-methylnaphthalene, 2-methylnaphthalene, 1,3-dinitronaphthalene, and 1,4-dinitronaphthalene (p<0.01). Caohai, the north lakeshore of Waihai and the south of Waihai showed higher risk because of high concentration; meanwhile, 1,4-dichlorobenzene, 3- or 4-methylphenol and 1,2,4-trichlorobenzene were more likely to cause risks.     

聚苯乙烯接枝胶粉对改性沥青性能的影响

采用苯乙烯对废轮胎胶粉进行表面接枝聚合改性,并将接枝改性胶粉用于制备湿法胶粉改性沥青。接枝改性后,废轮胎胶粉的X射线光电子能谱和13C固体核磁检测结果表明,苯乙烯链段成功接枝到废轮胎胶粉表面,同时系统研究了苯乙烯接枝率对胶粉改性沥青25℃针入度、软化点和5℃延度的影响规律。实验结果表明,当苯乙烯接枝率小于36%时,随着苯乙烯接枝率的提高,胶粉改性沥青的25℃针入度和5℃延度增大,软化点下降,说明胶粉表面苯乙烯链段的接枝,能够显著提高胶粉-沥青的界面相容性;当苯乙烯接枝率为36%时,胶粉改性沥青的5℃延度达到11.0 cm,相比于普通胶粉改性沥青(7.0 cm)提高了57%;但当苯乙烯接枝率大于36%时,随着苯乙烯接枝率的提高,胶粉改性沥青的25℃针入度和5℃延度下降,软化点升高,表明胶粉-沥青界面层中过量的聚苯乙烯链段,使胶粉改性沥青的低温延展性有所降低。通过分析可知,在胶粉表面接枝适当比例的聚苯乙烯能够显著改善胶粉改性沥青的低温延展性能。     

库尔勒市大气颗粒物污染特征与影响因素分析

针对库尔勒市PM 10、PM 2.5年均浓度超标现象,基于市区3个环境监测站2013—2017年的逐时观测数据,分析PM 10、PM 2.5污染特征、成因及其主要影响因素。结果表明:①2013—2017年库尔勒市PM 10年均浓度变化较大且无明显趋势,PM 2.5年均浓度整体呈下降趋势;②季节尺度上,库尔勒市PM 10在每年2—5月呈现高浓度,PM 2.5高浓度期则为10月至翌年5月;③城郊的开发区站PM 10浓度最高,老城区的州政府站PM 2.5浓度最高,在PM 10和PM 2.5的高浓度期空间差异尤其显著;④PM 10与风速显著正相关,来自塔克拉玛干沙漠的风蚀沙尘颗粒物是库尔勒地区颗粒污染物的主要来源;⑤库尔勒市PM 10主要为外源输入,PM 2.5则以城市内源为主,相对湿度、风速、风向、温度等气象条件是影响大气颗粒物浓度及分布的重要因素。     

Contamination and distribution of parent,nitrated, and oxygenated polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in smoked meat

Smoked meat is widely consumed in many areas, particularly in rural southwest China. High concentrations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in smoked meat could lead to adverse dietary exposure and health risks. In this study, 27 parent PAHs (pPAHs), 12 nitrated PAHs (nPAHs), and 4 oxygenated PAHs (oPAHs) were measured in coal- and wood-smoked meats. The median concentrations of pPAHs, nPAHs, and oPAHs were as high as 1.66?×?10³, 4.29, and 20.5 ng/g in the coal-smoked meat and 2.54?×?10³, 7.32, and 9.26 ng/g in the wood-smoked meat, respectively. Based on the relative potency factors of individual PAHs, the calculated toxic equivalent (TEQ) values of all pPAHs were 22.1 and 75.1 ng TEQ/g for the wood- and coal-smoked meats, respectively. The highest concentrations of PAHs can be found in the surface layer of skin and decrease exponentially with depth. Surface PAH concentrations correlated with concentrations of PAHs in household air and with the concentration in emission exhaust. Migration of PAHs from surface to interior portions of meat is faster in lean than in fat or skin, and oPAHs and pPAHs can penetrate deeper than pPAHs. The penetration ability of PAHs is negatively correlated with the molecular weight.     

A rapid and sensitive fluoroimmunoassay based on quantum dot for the detection of chlorpyrifos residue in drinking water

A rapid and sensitive indirect competitive fluorescence-linked immunosorbent assay (cFLISA) method based on quantum dots as the fluorescence label coupled with secondary antibody (Ab₂) for the detection of chlorpyrifos in drinking water has been developed. The cFLISA method allowed for chlorpyrifos determination in a liner working range of 15.2–205.5 ng mL^?1. The 50 % inhibition value (IC₅₀) and the limit of detection (LOD) of the cFLISA were 50.2 ng mL^?1 and 8.4 ng mL^?1, while the IC₅₀ and the LOD of the conventhional enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) were 95.3 ng- mL^?1 and 16.2 ng mL^?1, respectively. When the concentrations of chlorpyrifos were 200, 100 and 50 ng mL^?1, the recoveries ranged from 90.8 % to 108.2 % with a coefficient of variation (CV) of 7.5 %–15.2 %. In water sample analysis, the results of cFLISA were similar to those obtained from a cELISA and a high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) method, while the detection time by cFLISA was reduced 0.5 h compared with ELISA. It showed that cFLISA could be used as a new screening method for the detection of pesticide residue.